Prediction 3623

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in BA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 126.03 47.78 54.23 65.32 86.11 198.46 301.70 461.02 653.96
2022-10-16 142.76 46.79 55.48 71.86 94.16 212.87 382.10 563.71 693.10
2022-10-23 133.85 47.11 56.21 67.15 88.23 210.65 331.86 499.74 646.65
2022-10-30 139.97 44.68 55.32 66.58 92.01 220.92 373.66 509.54 640.44
2022-11-06 138.88 49.29 56.19 67.41 96.29 191.76 286.45 375.50 583.75
2022-11-13 143.44 47.56 57.51 75.24 98.05 225.30 389.63 548.89 737.77
2022-11-20 150.09 52.78 60.38 69.18 97.92 232.95 405.56 629.25 981.10
2022-11-27 122.74 41.99 51.18 61.26 84.30 197.30 329.02 461.09 623.99
2022-12-04 92.62 39.08 43.12 52.18 63.86 150.30 217.59 303.97 382.27
2022-12-11 132.67 40.13 48.89 59.93 83.49 220.04 383.15 571.46 861.16
2022-12-18 43.57 16.34 18.35 21.45 30.59 63.25 93.47 135.11 183.36
2022-12-25 39.20 12.39 15.43 18.54 26.81 65.78 116.91 159.47 241.51
2023-01-01 130.22 49.24 59.60 69.62 91.74 195.76 283.12 442.61 590.49
2023-01-08 155.88 59.03 67.36 79.90 107.52 225.34 349.67 566.16 767.76
2023-01-15 141.85 61.95 71.99 81.16 104.10 205.11 288.53 376.50 517.05
2023-01-22 179.57 72.54 81.98 98.97 131.53 252.41 408.46 499.70 614.83
2023-01-29 180.68 61.66 80.95 95.01 127.90 264.42 378.59 420.26 491.53
2023-02-05 228.71 89.01 101.04 119.88 155.72 336.65 495.67 685.44 844.36
2023-02-12 327.96 145.11 163.72 181.49 238.76 450.44 675.04 830.02 1009.31
2023-02-19 267.98 120.12 131.54 150.62 199.88 356.48 506.31 674.19 854.45
2023-02-26 418.06 181.36 190.78 231.16 311.24 610.33 887.28 1147.65 1501.82
2023-03-05 493.21 205.98 241.10 270.15 348.04 689.43 994.76 1272.04 1698.11
2023-03-12 636.57 286.44 306.65 346.97 441.48 939.70 1479.09 1784.18 2157.14
2023-03-19 838.56 327.47 360.44 444.17 565.29 1261.29 2081.88 2977.13 4021.34
2023-03-26 696.85 285.16 327.16 387.87 522.24 1023.12 1386.24 1806.86 2361.79
2023-04-02 956.26 397.05 449.87 543.50 658.77 1328.02 1910.00 2770.43 3447.16
2023-04-09 1152.58 508.86 547.98 624.03 834.51 1710.45 2563.96 3056.45 4535.69
2023-04-16 1223.63 529.87 568.56 688.43 887.05 1755.11 2570.91 3036.62 3818.58
2023-04-23 1342.14 601.19 680.12 777.19 981.78 1844.95 2497.62 2961.47 3699.11
2023-04-30 1636.22 749.97 870.50 969.55 1221.56 2259.86 3490.88 4381.40 5427.74
2023-05-07 1824.21 802.24 911.36 1020.40 1350.98 2564.82 3527.61 4515.75 5123.49
2023-05-14 1972.60 808.78 920.59 1069.15 1433.25 2780.31 3899.94 5029.78 6774.79
2023-05-21 1839.53 736.15 799.95 1003.79 1291.26 2613.19 3553.11 4381.25 5203.74
2023-05-28 1973.60 783.53 889.91 1051.76 1363.86 2935.08 4004.02 4788.97 5941.16
2023-06-04 1608.84 705.88 767.84 908.74 1187.83 2222.18 3156.16 4270.20 6712.81
2023-06-11 1391.81 599.03 693.62 793.21 1024.16 1913.59 2956.96 3794.82 5157.71
2023-06-18 1123.52 522.27 564.00 619.48 836.98 1564.74 2160.68 2879.31 3812.76
2023-06-25 858.06 403.49 450.81 521.25 667.64 1157.04 1609.73 1970.65 2215.41
2023-07-02 860.06 420.50 457.66 509.23 655.81 1191.38 1711.26 2197.72 2838.77
2023-07-09 845.60 382.87 414.52 472.40 621.79 1136.26 1696.12 2318.06 2749.80
2023-07-16 735.34 322.94 364.07 423.00 537.68 1039.26 1408.18 1846.14 2102.18
2023-07-23 558.95 242.33 284.99 321.04 415.13 789.90 1064.19 1321.62 1625.16
2023-07-30 553.75 227.95 255.72 300.63 393.66 802.40 1112.41 1445.90 1789.02
2023-08-06 513.49 203.98 228.54 262.48 362.00 738.26 1132.56 1513.52 1685.28
2023-08-13 459.11 195.01 218.39 263.38 338.25 657.02 932.04 1167.50 1524.40
2023-08-20 397.95 165.72 198.25 229.98 300.04 590.86 806.60 1115.80 1576.80
2023-08-27 339.95 143.18 155.04 173.58 240.70 526.23 782.14 1002.10 1343.84
2023-09-03 311.57 121.88 142.74 165.74 222.07 455.43 648.79 823.91 994.49
2023-09-10 236.89 97.40 114.81 129.17 166.77 346.62 504.71 630.92 772.92
2023-09-17 227.17 89.33 103.10 120.17 163.74 333.15 541.56 741.43 1022.03
2023-09-24 227.86 84.58 95.31 115.68 159.46 344.72 560.47 727.58 963.64
2023-10-01 189.63 73.91 87.92 99.83 135.07 281.66 408.34 539.31 639.25
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