Prediction 3621

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Espírito Santo

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in ES


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 110.39 30.10 35.90 46.11 68.52 187.19 322.91 424.51 526.58
2023-10-15 123.49 33.80 39.55 51.41 75.72 217.04 351.92 477.27 644.79
2023-10-22 120.56 33.19 40.20 51.95 74.18 187.07 300.65 384.77 518.36
2023-10-29 149.67 38.60 52.56 66.01 99.10 269.39 483.45 750.75 959.18
2023-11-05 159.70 46.94 54.57 67.97 97.79 261.48 422.60 572.05 775.83
2023-11-12 150.99 55.93 65.28 79.11 105.89 214.55 321.24 423.07 543.86
2023-11-19 147.21 60.41 64.75 80.72 109.25 211.36 329.14 390.41 455.10
2023-11-26 182.08 59.49 73.21 89.22 124.24 258.49 387.91 551.51 672.53
2023-12-03 233.07 84.92 96.25 118.86 163.95 347.58 477.57 573.05 732.41
2023-12-10 242.03 83.38 102.37 126.68 178.35 354.35 517.76 638.90 787.49
2023-12-17 234.90 89.03 106.53 128.58 170.25 340.40 454.19 580.61 687.72
2023-12-24 235.13 85.81 102.44 123.89 174.35 330.81 456.79 605.77 736.37
2023-12-31 703.98 263.44 297.11 362.68 499.56 1057.98 1557.14 1913.15 2223.65
2024-01-07 1031.83 343.89 428.32 508.75 712.86 1576.45 2180.61 2698.48 3348.22
2024-01-14 1423.05 512.14 592.79 704.16 1017.75 2256.08 3307.72 3883.18 4756.90
2024-01-21 1697.41 701.88 832.44 971.93 1266.52 2287.47 3327.14 4138.68 4636.01
2024-01-28 1776.60 783.40 870.90 997.25 1332.16 2465.89 3264.74 3937.65 5242.46
2024-02-04 2247.41 866.00 1028.25 1164.44 1630.31 2978.44 4081.75 5340.00 5898.62
2024-02-11 2163.96 935.24 1046.27 1217.38 1617.71 2928.60 3948.22 4672.86 5202.32
2024-02-18 1587.65 702.14 843.46 979.37 1243.27 2013.54 2661.41 3250.22 3751.13
2024-02-25 1632.75 702.80 800.49 933.01 1235.95 2189.27 2793.10 3350.69 4036.00
2024-03-03 1495.71 791.84 874.47 977.60 1195.58 1872.35 2294.83 2514.42 2889.65
2024-03-10 1215.49 686.45 748.79 833.07 1007.24 1588.11 1923.38 2224.26 2474.67
2024-03-17 781.54 385.03 433.73 486.45 615.20 1013.57 1313.84 1492.73 1763.45
2024-03-24 754.24 364.35 412.58 456.93 580.62 968.58 1242.08 1515.68 1752.48
2024-03-31 782.23 386.01 440.67 485.49 600.54 1027.73 1274.64 1528.81 1723.62
2024-04-07 573.68 266.10 305.19 353.23 452.56 805.24 1034.42 1256.14 1528.68
2024-04-14 669.87 356.68 390.67 438.33 527.31 883.84 1126.31 1435.17 1820.69
2024-04-21 663.10 343.53 382.66 429.79 511.25 876.10 1158.18 1326.87 1635.20
2024-04-28 559.31 280.90 303.54 352.64 448.04 735.03 1021.91 1218.81 1535.73
2024-05-05 466.54 216.01 241.27 282.33 355.26 661.28 856.40 1031.19 1228.89
2024-05-12 415.59 189.21 220.29 240.04 307.89 578.61 774.34 951.77 1339.72
2024-05-19 317.46 121.76 141.24 168.38 220.65 440.37 616.19 792.47 1014.93
2024-05-26 265.32 99.69 114.28 139.60 187.32 375.39 584.18 704.23 886.53
2024-06-02 218.65 75.85 92.66 110.21 151.48 319.30 454.94 603.59 752.67
2024-06-09 217.83 78.27 101.36 117.87 152.19 321.72 431.74 516.19 688.30
2024-06-16 202.58 71.52 84.04 99.83 141.93 291.08 447.41 563.15 664.25
2024-06-23 148.57 54.28 63.64 74.65 100.65 216.01 303.34 394.76 460.66
2024-06-30 124.20 35.34 45.95 53.74 77.36 191.90 303.54 397.88 650.51
2024-07-07 111.50 33.79 43.80 54.04 75.88 182.13 263.35 329.85 461.60
2024-07-14 101.44 39.32 42.10 50.69 67.97 149.61 235.10 304.96 383.91
2024-07-21 103.58 33.67 38.34 45.11 65.89 140.88 212.56 283.11 328.54
2024-07-28 73.18 20.38 26.15 34.16 49.61 121.24 196.31 266.07 367.21
2024-08-04 61.39 16.56 20.19 24.33 37.02 101.70 170.27 226.86 263.28
2024-08-11 63.45 20.11 24.81 28.42 39.32 101.52 167.83 228.42 313.52
2024-08-18 50.13 15.06 19.16 22.92 32.38 78.16 142.06 202.47 258.92
2024-08-25 49.56 15.48 18.47 23.34 32.97 81.14 124.18 171.87 223.44
2024-09-01 52.86 14.16 16.60 21.20 32.68 102.76 170.42 233.46 353.67
2024-09-08 39.27 8.64 11.98 15.54 23.39 65.37 106.14 150.41 275.47
2024-09-15 43.36 10.63 12.17 16.59 25.72 77.83 128.65 170.98 207.25
2024-09-22 48.90 11.54 14.51 19.61 31.21 77.82 119.82 160.97 220.03
2024-09-29 41.14 9.75 12.35 15.94 25.79 70.28 113.87 153.73 223.46
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