Prediction 3624

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in BA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 238.65 98.39 110.77 132.47 172.16 358.07 517.79 636.14 842.93
2023-10-15 205.33 82.77 98.30 113.00 150.14 290.31 396.25 500.65 650.58
2023-10-22 216.33 92.51 101.12 119.80 151.13 311.85 472.54 601.63 788.02
2023-10-29 201.25 83.84 91.80 107.01 137.99 294.23 433.12 528.10 661.62
2023-11-05 177.11 74.63 83.87 96.45 128.05 262.23 400.99 519.74 676.25
2023-11-12 198.55 75.73 83.39 102.13 138.16 312.74 514.56 736.21 979.36
2023-11-19 159.70 63.63 73.56 89.48 115.31 230.79 317.70 397.75 521.82
2023-11-26 148.94 57.40 66.94 79.39 108.22 214.25 314.39 486.14 821.34
2023-12-03 140.58 62.89 72.68 82.46 103.75 202.46 292.41 408.50 519.16
2023-12-10 113.31 46.72 52.64 64.46 82.35 149.76 245.87 309.69 437.87
2023-12-17 83.13 33.33 38.12 43.95 59.68 125.94 174.24 219.69 290.14
2023-12-24 69.03 25.43 28.53 33.34 48.24 97.40 158.61 202.16 244.76
2023-12-31 197.07 79.65 93.10 108.89 144.80 285.45 417.45 545.33 691.52
2024-01-07 220.36 97.16 107.36 124.61 158.89 301.12 401.05 543.47 646.34
2024-01-14 235.59 100.95 114.35 135.52 174.38 334.72 430.45 523.69 644.10
2024-01-21 315.93 134.43 151.86 182.09 242.59 431.69 635.69 786.02 883.07
2024-01-28 421.66 176.73 194.93 221.98 296.94 609.33 868.26 1137.49 1474.07
2024-02-04 453.13 198.01 216.20 253.70 327.32 706.50 1080.61 1353.50 1630.58
2024-02-11 549.30 220.02 248.86 290.62 375.10 827.03 1182.43 1628.83 2273.29
2024-02-18 585.63 241.58 272.47 317.38 417.78 849.22 1233.97 1740.76 2194.83
2024-02-25 708.91 306.75 341.59 389.12 517.28 998.97 1391.34 1751.54 2203.53
2024-03-03 912.75 415.82 451.89 526.32 661.85 1299.79 1905.03 2552.70 3141.51
2024-03-10 993.86 444.42 499.22 553.94 720.81 1392.55 2183.46 2823.04 3922.67
2024-03-17 1043.57 444.07 485.58 571.91 773.05 1475.70 2142.91 2931.29 3876.08
2024-03-24 999.60 473.51 544.33 615.81 755.01 1444.37 1914.75 2656.79 3915.38
2024-03-31 1188.80 561.22 633.58 715.67 931.79 1595.40 2482.46 3121.97 4038.24
2024-04-07 1235.24 570.92 645.59 724.83 940.27 1642.13 2306.35 2787.49 3540.62
2024-04-14 1604.13 691.78 751.11 924.26 1151.92 2294.87 3204.46 4133.05 5336.56
2024-04-21 1809.77 860.95 948.04 1106.67 1391.45 2628.38 3613.02 4615.90 5871.30
2024-04-28 2262.50 934.44 1076.85 1273.45 1609.10 3144.46 5305.40 7308.14 9608.09
2024-05-05 2202.33 900.19 1038.42 1199.85 1594.63 3083.40 4315.29 5389.43 6358.07
2024-05-12 2282.35 937.97 1035.23 1219.19 1608.72 3380.86 5342.09 7766.80 10267.71
2024-05-19 1981.07 884.80 974.09 1134.87 1483.99 2759.24 4040.40 5013.86 6019.65
2024-05-26 2003.69 850.35 953.77 1086.78 1425.09 2879.18 4277.36 5608.92 6927.28
2024-06-02 1590.13 756.26 840.85 981.87 1231.41 2153.62 3118.40 3894.70 4752.48
2024-06-09 1620.95 707.92 809.54 917.90 1225.93 2188.97 3172.15 3912.50 5891.40
2024-06-16 1280.72 575.91 648.85 765.41 965.22 1753.48 2500.48 3016.21 3828.54
2024-06-23 1002.70 479.82 542.15 616.88 763.42 1343.09 1871.08 2222.00 2867.08
2024-06-30 997.64 502.80 541.89 631.44 754.77 1449.72 1992.32 2600.66 3211.97
2024-07-07 1015.11 449.07 521.36 577.70 750.71 1469.13 2165.47 2681.73 3354.45
2024-07-14 880.41 408.13 455.40 515.40 666.39 1228.66 1765.60 2168.31 2558.57
2024-07-21 794.97 350.08 379.75 445.54 584.09 1169.22 1748.10 2333.60 2974.27
2024-07-28 695.55 317.92 345.90 412.01 515.75 982.93 1468.81 1903.43 2571.00
2024-08-04 645.01 295.24 322.04 364.59 473.30 877.03 1260.96 1671.83 2227.99
2024-08-11 512.27 221.81 257.93 302.45 389.61 690.70 951.19 1256.41 1744.14
2024-08-18 466.03 214.04 241.40 278.85 365.31 673.64 949.56 1241.50 1602.75
2024-08-25 398.55 171.67 190.66 214.99 289.67 553.97 809.84 995.64 1340.25
2024-09-01 359.53 162.18 179.75 200.95 274.22 537.67 805.37 1032.53 1408.35
2024-09-08 309.96 135.92 150.70 176.12 230.46 454.44 699.54 987.17 1395.04
2024-09-15 332.71 136.19 156.14 179.27 244.11 480.03 709.69 884.72 1053.73
2024-09-22 265.63 107.13 129.47 153.72 195.38 373.00 514.79 687.08 798.24
2024-09-29 235.11 110.00 122.27 137.53 172.10 319.96 438.69 557.98 724.77
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