Prediction 3618

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in RJ


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 192.87 55.26 68.01 89.01 122.93 317.42 536.73 717.47 937.87
2023-10-15 206.26 59.74 77.49 90.89 127.46 349.64 610.21 901.17 1166.29
2023-10-22 226.47 60.58 78.17 98.04 141.73 377.09 624.00 811.31 1182.97
2023-10-29 241.53 75.97 85.54 99.33 151.46 391.62 596.35 722.50 978.66
2023-11-05 274.81 70.17 82.10 106.62 155.60 454.91 796.90 1110.89 1519.47
2023-11-12 235.89 65.60 74.19 99.29 147.13 371.21 600.07 814.75 1144.50
2023-11-19 238.25 80.94 90.81 112.82 162.74 376.31 556.95 697.90 1005.97
2023-11-26 337.01 103.72 121.83 144.35 215.53 515.76 776.49 1057.50 1493.72
2023-12-03 342.02 115.55 133.68 161.80 232.72 527.08 819.65 1061.49 1216.30
2023-12-10 385.60 115.36 139.16 172.04 250.30 588.88 930.05 1262.31 1554.85
2023-12-17 359.46 102.76 127.34 160.86 241.58 589.77 901.64 1138.83 1502.89
2023-12-24 430.44 138.08 153.33 191.98 274.59 755.44 1075.76 1389.82 1884.82
2023-12-31 1059.29 285.85 362.23 448.45 649.60 1566.96 2523.02 3464.04 4336.67
2024-01-07 1318.64 374.94 451.12 573.25 810.02 2009.75 2989.39 3903.98 5279.88
2024-01-14 1909.22 463.31 588.51 736.25 1089.88 2984.18 4884.69 6166.06 8430.32
2024-01-21 2078.21 628.10 786.49 949.00 1352.24 3396.02 5147.91 6805.94 8254.62
2024-01-28 2601.81 710.26 933.50 1202.07 1656.52 3780.90 6194.67 7971.11 10592.07
2024-02-04 3283.53 1027.79 1254.07 1599.68 2220.00 5212.49 8282.84 10585.25 13860.51
2024-02-11 3836.90 1109.70 1343.72 1747.83 2451.30 5802.18 8683.78 12008.80 16687.56
2024-02-18 3788.89 1403.90 1531.51 1888.33 2656.51 5713.40 8373.39 10033.45 12048.17
2024-02-25 4356.17 1879.79 2085.74 2344.03 3122.25 6360.61 8945.35 10972.84 12528.35
2024-03-03 4646.36 1987.03 2221.65 2571.68 3321.75 6346.00 9083.09 10263.11 11989.37
2024-03-10 5081.57 2434.27 2731.20 3179.26 4016.99 6807.81 8506.29 10147.56 11265.97
2024-03-17 5563.76 2714.00 3050.48 3416.42 4208.35 7424.75 9490.33 11241.68 12962.44
2024-03-24 6033.62 3006.60 3315.28 3741.08 4650.68 7901.75 10104.22 11831.26 13703.19
2024-03-31 6994.96 3435.85 3845.91 4321.10 5241.21 9225.30 11926.64 14651.40 15946.23
2024-04-07 7207.78 3558.02 3789.23 4503.36 5503.96 9493.42 11893.63 13740.91 16224.01
2024-04-14 7730.36 3866.83 4417.10 5067.67 6205.67 9913.58 13567.00 15700.58 18197.93
2024-04-21 8633.57 3758.38 4470.42 5144.88 6538.69 10877.00 13564.28 16228.16 19247.40
2024-04-28 8289.85 4242.90 4709.80 5061.01 6512.07 10717.44 13800.43 15940.51 17704.98
2024-05-05 8837.58 4040.38 4563.14 5094.58 6503.87 10899.64 13911.11 16139.41 18105.12
2024-05-12 7935.31 3733.09 4100.59 4718.93 5841.99 10602.99 14226.43 16038.88 18569.97
2024-05-19 6914.56 2837.61 3068.79 3548.19 5087.25 9721.11 12549.35 14682.83 16768.55
2024-05-26 5607.28 2396.47 2732.73 3192.07 4110.34 7743.31 10268.29 11912.43 14624.16
2024-06-02 3919.93 1645.48 1831.89 2286.73 2883.52 5595.12 7640.66 9874.05 11619.16
2024-06-09 3391.45 1243.88 1435.29 1674.69 2489.08 4815.39 6730.87 7653.76 9078.21
2024-06-16 2820.77 878.94 1054.96 1418.66 1906.67 4210.48 6202.71 8072.51 9417.47
2024-06-23 2308.20 730.82 860.96 1044.05 1608.67 3541.41 5538.10 6756.47 7714.40
2024-06-30 1743.75 548.92 667.41 781.46 1145.75 2903.66 4620.79 6094.80 6913.54
2024-07-07 1249.64 417.34 503.63 594.90 834.51 1913.19 2835.91 3804.16 4438.30
2024-07-14 1111.28 328.08 369.13 512.59 721.78 1734.92 2616.37 3133.47 3843.98
2024-07-21 921.36 238.76 295.15 376.16 538.40 1460.47 2217.03 2690.36 3276.48
2024-07-28 729.70 234.11 276.92 333.61 477.68 1170.57 1773.98 2342.75 2945.07
2024-08-04 619.55 158.96 192.82 255.62 405.60 966.34 1506.52 1954.09 2637.40
2024-08-11 525.66 130.67 157.56 196.48 310.75 876.14 1479.16 1924.56 2697.38
2024-08-18 459.18 109.50 132.51 174.49 272.87 691.87 1085.31 1528.27 1892.23
2024-08-25 426.08 124.56 159.90 190.27 288.00 696.63 1099.94 1387.40 1824.68
2024-09-01 400.46 107.45 135.05 176.64 257.51 661.28 1086.93 1403.71 1681.11
2024-09-08 454.22 115.48 140.82 182.13 280.91 792.83 1405.61 1914.22 2541.33
2024-09-15 450.22 102.33 133.02 177.95 270.91 812.00 1436.65 1964.92 2671.72
2024-09-22 381.42 89.32 106.00 148.33 235.00 673.46 1076.96 1524.51 2033.75
2024-09-29 418.22 114.24 144.55 182.08 257.89 716.54 1163.02 1545.05 2068.27
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