Prediction 3625

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in BA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 398.02 165.15 187.01 217.90 294.37 567.39 833.25 1111.64 1510.16
2024-10-13 316.71 147.19 161.53 186.33 239.30 445.48 641.48 868.46 1085.04
2024-10-20 288.58 117.91 133.66 153.37 199.65 423.41 588.87 741.43 869.74
2024-10-27 366.15 138.36 163.64 186.86 248.53 540.01 786.62 1111.59 1448.16
2024-11-03 348.45 146.48 164.10 184.69 240.20 500.68 766.60 1104.31 1502.92
2024-11-10 280.63 118.76 136.25 156.36 204.26 394.05 576.84 721.31 897.85
2024-11-17 293.64 114.38 125.23 151.04 200.11 433.79 670.67 998.66 1418.19
2024-11-24 272.37 100.23 116.33 141.65 186.75 406.58 605.75 823.99 1025.95
2024-12-01 272.72 114.87 125.23 149.95 197.62 405.70 581.28 781.67 978.46
2024-12-08 221.92 86.80 97.00 112.12 152.77 331.32 509.09 627.96 904.02
2024-12-15 172.19 59.10 68.50 80.69 112.29 287.19 477.85 790.16 1115.53
2024-12-22 150.69 44.61 58.51 71.93 100.27 259.10 393.53 584.82 1185.80
2024-12-29 358.59 127.96 153.35 178.89 240.05 519.62 812.25 1088.50 1471.08
2025-01-05 391.68 171.03 195.72 223.73 281.78 556.38 838.11 1042.59 1327.79
2025-01-12 370.26 157.95 178.98 204.44 271.11 543.15 763.54 958.63 1376.61
2025-01-19 474.89 205.33 224.21 258.93 345.67 652.05 925.31 1361.36 1854.96
2025-01-26 695.55 277.88 328.76 390.25 506.96 972.86 1495.85 1837.45 2293.97
2025-02-02 829.70 332.73 375.29 420.48 568.92 1233.91 1751.81 2457.77 2948.44
2025-02-09 995.35 458.65 503.05 569.74 731.78 1410.15 2116.84 2864.70 4391.67
2025-02-16 1574.41 539.02 644.90 805.85 1085.57 2367.36 3791.96 5137.84 8994.44
2025-02-23 2269.93 859.48 934.11 1107.82 1550.11 3405.95 5636.96 8524.14 16993.72
2025-03-02 2337.93 943.95 1095.04 1246.53 1554.58 3534.18 5639.34 7108.06 8758.62
2025-03-09 2267.77 880.45 1033.84 1204.93 1601.74 3331.47 5205.90 7309.97 10243.43
2025-03-16 2376.92 979.55 1139.95 1353.80 1765.96 3601.13 5356.46 6481.65 10255.23
2025-03-23 2439.09 991.17 1101.51 1349.48 1693.85 3624.53 5365.17 6971.41 8788.64
2025-03-30 3004.70 1204.39 1383.00 1627.42 2109.68 4368.56 6194.76 8067.80 11067.57
2025-04-06 2693.22 1056.05 1334.83 1532.00 1997.26 3731.79 5431.06 7019.63 8915.42
2025-04-13 2791.73 1364.79 1455.43 1659.75 2116.42 3835.49 5095.68 6097.06 8978.43
2025-04-20 2795.94 1343.29 1443.25 1590.47 2089.38 3918.52 5535.04 6688.58 8823.12
2025-04-27 3030.14 1416.68 1588.34 1849.41 2297.88 4223.50 5675.56 7934.72 10475.32
2025-05-04 3281.33 1435.96 1654.36 2000.46 2487.21 4343.75 6695.32 8736.36 10478.31
2025-05-11 2645.79 1229.58 1433.12 1670.43 2098.03 3635.80 5101.23 6660.94 8088.80
2025-05-18 2424.57 1187.82 1303.32 1434.35 1849.09 3229.44 4231.95 4805.60 6316.81
2025-05-25 2220.58 1089.72 1203.92 1367.56 1693.17 2984.73 4141.58 5912.29 7967.07
2025-06-01 1982.14 1003.56 1090.28 1223.19 1548.43 2572.02 3522.56 4229.45 4998.07
2025-06-08 1707.33 834.80 924.58 1032.45 1300.13 2298.17 3077.37 3580.74 4793.84
2025-06-15 1564.88 795.76 890.55 999.49 1192.14 2126.48 2919.09 3558.22 4596.70
2025-06-22 1357.92 664.74 739.54 835.35 1033.42 1832.09 2400.84 3000.31 3734.60
2025-06-29 1377.57 640.29 725.21 840.46 1082.25 1840.21 2607.28 3140.67 3471.78
2025-07-06 1531.45 665.40 763.90 888.93 1085.44 2237.11 3207.33 4091.45 5024.89
2025-07-13 1231.37 532.76 584.57 703.47 918.02 1683.55 2492.48 2960.85 3722.88
2025-07-20 1126.73 486.67 558.39 653.69 812.11 1674.06 2394.90 2957.59 3936.24
2025-07-27 998.15 408.94 482.49 554.13 727.62 1405.02 2005.30 2575.52 3520.01
2025-08-03 917.11 375.07 431.33 507.94 691.34 1297.61 1875.20 2264.77 2610.22
2025-08-10 824.73 343.08 402.62 469.52 613.29 1153.19 1660.92 2069.59 2934.52
2025-08-17 725.74 315.49 356.95 420.64 536.42 1039.64 1543.38 2073.56 2739.89
2025-08-24 561.93 226.03 263.83 303.09 411.78 868.36 1263.15 1565.80 2008.34
2025-08-31 633.40 255.69 289.26 339.50 450.42 866.96 1297.95 2011.61 2384.94
2025-09-07 542.32 211.94 250.44 291.20 376.93 769.34 1213.72 1696.68 2307.15
2025-09-14 493.15 179.20 209.95 265.19 368.36 712.61 1103.03 1300.58 1637.88
2025-09-21 466.74 181.72 198.63 242.18 331.00 706.73 1067.02 1511.84 1899.29
2025-09-28 482.78 185.16 207.42 229.66 326.38 706.21 1213.96 1651.71 2207.55
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