Prediction 3618
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in RJ
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 192.87 | 55.26 | 68.01 | 89.01 | 122.93 | 317.42 | 536.73 | 717.47 | 937.87 |
2023-10-15 | 206.26 | 59.74 | 77.49 | 90.89 | 127.46 | 349.64 | 610.21 | 901.17 | 1166.29 |
2023-10-22 | 226.47 | 60.58 | 78.17 | 98.04 | 141.73 | 377.09 | 624.00 | 811.31 | 1182.97 |
2023-10-29 | 241.53 | 75.97 | 85.54 | 99.33 | 151.46 | 391.62 | 596.35 | 722.50 | 978.66 |
2023-11-05 | 274.81 | 70.17 | 82.10 | 106.62 | 155.60 | 454.91 | 796.90 | 1110.89 | 1519.47 |
2023-11-12 | 235.89 | 65.60 | 74.19 | 99.29 | 147.13 | 371.21 | 600.07 | 814.75 | 1144.50 |
2023-11-19 | 238.25 | 80.94 | 90.81 | 112.82 | 162.74 | 376.31 | 556.95 | 697.90 | 1005.97 |
2023-11-26 | 337.01 | 103.72 | 121.83 | 144.35 | 215.53 | 515.76 | 776.49 | 1057.50 | 1493.72 |
2023-12-03 | 342.02 | 115.55 | 133.68 | 161.80 | 232.72 | 527.08 | 819.65 | 1061.49 | 1216.30 |
2023-12-10 | 385.60 | 115.36 | 139.16 | 172.04 | 250.30 | 588.88 | 930.05 | 1262.31 | 1554.85 |
2023-12-17 | 359.46 | 102.76 | 127.34 | 160.86 | 241.58 | 589.77 | 901.64 | 1138.83 | 1502.89 |
2023-12-24 | 430.44 | 138.08 | 153.33 | 191.98 | 274.59 | 755.44 | 1075.76 | 1389.82 | 1884.82 |
2023-12-31 | 1059.29 | 285.85 | 362.23 | 448.45 | 649.60 | 1566.96 | 2523.02 | 3464.04 | 4336.67 |
2024-01-07 | 1318.64 | 374.94 | 451.12 | 573.25 | 810.02 | 2009.75 | 2989.39 | 3903.98 | 5279.88 |
2024-01-14 | 1909.22 | 463.31 | 588.51 | 736.25 | 1089.88 | 2984.18 | 4884.69 | 6166.06 | 8430.32 |
2024-01-21 | 2078.21 | 628.10 | 786.49 | 949.00 | 1352.24 | 3396.02 | 5147.91 | 6805.94 | 8254.62 |
2024-01-28 | 2601.81 | 710.26 | 933.50 | 1202.07 | 1656.52 | 3780.90 | 6194.67 | 7971.11 | 10592.07 |
2024-02-04 | 3283.53 | 1027.79 | 1254.07 | 1599.68 | 2220.00 | 5212.49 | 8282.84 | 10585.25 | 13860.51 |
2024-02-11 | 3836.90 | 1109.70 | 1343.72 | 1747.83 | 2451.30 | 5802.18 | 8683.78 | 12008.80 | 16687.56 |
2024-02-18 | 3788.89 | 1403.90 | 1531.51 | 1888.33 | 2656.51 | 5713.40 | 8373.39 | 10033.45 | 12048.17 |
2024-02-25 | 4356.17 | 1879.79 | 2085.74 | 2344.03 | 3122.25 | 6360.61 | 8945.35 | 10972.84 | 12528.35 |
2024-03-03 | 4646.36 | 1987.03 | 2221.65 | 2571.68 | 3321.75 | 6346.00 | 9083.09 | 10263.11 | 11989.37 |
2024-03-10 | 5081.57 | 2434.27 | 2731.20 | 3179.26 | 4016.99 | 6807.81 | 8506.29 | 10147.56 | 11265.97 |
2024-03-17 | 5563.76 | 2714.00 | 3050.48 | 3416.42 | 4208.35 | 7424.75 | 9490.33 | 11241.68 | 12962.44 |
2024-03-24 | 6033.62 | 3006.60 | 3315.28 | 3741.08 | 4650.68 | 7901.75 | 10104.22 | 11831.26 | 13703.19 |
2024-03-31 | 6994.96 | 3435.85 | 3845.91 | 4321.10 | 5241.21 | 9225.30 | 11926.64 | 14651.40 | 15946.23 |
2024-04-07 | 7207.78 | 3558.02 | 3789.23 | 4503.36 | 5503.96 | 9493.42 | 11893.63 | 13740.91 | 16224.01 |
2024-04-14 | 7730.36 | 3866.83 | 4417.10 | 5067.67 | 6205.67 | 9913.58 | 13567.00 | 15700.58 | 18197.93 |
2024-04-21 | 8633.57 | 3758.38 | 4470.42 | 5144.88 | 6538.69 | 10877.00 | 13564.28 | 16228.16 | 19247.40 |
2024-04-28 | 8289.85 | 4242.90 | 4709.80 | 5061.01 | 6512.07 | 10717.44 | 13800.43 | 15940.51 | 17704.98 |
2024-05-05 | 8837.58 | 4040.38 | 4563.14 | 5094.58 | 6503.87 | 10899.64 | 13911.11 | 16139.41 | 18105.12 |
2024-05-12 | 7935.31 | 3733.09 | 4100.59 | 4718.93 | 5841.99 | 10602.99 | 14226.43 | 16038.88 | 18569.97 |
2024-05-19 | 6914.56 | 2837.61 | 3068.79 | 3548.19 | 5087.25 | 9721.11 | 12549.35 | 14682.83 | 16768.55 |
2024-05-26 | 5607.28 | 2396.47 | 2732.73 | 3192.07 | 4110.34 | 7743.31 | 10268.29 | 11912.43 | 14624.16 |
2024-06-02 | 3919.93 | 1645.48 | 1831.89 | 2286.73 | 2883.52 | 5595.12 | 7640.66 | 9874.05 | 11619.16 |
2024-06-09 | 3391.45 | 1243.88 | 1435.29 | 1674.69 | 2489.08 | 4815.39 | 6730.87 | 7653.76 | 9078.21 |
2024-06-16 | 2820.77 | 878.94 | 1054.96 | 1418.66 | 1906.67 | 4210.48 | 6202.71 | 8072.51 | 9417.47 |
2024-06-23 | 2308.20 | 730.82 | 860.96 | 1044.05 | 1608.67 | 3541.41 | 5538.10 | 6756.47 | 7714.40 |
2024-06-30 | 1743.75 | 548.92 | 667.41 | 781.46 | 1145.75 | 2903.66 | 4620.79 | 6094.80 | 6913.54 |
2024-07-07 | 1249.64 | 417.34 | 503.63 | 594.90 | 834.51 | 1913.19 | 2835.91 | 3804.16 | 4438.30 |
2024-07-14 | 1111.28 | 328.08 | 369.13 | 512.59 | 721.78 | 1734.92 | 2616.37 | 3133.47 | 3843.98 |
2024-07-21 | 921.36 | 238.76 | 295.15 | 376.16 | 538.40 | 1460.47 | 2217.03 | 2690.36 | 3276.48 |
2024-07-28 | 729.70 | 234.11 | 276.92 | 333.61 | 477.68 | 1170.57 | 1773.98 | 2342.75 | 2945.07 |
2024-08-04 | 619.55 | 158.96 | 192.82 | 255.62 | 405.60 | 966.34 | 1506.52 | 1954.09 | 2637.40 |
2024-08-11 | 525.66 | 130.67 | 157.56 | 196.48 | 310.75 | 876.14 | 1479.16 | 1924.56 | 2697.38 |
2024-08-18 | 459.18 | 109.50 | 132.51 | 174.49 | 272.87 | 691.87 | 1085.31 | 1528.27 | 1892.23 |
2024-08-25 | 426.08 | 124.56 | 159.90 | 190.27 | 288.00 | 696.63 | 1099.94 | 1387.40 | 1824.68 |
2024-09-01 | 400.46 | 107.45 | 135.05 | 176.64 | 257.51 | 661.28 | 1086.93 | 1403.71 | 1681.11 |
2024-09-08 | 454.22 | 115.48 | 140.82 | 182.13 | 280.91 | 792.83 | 1405.61 | 1914.22 | 2541.33 |
2024-09-15 | 450.22 | 102.33 | 133.02 | 177.95 | 270.91 | 812.00 | 1436.65 | 1964.92 | 2671.72 |
2024-09-22 | 381.42 | 89.32 | 106.00 | 148.33 | 235.00 | 673.46 | 1076.96 | 1524.51 | 2033.75 |
2024-09-29 | 418.22 | 114.24 | 144.55 | 182.08 | 257.89 | 716.54 | 1163.02 | 1545.05 | 2068.27 |