Prediction 3617

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in RJ


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 44.02 8.19 11.96 15.31 24.99 92.04 192.77 258.66 402.44
2022-10-16 51.88 10.58 13.37 17.70 28.11 102.52 218.59 355.61 588.37
2022-10-23 54.95 10.09 11.85 18.70 31.58 111.08 212.40 394.50 604.66
2022-10-30 59.70 12.94 15.70 20.22 35.43 119.40 239.37 373.78 533.28
2022-11-06 54.50 12.03 15.15 20.89 30.85 106.98 208.20 332.39 513.03
2022-11-13 67.24 15.82 19.84 25.23 37.76 117.83 212.04 315.27 498.92
2022-11-20 98.66 18.84 23.33 31.63 56.79 190.74 364.04 553.87 697.13
2022-11-27 86.02 22.61 26.46 33.53 50.34 145.29 250.01 367.77 448.71
2022-12-04 108.04 24.92 31.93 41.00 62.31 185.14 316.71 474.96 615.92
2022-12-11 178.36 26.83 36.41 49.88 96.09 356.05 694.86 1032.29 1462.96
2022-12-18 106.62 21.37 28.24 37.58 62.12 195.59 379.76 560.58 877.80
2022-12-25 104.50 13.68 17.78 26.63 47.95 232.50 508.28 933.92 1694.36
2023-01-01 196.19 34.04 41.96 65.60 110.56 413.14 745.96 1100.72 1703.55
2023-01-08 290.75 47.55 64.80 95.55 158.22 537.04 1124.39 1945.46 3211.39
2023-01-15 325.00 70.54 85.21 108.74 181.34 599.41 1298.98 1917.87 2642.39
2023-01-22 468.00 72.98 101.64 131.99 233.05 921.94 1736.98 2582.03 3853.79
2023-01-29 547.54 86.89 108.25 165.43 278.97 1089.11 2357.77 3465.36 5927.64
2023-02-05 826.07 146.56 188.53 227.18 376.67 1503.93 3116.49 4387.95 7442.21
2023-02-12 893.25 172.31 221.26 276.98 486.77 1868.89 3367.45 5381.48 8840.97
2023-02-19 1001.91 232.23 267.86 364.39 576.91 2070.08 4474.74 7869.71 13285.47
2023-02-26 1255.68 233.93 306.65 394.41 677.40 2195.26 4014.09 6556.51 9328.36
2023-03-05 1453.32 325.19 378.64 555.06 817.49 2927.24 5047.11 7235.00 9764.39
2023-03-12 1676.88 359.93 437.74 576.01 955.68 3222.79 5556.45 8296.83 13188.55
2023-03-19 2410.40 444.72 564.29 760.70 1322.92 4587.43 8806.75 12192.16 15728.69
2023-03-26 2716.80 636.19 800.40 1028.66 1650.84 4717.18 8210.40 12462.02 15477.72
2023-04-02 2976.44 703.15 827.75 1100.60 1743.03 5081.02 9471.26 12930.63 19103.57
2023-04-09 3432.41 924.79 1167.27 1408.69 2119.02 5625.58 9642.55 13352.55 17187.94
2023-04-16 3493.13 1001.08 1172.15 1490.96 2280.47 5957.35 11142.51 14998.51 17285.05
2023-04-23 4000.67 1079.97 1334.22 1642.86 2470.31 6994.84 12350.00 18040.49 36702.48
2023-04-30 3995.84 1112.09 1272.82 1660.53 2524.51 7091.59 11446.39 18243.70 24368.98
2023-05-07 4249.78 1008.40 1277.27 1604.48 2480.85 7581.49 13642.55 22918.67 33344.35
2023-05-14 2727.83 813.42 943.31 1139.39 1787.66 4446.98 7151.37 9975.53 13744.01
2023-05-21 2348.53 500.77 719.08 841.48 1335.41 3959.91 7824.40 12164.15 18400.34
2023-05-28 1487.39 398.05 466.78 588.04 878.37 2826.40 5523.12 7824.04 9490.35
2023-06-04 1341.38 304.51 366.83 497.63 756.36 2602.08 4269.73 6822.54 9228.02
2023-06-11 925.21 205.71 241.41 313.24 535.67 1607.51 2789.63 4401.77 6705.69
2023-06-18 627.96 157.35 193.86 241.62 356.90 1121.31 1754.09 2612.12 3603.73
2023-06-25 505.97 110.96 138.19 165.01 298.47 833.50 1524.55 2189.22 3102.46
2023-07-02 337.40 75.10 94.82 138.35 209.39 637.81 1152.75 1890.85 3159.57
2023-07-09 258.91 60.04 75.55 95.35 135.13 421.47 763.51 1310.61 1700.60
2023-07-16 135.83 38.74 43.39 55.75 87.91 252.97 464.37 685.33 966.49
2023-07-23 117.11 27.82 34.02 43.37 71.51 224.07 386.55 591.13 749.88
2023-07-30 98.45 23.49 29.93 38.16 64.06 185.82 343.60 490.30 613.10
2023-08-06 79.10 14.31 19.45 25.33 44.37 131.03 225.08 316.48 476.40
2023-08-13 64.84 12.91 16.39 23.24 37.08 136.26 255.03 376.34 561.32
2023-08-20 63.50 12.94 17.07 21.00 34.95 114.17 220.36 332.86 580.57
2023-08-27 45.32 9.85 12.90 17.00 27.37 80.64 164.12 247.98 323.27
2023-09-03 52.78 10.39 13.76 18.25 29.63 99.51 214.20 291.81 381.67
2023-09-10 59.44 13.91 17.23 21.24 33.08 108.93 212.29 311.25 500.99
2023-09-17 60.47 14.29 17.91 24.00 36.04 108.57 187.40 308.07 475.83
2023-09-24 70.17 14.14 17.08 25.58 39.04 130.20 262.34 409.49 633.54
2023-10-01 54.37 11.54 15.05 19.93 32.21 100.75 193.56 279.21 480.03
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