Prediction 3622

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Espírito Santo

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in ES


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 26.17 3.36 4.36 6.24 11.92 55.95 112.90 195.76 270.01
2024-10-13 35.54 4.65 6.03 7.97 15.74 78.93 165.33 243.80 399.30
2024-10-20 25.80 3.95 4.93 7.13 13.44 51.74 99.79 136.72 207.72
2024-10-27 25.39 2.89 4.31 6.92 12.30 49.48 102.37 178.30 263.66
2024-11-03 28.41 3.69 5.26 8.16 14.20 54.12 112.56 159.76 236.05
2024-11-10 30.95 5.67 8.03 9.90 15.87 61.56 112.18 175.81 231.32
2024-11-17 40.60 5.05 6.32 9.44 19.54 90.90 186.23 276.92 400.89
2024-11-24 53.06 6.21 8.23 11.51 24.66 97.00 228.60 417.16 615.52
2024-12-01 51.18 6.92 9.21 12.69 24.40 118.71 223.89 349.05 472.59
2024-12-08 57.24 7.37 10.43 15.76 29.15 131.71 294.12 469.75 636.90
2024-12-15 63.85 7.57 11.11 14.85 28.59 138.23 274.55 376.22 590.22
2024-12-22 73.06 7.27 9.44 13.38 31.83 166.88 388.27 574.21 888.47
2024-12-29 174.72 14.45 24.82 37.99 72.81 457.81 1117.38 1742.52 3298.28
2025-01-05 214.81 28.28 35.77 53.29 93.49 552.20 1164.78 1815.67 3307.63
2025-01-12 345.72 33.62 48.36 67.14 147.22 781.60 1941.56 3276.27 4633.97
2025-01-19 419.89 41.11 59.15 88.73 188.27 908.19 1714.20 2639.22 4614.20
2025-01-26 551.73 67.57 103.46 139.23 263.27 1361.62 3024.09 4334.07 6556.89
2025-02-02 677.96 87.77 122.42 176.70 315.82 1652.62 3920.04 6438.32 10718.94
2025-02-09 791.24 112.61 161.52 253.22 466.49 1611.21 3489.15 7453.34 11310.92
2025-02-16 879.63 138.32 197.54 246.38 446.84 1826.29 3490.38 6037.73 8822.30
2025-02-23 1119.48 177.51 227.99 316.14 516.62 2146.38 4290.38 7187.05 11550.81
2025-03-02 1064.08 171.87 226.82 316.03 525.64 2040.94 3845.57 5998.15 8662.52
2025-03-09 1232.82 205.70 245.60 369.85 650.61 2510.34 5527.73 8959.67 12955.73
2025-03-16 1335.92 210.53 272.34 413.22 735.11 2680.07 5391.92 9646.18 13209.28
2025-03-23 1235.62 196.81 272.49 379.01 697.80 2532.46 5137.23 6793.91 11894.51
2025-03-30 1339.98 305.73 384.52 504.80 772.12 2929.50 6517.73 10096.71 13073.77
2025-04-06 1458.26 246.27 294.44 447.55 806.06 2701.86 5486.01 7210.53 9556.56
2025-04-13 1423.54 199.74 289.62 393.19 756.44 2753.12 5439.32 9112.79 11901.63
2025-04-20 1358.10 246.40 333.05 431.26 726.73 2505.03 4770.03 7335.91 11165.33
2025-04-27 1214.28 220.14 271.40 353.51 632.77 2715.80 6086.08 8262.77 10672.91
2025-05-04 1316.20 231.43 276.04 374.46 691.59 2510.16 4749.65 8214.42 10532.41
2025-05-11 1031.45 133.70 181.36 260.23 523.74 2141.11 4218.19 6319.65 8842.54
2025-05-18 776.31 121.00 153.18 199.49 391.98 1542.24 2688.17 4402.87 6413.78
2025-05-25 674.19 80.85 112.76 169.29 335.18 1304.71 2551.28 4571.78 8148.54
2025-06-01 456.55 58.87 75.79 108.93 222.63 1040.09 1850.81 3026.81 4932.25
2025-06-08 307.99 44.52 64.13 90.84 152.29 651.41 1076.07 1765.45 2448.78
2025-06-15 248.58 38.48 52.72 74.58 121.89 532.42 1104.68 2012.06 3175.86
2025-06-22 192.64 31.04 40.95 56.15 105.29 385.76 734.76 1184.97 1731.69
2025-06-29 142.06 19.49 29.48 39.24 72.69 288.81 591.16 985.60 1574.28
2025-07-06 107.28 14.87 18.59 27.36 47.33 210.66 462.00 770.93 1345.00
2025-07-13 82.52 10.64 15.53 21.73 39.39 191.29 368.79 627.28 877.65
2025-07-20 82.31 9.38 11.28 17.85 37.84 175.89 361.77 652.93 931.59
2025-07-27 69.15 8.37 11.26 16.06 26.93 142.49 287.21 510.46 893.89
2025-08-03 42.89 4.92 6.91 10.59 20.40 96.19 187.45 302.03 515.93
2025-08-10 43.10 3.72 5.87 8.31 18.94 93.56 190.63 287.28 451.32
2025-08-17 35.45 3.96 5.32 7.80 14.77 86.93 196.97 292.95 451.35
2025-08-24 31.18 3.86 5.80 7.32 14.20 66.67 142.32 230.25 371.50
2025-08-31 32.73 3.64 4.92 8.04 14.42 68.77 136.96 213.34 352.93
2025-09-07 33.63 4.11 5.13 7.30 16.39 70.56 151.84 230.49 343.06
2025-09-14 36.62 4.54 5.72 8.19 16.48 84.62 162.46 303.66 437.22
2025-09-21 32.93 4.21 5.74 7.81 14.27 72.19 150.75 253.79 462.60
2025-09-28 40.72 4.13 5.41 8.76 18.73 97.95 242.49 379.53 554.60
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