Prediction 3620
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | EspĂrito Santo |
Description:
Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in ES
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 7.29 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 1.61 | 3.52 | 15.86 | 35.08 | 68.63 | 93.49 |
2022-10-16 | 9.70 | 0.85 | 1.25 | 1.89 | 4.06 | 21.24 | 45.59 | 71.45 | 136.14 |
2022-10-23 | 8.65 | 0.86 | 1.14 | 1.76 | 3.60 | 21.19 | 39.66 | 67.73 | 122.65 |
2022-10-30 | 9.11 | 1.44 | 1.71 | 2.43 | 4.72 | 20.88 | 50.09 | 73.42 | 118.45 |
2022-11-06 | 8.93 | 1.27 | 1.65 | 2.61 | 5.00 | 20.24 | 38.44 | 61.28 | 90.11 |
2022-11-13 | 10.45 | 1.15 | 1.55 | 2.39 | 4.66 | 22.10 | 42.84 | 70.34 | 114.74 |
2022-11-20 | 15.35 | 1.73 | 2.24 | 3.43 | 6.66 | 35.73 | 86.90 | 174.94 | 264.08 |
2022-11-27 | 14.45 | 2.31 | 3.17 | 4.31 | 7.42 | 32.62 | 68.15 | 89.27 | 154.55 |
2022-12-04 | 18.12 | 1.94 | 3.35 | 4.90 | 8.71 | 39.06 | 81.35 | 130.64 | 204.61 |
2022-12-11 | 26.39 | 2.61 | 3.94 | 5.81 | 12.48 | 67.42 | 142.69 | 226.46 | 376.26 |
2022-12-18 | 18.73 | 1.75 | 2.83 | 4.93 | 8.99 | 40.99 | 116.12 | 179.67 | 285.90 |
2022-12-25 | 14.21 | 0.92 | 1.67 | 2.81 | 5.47 | 39.70 | 111.71 | 248.24 | 385.75 |
2023-01-01 | 28.79 | 3.72 | 4.77 | 7.66 | 12.79 | 72.17 | 162.58 | 245.65 | 379.95 |
2023-01-08 | 49.57 | 3.45 | 5.83 | 9.27 | 19.05 | 104.64 | 227.12 | 362.90 | 662.92 |
2023-01-15 | 46.79 | 5.60 | 7.70 | 12.05 | 22.95 | 99.37 | 217.31 | 371.54 | 555.42 |
2023-01-22 | 62.77 | 7.13 | 10.12 | 14.66 | 27.46 | 141.04 | 319.55 | 591.65 | 1024.98 |
2023-01-29 | 85.38 | 7.93 | 13.91 | 18.92 | 36.04 | 190.71 | 377.64 | 621.74 | 1017.47 |
2023-02-05 | 122.44 | 14.16 | 19.53 | 29.26 | 57.52 | 257.58 | 611.55 | 950.87 | 1773.93 |
2023-02-12 | 148.79 | 14.56 | 19.34 | 32.14 | 64.01 | 389.13 | 869.19 | 1387.47 | 2927.89 |
2023-02-19 | 163.46 | 17.82 | 23.89 | 38.03 | 79.58 | 423.64 | 1128.83 | 1997.86 | 3504.50 |
2023-02-26 | 247.76 | 23.45 | 30.55 | 51.42 | 112.42 | 501.83 | 1051.92 | 2080.96 | 3381.79 |
2023-03-05 | 271.58 | 35.85 | 46.03 | 61.89 | 131.83 | 568.42 | 1380.33 | 2392.92 | 3225.97 |
2023-03-12 | 286.64 | 40.91 | 52.23 | 75.77 | 144.62 | 612.83 | 1451.90 | 2313.52 | 3058.30 |
2023-03-19 | 354.55 | 44.13 | 57.34 | 86.33 | 172.44 | 813.33 | 1644.97 | 2660.64 | 4079.37 |
2023-03-26 | 486.84 | 93.96 | 109.41 | 141.84 | 264.24 | 1082.74 | 2490.37 | 3757.39 | 6306.22 |
2023-04-02 | 480.99 | 74.20 | 101.63 | 166.97 | 260.81 | 1038.13 | 2047.74 | 3163.17 | 4302.79 |
2023-04-09 | 676.79 | 81.97 | 108.12 | 163.00 | 310.93 | 1439.54 | 3130.60 | 4935.36 | 6775.53 |
2023-04-16 | 695.61 | 96.19 | 128.98 | 176.64 | 305.03 | 1357.87 | 2385.27 | 3464.58 | 6653.67 |
2023-04-23 | 769.21 | 123.06 | 164.63 | 240.81 | 396.66 | 1421.16 | 3349.21 | 4829.02 | 7215.56 |
2023-04-30 | 757.21 | 116.08 | 172.79 | 243.32 | 379.59 | 1648.59 | 3856.84 | 5631.13 | 7802.65 |
2023-05-07 | 758.54 | 125.83 | 169.53 | 226.11 | 379.55 | 1497.87 | 3098.72 | 5603.72 | 10778.95 |
2023-05-14 | 484.83 | 99.94 | 132.35 | 159.42 | 265.09 | 990.49 | 1950.72 | 3790.73 | 4960.54 |
2023-05-21 | 428.56 | 68.39 | 84.71 | 112.00 | 207.03 | 935.19 | 1834.99 | 2914.02 | 3645.01 |
2023-05-28 | 277.82 | 41.08 | 59.76 | 83.75 | 135.95 | 664.43 | 1439.72 | 2840.15 | 3885.33 |
2023-06-04 | 237.84 | 29.55 | 41.09 | 55.44 | 107.47 | 574.10 | 1051.83 | 1626.89 | 2188.39 |
2023-06-11 | 158.66 | 24.06 | 34.66 | 46.22 | 79.93 | 327.43 | 669.09 | 1111.13 | 1727.33 |
2023-06-18 | 112.74 | 14.84 | 19.61 | 30.77 | 58.19 | 246.20 | 423.58 | 638.61 | 864.55 |
2023-06-25 | 91.45 | 9.93 | 14.05 | 20.25 | 40.68 | 204.03 | 377.89 | 556.19 | 927.54 |
2023-07-02 | 63.89 | 8.38 | 11.12 | 17.28 | 31.96 | 145.89 | 317.48 | 571.07 | 727.17 |
2023-07-09 | 36.51 | 6.01 | 7.70 | 10.52 | 19.53 | 83.01 | 167.96 | 265.69 | 458.02 |
2023-07-16 | 23.72 | 3.10 | 4.26 | 6.26 | 11.31 | 50.35 | 111.14 | 180.45 | 264.51 |
2023-07-23 | 21.43 | 2.75 | 3.43 | 4.77 | 9.47 | 46.60 | 93.24 | 131.69 | 214.64 |
2023-07-30 | 17.58 | 2.42 | 3.31 | 4.84 | 9.14 | 41.66 | 75.88 | 126.31 | 187.65 |
2023-08-06 | 13.71 | 1.58 | 2.11 | 3.14 | 6.42 | 27.14 | 57.32 | 97.15 | 128.42 |
2023-08-13 | 10.42 | 1.51 | 2.02 | 2.80 | 4.93 | 25.70 | 60.90 | 91.36 | 168.08 |
2023-08-20 | 10.95 | 1.12 | 1.51 | 2.19 | 4.68 | 23.34 | 48.29 | 79.79 | 116.44 |
2023-08-27 | 8.94 | 0.99 | 1.37 | 2.16 | 4.13 | 18.42 | 35.22 | 59.14 | 100.09 |
2023-09-03 | 7.83 | 0.81 | 1.04 | 1.49 | 3.48 | 19.30 | 50.12 | 80.49 | 162.86 |
2023-09-10 | 10.94 | 1.24 | 1.84 | 2.63 | 5.70 | 24.11 | 53.16 | 72.15 | 105.08 |
2023-09-17 | 10.20 | 1.22 | 1.76 | 2.65 | 5.32 | 24.24 | 50.30 | 85.30 | 139.14 |
2023-09-24 | 11.79 | 1.51 | 2.03 | 2.86 | 5.65 | 26.81 | 57.60 | 119.80 | 178.25 |
2023-10-01 | 9.85 | 1.20 | 1.79 | 2.46 | 4.57 | 19.93 | 49.39 | 85.47 | 112.93 |