Prediction 3628

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in CE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 364.80 62.79 82.91 113.98 187.47 754.39 1475.64 2080.63 2547.37
2024-10-13 278.72 54.23 66.37 93.11 158.98 497.82 995.84 1292.27 1699.43
2024-10-20 230.73 42.89 56.37 71.25 123.39 506.45 1043.26 1620.62 2519.66
2024-10-27 305.60 43.66 61.21 86.80 141.63 583.53 1251.41 1807.23 2618.34
2024-11-03 238.93 37.99 46.16 67.78 127.07 458.15 848.18 1107.22 1394.45
2024-11-10 218.17 43.72 53.25 71.70 116.19 417.16 843.53 1174.38 1754.76
2024-11-17 194.79 36.33 46.23 59.47 97.32 411.28 851.44 1195.11 1854.98
2024-11-24 195.05 37.90 43.69 57.89 111.54 367.17 716.15 1083.02 1397.07
2024-12-01 213.56 38.01 52.02 67.96 117.25 408.55 764.09 1094.28 1537.38
2024-12-08 178.37 31.46 39.72 53.86 89.77 409.98 789.05 1235.13 1836.65
2024-12-15 138.75 18.23 22.82 29.09 59.63 313.59 620.29 921.23 1594.93
2024-12-22 96.77 11.91 15.42 22.34 49.15 226.71 563.67 876.84 1462.75
2024-12-29 171.76 34.51 44.42 61.35 97.79 324.18 632.74 927.30 1425.79
2025-01-05 199.33 39.25 55.27 71.86 112.30 417.69 756.56 1097.79 1365.57
2025-01-12 198.06 43.95 58.36 69.93 115.58 332.39 697.93 1037.74 1348.06
2025-01-19 233.49 50.45 61.86 79.82 128.34 426.12 777.82 1000.36 1443.97
2025-01-26 280.91 55.73 68.84 98.19 162.51 514.57 899.18 1351.68 1688.80
2025-02-02 303.13 74.72 92.56 112.74 163.49 551.67 1034.16 1478.12 2256.56
2025-02-09 398.28 83.07 100.62 134.51 219.49 720.03 1362.82 2064.01 2995.14
2025-02-16 477.38 108.94 138.57 186.40 285.56 878.36 1946.68 2896.54 4351.94
2025-02-23 647.58 122.36 144.27 195.29 347.78 1337.14 3237.37 4604.54 7434.31
2025-03-02 782.77 118.99 171.58 242.95 393.75 1496.02 3148.83 4860.09 6075.18
2025-03-09 767.58 154.19 185.46 258.97 430.39 1470.35 2596.18 4105.93 5280.69
2025-03-16 744.75 146.83 175.93 225.63 415.51 1398.13 2480.90 3534.13 4127.19
2025-03-23 694.91 155.51 190.68 236.49 420.20 1239.23 2166.03 3193.82 4118.69
2025-03-30 851.07 194.34 227.91 295.18 480.67 1681.84 3135.52 5222.03 6357.49
2025-04-06 892.38 218.44 279.74 322.61 514.87 1583.15 2842.26 4096.44 5884.19
2025-04-13 962.72 199.90 275.71 354.83 556.53 1958.64 3256.77 4699.34 6801.57
2025-04-20 956.04 227.00 274.84 340.18 547.43 1683.08 3160.15 4937.82 6756.53
2025-04-27 1086.00 278.09 315.99 396.37 625.34 1856.08 3380.34 5119.61 7435.46
2025-05-04 1029.47 263.13 308.41 405.21 651.13 1845.75 3109.36 5355.09 6492.18
2025-05-11 1001.60 238.62 280.78 374.37 583.97 1907.95 4045.08 5782.89 7822.84
2025-05-18 914.76 216.94 275.11 372.39 562.90 1642.03 2897.36 3986.96 4947.13
2025-05-25 913.39 176.18 228.14 315.00 520.34 1618.52 3190.06 5072.56 7053.53
2025-06-01 947.93 176.43 213.14 312.00 484.65 1769.28 3202.72 5119.08 6249.56
2025-06-08 874.57 191.16 231.49 289.07 465.37 1491.47 2672.51 4194.51 6586.13
2025-06-15 706.37 133.08 179.71 249.76 405.41 1411.01 2573.08 3644.36 4996.72
2025-06-22 691.95 151.44 177.03 260.09 394.10 1348.85 2284.13 3263.76 4188.23
2025-06-29 711.46 148.06 180.84 241.89 413.16 1378.05 2666.40 3993.76 5711.89
2025-07-06 672.82 137.81 167.07 230.08 365.44 1323.86 2413.49 3297.19 4382.24
2025-07-13 624.12 125.22 152.22 202.84 336.67 1187.54 2162.68 3216.92 4251.73
2025-07-20 512.09 130.58 150.47 183.97 306.40 1034.07 2110.32 3033.54 4608.63
2025-07-27 521.24 97.33 124.32 180.85 286.63 1008.87 2166.98 3523.90 5225.00
2025-08-03 526.06 109.69 128.06 171.65 272.06 1013.35 1816.55 2427.64 3549.19
2025-08-10 449.76 80.17 100.41 138.64 246.05 867.71 1761.48 2648.36 3900.84
2025-08-17 387.37 79.92 97.14 125.32 215.77 733.85 1431.88 1885.13 2456.59
2025-08-24 300.66 57.71 75.30 94.96 153.69 620.69 1344.01 1939.27 3173.21
2025-08-31 320.90 60.78 77.36 99.73 179.24 720.90 1567.36 2126.29 2821.64
2025-09-07 319.82 48.44 74.85 102.02 169.74 620.44 1164.31 1675.16 2475.91
2025-09-14 301.23 54.68 69.22 97.82 159.48 557.64 1114.93 1703.85 2224.94
2025-09-21 318.13 54.28 74.85 99.36 166.23 601.16 1034.41 1753.88 2190.28
2025-09-28 253.55 51.31 61.28 87.50 142.74 524.60 974.41 1395.53 2014.14
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