Prediction 3616

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Minas Gerais

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in MG


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 568.41 290.33 316.40 345.96 426.42 838.87 1251.50 1645.55 2360.55
2024-10-13 669.40 340.73 382.06 421.31 512.20 915.15 1293.17 1610.14 1944.99
2024-10-20 567.41 291.38 319.96 356.31 437.99 794.29 1137.15 1492.76 1801.10
2024-10-27 574.31 297.91 323.11 358.35 445.16 784.05 1084.84 1381.95 1963.76
2024-11-03 644.68 338.88 382.14 420.26 507.24 848.47 1077.92 1437.01 1727.04
2024-11-10 628.27 323.90 358.23 401.78 490.46 806.09 1105.76 1398.26 1597.21
2024-11-17 954.96 494.45 534.07 601.56 743.90 1306.58 1774.34 2256.06 2816.48
2024-11-24 1180.39 594.01 632.58 697.55 888.18 1627.61 2469.22 3408.67 4682.59
2024-12-01 1208.27 621.73 691.07 772.00 932.52 1630.64 2287.84 2921.63 3560.14
2024-12-08 1405.19 704.57 809.47 944.75 1114.60 1908.88 2681.64 3687.97 4945.67
2024-12-15 1348.49 617.85 682.11 789.12 1002.93 1787.83 2346.98 3188.74 4306.54
2024-12-22 1990.15 851.10 962.86 1156.50 1482.36 2986.94 4547.22 5657.96 7147.87
2024-12-29 5123.79 2284.36 2566.69 2940.20 3779.41 7376.04 12177.99 16485.17 27106.54
2025-01-05 5930.45 2795.56 3047.79 3522.62 4434.70 8500.32 14841.79 20520.28 30955.51
2025-01-12 9355.38 4308.44 4867.43 5383.39 6838.55 12635.75 18963.95 24786.01 33400.72
2025-01-19 11022.69 4872.73 5475.09 6206.78 7796.38 16395.54 24957.21 31017.56 42061.39
2025-01-26 14416.81 6728.39 7539.90 8462.11 10510.99 20623.70 32033.17 47333.07 60633.04
2025-02-02 17442.78 8644.27 9367.33 10528.25 13539.63 23847.59 33964.12 44027.70 62783.74
2025-02-09 18752.37 9024.92 9875.97 11267.10 14298.10 25040.24 34752.33 46957.03 57678.02
2025-02-16 21579.65 10234.15 11093.61 12476.02 15878.24 29839.36 39574.61 48639.80 72573.41
2025-02-23 23793.51 12836.27 13659.66 15221.90 18498.31 31110.53 43013.51 56221.75 80527.55
2025-03-02 23360.53 12330.92 14318.20 15579.04 18302.24 32712.66 43848.97 54766.06 66057.47
2025-03-09 27756.99 14513.60 15644.40 17395.17 21327.52 37109.46 52838.98 72219.32 104238.49
2025-03-16 27402.05 14677.25 16390.62 18139.49 21553.23 35751.07 52025.05 66051.55 82365.64
2025-03-23 27183.93 16328.57 16861.81 18725.04 21870.30 35621.23 49392.39 60403.52 85803.71
2025-03-30 31428.28 17647.59 19121.81 21553.85 25688.44 42623.28 61443.71 81362.47 97509.86
2025-04-06 30675.60 16454.34 17780.07 19424.02 23446.86 40318.83 52787.92 75877.10 96650.07
2025-04-13 27916.97 15783.97 17641.93 19144.21 22525.16 37205.41 49600.51 60092.45 74470.84
2025-04-20 27726.27 15113.67 16562.90 18693.91 22358.10 36481.21 50219.15 65165.54 79288.27
2025-04-27 28818.37 15181.31 16434.22 18197.07 22363.32 38900.05 53909.89 73433.40 89480.07
2025-05-04 26639.31 14231.52 15537.42 17032.53 20965.45 36501.91 51660.22 63190.86 86837.75
2025-05-11 23944.25 12469.13 14108.33 15216.16 18428.95 32149.82 47042.35 57776.97 79980.54
2025-05-18 17068.69 8749.48 9694.98 10722.54 12949.31 23007.80 31793.24 43647.64 47647.73
2025-05-25 11952.80 5970.12 6816.06 7681.76 9341.31 16098.65 23346.05 29594.04 43622.47
2025-06-01 10099.15 5041.51 5445.63 6301.68 7591.30 13255.32 19438.24 25348.02 29687.06
2025-06-08 7744.34 3584.64 4133.46 4574.10 5806.13 10353.14 15399.84 20687.37 27324.30
2025-06-15 5879.30 2899.81 3359.18 3627.17 4587.95 7757.00 11067.98 13240.91 17836.19
2025-06-22 4307.62 2147.31 2394.45 2619.24 3241.80 5589.17 7772.80 10645.20 13190.84
2025-06-29 3391.52 1554.47 1791.45 2035.31 2624.15 4556.42 6463.05 8260.41 10443.80
2025-07-06 2208.45 1075.64 1224.80 1340.19 1744.58 3190.93 4500.83 5463.85 8031.25
2025-07-13 1959.48 937.62 1036.34 1183.75 1457.37 2678.28 3700.97 5026.28 6950.98
2025-07-20 1827.11 843.85 1007.18 1138.97 1388.36 2562.67 4118.01 5633.08 7482.12
2025-07-27 1517.83 753.54 810.73 898.43 1164.73 2143.30 3374.78 4272.73 6411.56
2025-08-03 1135.59 560.27 617.89 681.79 834.01 1573.89 2291.88 2931.06 3856.25
2025-08-10 1076.11 484.64 551.98 637.27 811.52 1536.42 2218.87 3295.79 5196.32
2025-08-17 965.32 432.31 506.80 582.22 732.37 1399.91 2102.95 2877.88 4753.58
2025-08-24 710.25 347.37 385.13 436.70 539.56 990.57 1447.25 1878.50 2585.27
2025-08-31 757.00 377.31 419.03 476.10 584.93 1078.73 1510.58 1884.45 2580.86
2025-09-07 897.62 406.98 466.56 532.39 697.76 1264.02 1830.74 2634.61 3952.85
2025-09-14 945.66 434.44 504.51 569.50 700.17 1358.57 2004.57 2387.15 3473.96
2025-09-21 929.87 413.29 456.49 523.29 654.38 1267.12 1931.50 2706.29 3113.83
2025-09-28 1216.01 609.75 654.75 736.51 935.70 1830.34 3047.54 4561.53 7735.32
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