Prediction 3627

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in CE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 521.89 124.08 154.10 219.78 320.40 963.16 1616.83 2196.24 2703.02
2023-10-15 548.22 137.04 162.22 215.92 339.40 864.81 1401.25 1893.14 2643.85
2023-10-22 462.09 121.60 144.33 185.58 279.28 785.11 1359.50 1737.77 2383.38
2023-10-29 445.42 112.89 133.82 190.63 280.09 764.15 1202.13 1656.27 2448.74
2023-11-05 408.99 98.45 124.34 160.57 251.54 724.44 1117.62 1387.98 1853.81
2023-11-12 397.52 101.09 117.25 148.59 219.19 692.34 1246.44 1662.23 2147.65
2023-11-19 365.05 81.91 105.43 130.21 201.42 599.52 1023.18 1415.19 1798.25
2023-11-26 303.60 84.33 97.87 125.71 181.98 523.22 826.34 1243.69 1474.74
2023-12-03 330.06 90.92 106.81 137.95 210.13 533.26 756.94 1007.06 1269.07
2023-12-10 280.93 71.17 81.68 109.98 158.71 456.16 769.96 976.40 1388.55
2023-12-17 205.00 37.37 46.17 64.89 112.31 363.41 703.64 966.12 1467.31
2023-12-24 136.93 34.78 41.88 51.84 82.97 239.13 410.14 607.43 763.04
2023-12-31 275.55 69.32 77.31 101.06 149.98 507.20 842.13 1188.98 1514.98
2024-01-07 283.06 92.19 106.28 127.96 173.66 450.88 624.10 798.89 936.47
2024-01-14 301.11 83.99 110.50 135.22 192.40 447.19 696.38 859.90 1118.84
2024-01-21 306.22 89.49 109.90 131.46 185.94 509.45 780.28 1037.98 1418.66
2024-01-28 391.47 99.50 136.84 164.41 245.70 623.35 1006.53 1482.91 1838.31
2024-02-04 402.98 105.96 133.78 168.97 261.27 619.19 968.65 1336.73 1616.74
2024-02-11 467.72 146.04 179.96 218.94 316.29 709.68 1091.26 1389.97 1607.19
2024-02-18 459.02 133.84 163.59 202.76 308.31 757.74 1304.60 1696.57 2027.96
2024-02-25 580.88 168.46 202.22 264.67 388.36 946.29 1480.52 2145.98 2740.60
2024-03-03 748.96 219.17 255.30 318.41 466.39 1135.39 1657.70 2246.24 2663.47
2024-03-10 758.14 222.53 270.83 337.71 511.96 1165.70 1786.20 2272.37 2950.64
2024-03-17 743.63 210.14 245.78 301.86 450.71 1152.11 1736.21 2341.03 2902.86
2024-03-24 714.77 241.15 270.26 321.32 474.28 1131.20 1778.46 2465.03 2973.79
2024-03-31 912.66 266.90 300.24 418.77 575.99 1401.62 2063.57 2784.17 3359.31
2024-04-07 958.79 277.25 374.92 469.58 635.67 1459.04 2428.26 3010.90 3812.09
2024-04-14 1196.30 347.70 421.37 525.49 766.55 1847.75 2829.36 3942.99 5094.81
2024-04-21 1222.09 295.07 392.89 487.89 782.19 1876.68 3096.82 4185.93 5831.01
2024-04-28 1508.14 367.34 430.86 548.87 899.20 2487.45 3864.73 5557.86 7385.15
2024-05-05 1678.94 433.64 582.30 696.87 1064.12 2553.56 3990.96 5775.10 6557.17
2024-05-12 1524.15 400.40 507.67 620.00 936.39 2750.72 4168.69 5837.24 7993.80
2024-05-19 1487.66 432.71 542.08 677.66 961.37 2336.67 3966.76 5566.10 6888.79
2024-05-26 1655.85 396.50 466.74 646.90 955.83 2639.37 4850.81 6549.60 9701.11
2024-06-02 1573.22 355.50 465.53 594.90 956.47 2536.58 4233.25 6084.31 7927.52
2024-06-09 1521.58 375.47 459.37 584.89 943.60 2612.29 4127.90 5231.21 6779.75
2024-06-16 1331.56 332.10 378.55 513.47 793.52 2228.48 3738.15 6064.24 7692.86
2024-06-23 1315.48 335.21 413.71 512.72 783.98 2049.59 3707.27 5542.94 8112.53
2024-06-30 1310.42 301.00 359.07 502.88 827.56 2280.16 3701.75 5420.63 7655.11
2024-07-07 1277.20 309.76 356.98 446.20 714.49 2044.41 3916.31 5083.49 7416.15
2024-07-14 1072.43 291.54 340.80 422.50 641.50 1752.71 2992.75 4721.21 5888.59
2024-07-21 976.70 229.16 283.13 354.53 543.78 1688.80 2901.51 3636.62 5184.17
2024-07-28 931.30 189.78 243.25 330.28 549.05 1727.42 3047.25 4550.89 5814.13
2024-08-04 890.20 182.31 236.23 311.80 513.17 1541.52 3001.61 4353.31 5360.84
2024-08-11 770.17 167.35 206.27 287.29 450.41 1358.90 2125.28 2898.49 4657.85
2024-08-18 715.02 150.22 175.41 262.23 450.93 1320.58 2205.41 2919.29 4029.15
2024-08-25 610.25 140.12 161.32 215.42 341.84 1029.96 1723.12 2419.76 3449.35
2024-09-01 626.40 150.20 170.41 226.23 364.83 1083.74 1850.98 2711.76 3466.95
2024-09-08 574.20 107.83 138.42 191.60 338.72 1009.38 1769.84 2719.45 3413.01
2024-09-15 512.34 107.25 133.95 200.42 294.02 958.61 1699.03 2325.85 2964.12
2024-09-22 491.83 120.83 139.90 194.24 312.39 891.83 1603.95 2171.60 3125.68
2024-09-29 397.34 84.15 101.65 132.17 222.60 698.43 1162.26 1569.16 2300.75
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