Prediction 3626

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in CE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 43.51 5.11 7.09 10.33 19.30 95.70 191.13 332.76 575.74
2022-10-16 49.75 4.38 7.06 11.38 22.11 111.12 276.54 502.08 780.40
2022-10-23 46.60 5.68 7.76 12.18 22.81 94.68 192.35 301.48 577.31
2022-10-30 42.46 5.45 8.08 11.60 20.13 92.23 233.90 395.35 560.25
2022-11-06 42.02 5.61 7.85 11.14 22.22 101.29 210.73 308.45 454.42
2022-11-13 54.18 6.67 8.36 12.18 24.59 125.97 291.73 474.50 761.62
2022-11-20 48.07 4.56 6.23 12.03 21.57 109.09 267.28 472.41 770.07
2022-11-27 45.37 4.59 7.08 10.21 19.57 99.60 214.11 375.53 771.85
2022-12-04 33.53 5.65 7.07 10.11 17.64 78.15 169.16 271.79 347.90
2022-12-11 41.35 3.37 5.25 7.55 18.30 91.56 227.96 331.20 489.15
2022-12-18 13.86 1.83 2.53 4.00 6.73 31.03 73.80 143.02 208.85
2022-12-25 10.36 1.09 1.39 2.22 4.45 24.81 62.99 102.05 173.16
2023-01-01 44.41 6.14 8.25 11.59 21.98 88.99 212.20 411.37 593.51
2023-01-08 49.31 7.42 9.81 13.36 26.64 95.22 203.11 348.44 628.50
2023-01-15 51.05 7.96 11.47 14.34 25.55 118.97 228.32 333.82 540.04
2023-01-22 62.31 8.34 12.23 19.92 33.64 130.02 327.75 494.66 712.27
2023-01-29 67.45 10.37 14.45 19.46 36.23 130.80 248.53 417.22 656.92
2023-02-05 69.46 12.25 15.19 21.52 34.53 158.08 349.50 572.81 842.08
2023-02-12 112.57 20.89 27.19 34.47 61.11 229.95 466.22 672.05 1121.52
2023-02-19 104.85 19.30 23.87 32.77 50.30 206.15 449.02 755.52 1311.21
2023-02-26 146.80 29.70 35.32 43.93 77.75 280.84 559.43 851.89 1433.62
2023-03-05 158.55 25.31 32.57 45.82 83.28 291.76 653.61 1059.16 1719.35
2023-03-12 220.55 37.99 46.11 65.58 114.66 479.57 1043.46 1845.20 2774.45
2023-03-19 278.45 35.89 49.52 68.65 136.27 552.69 1309.56 2072.32 3661.46
2023-03-26 260.36 46.94 53.65 74.90 142.59 541.23 1014.58 1450.24 2957.64
2023-04-02 304.38 53.65 72.68 101.67 163.40 634.19 1426.56 2579.52 4216.57
2023-04-09 412.93 69.37 86.26 120.63 222.18 872.93 1643.94 2730.75 4268.52
2023-04-16 461.53 96.25 121.77 148.45 236.06 920.22 1807.58 2576.55 3790.10
2023-04-23 489.59 110.78 138.25 174.09 275.53 985.44 1916.81 2749.17 4077.03
2023-04-30 677.54 116.37 140.99 211.81 376.90 1426.72 2521.32 3498.34 4206.93
2023-05-07 690.51 130.15 181.25 239.87 372.60 1291.03 2632.40 4197.28 5885.91
2023-05-14 726.56 125.16 164.82 221.02 382.15 1400.38 2986.34 4870.79 8563.71
2023-05-21 663.22 101.17 137.79 208.82 333.95 1407.02 2552.30 4030.75 6854.85
2023-05-28 665.11 107.61 143.22 194.58 361.33 1255.64 2482.49 3516.31 5041.07
2023-06-04 592.93 101.30 134.30 172.13 309.88 1123.69 2369.31 4189.25 6596.11
2023-06-11 502.25 89.53 111.56 147.14 268.63 1055.74 2226.15 3115.80 4879.96
2023-06-18 416.82 69.04 87.02 125.99 218.37 830.73 1703.01 2406.80 3653.16
2023-06-25 315.46 73.14 89.29 120.00 182.36 614.55 1169.43 1904.20 2583.89
2023-07-02 346.24 71.77 89.84 115.79 188.02 668.08 1180.95 1857.63 3199.59
2023-07-09 334.19 61.37 76.69 95.54 170.03 617.92 1324.80 2483.28 3925.27
2023-07-16 289.65 50.65 64.84 85.30 153.93 535.67 1032.77 1528.33 2572.47
2023-07-23 200.98 42.59 54.59 68.01 111.10 431.09 775.03 1168.01 1799.66
2023-07-30 202.55 32.86 42.39 61.39 110.31 404.29 809.52 1215.46 1893.19
2023-08-06 169.64 27.44 36.66 47.54 87.99 310.30 646.63 1044.33 1544.54
2023-08-13 163.63 28.82 38.58 51.87 82.04 314.81 749.72 1263.22 1927.69
2023-08-20 138.11 26.78 31.71 42.35 72.70 270.45 578.67 924.85 1573.99
2023-08-27 120.94 16.49 22.07 29.73 58.28 253.85 557.77 884.79 1431.19
2023-09-03 100.92 18.31 22.26 34.10 55.46 224.02 443.55 672.34 1166.50
2023-09-10 87.95 16.19 20.43 28.58 46.54 193.34 400.89 651.56 951.95
2023-09-17 82.18 12.05 14.91 22.54 41.54 147.19 264.94 376.38 710.54
2023-09-24 72.51 11.14 15.19 20.87 36.44 160.92 383.50 603.26 782.70
2023-10-01 60.88 8.02 12.24 19.06 31.60 140.30 351.16 538.90 934.59
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