Prediction 3629

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in PE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 71.67 18.42 21.63 28.20 44.34 133.53 251.38 327.71 412.24
2022-10-16 82.14 19.35 24.87 32.02 49.05 157.30 275.33 352.18 559.11
2022-10-23 87.05 18.14 22.29 30.96 49.28 159.34 320.80 449.29 656.25
2022-10-30 83.48 18.89 22.06 30.11 51.32 146.18 288.61 438.23 572.37
2022-11-06 83.45 20.11 24.67 32.98 50.76 138.51 255.48 376.32 537.73
2022-11-13 87.74 22.72 25.66 33.72 53.47 159.41 317.38 489.87 761.24
2022-11-20 94.96 19.90 24.82 31.09 47.42 169.80 309.10 482.74 740.05
2022-11-27 69.17 16.00 20.42 26.27 41.38 145.06 255.15 345.00 530.22
2022-12-04 60.32 13.49 17.68 24.70 36.09 105.74 185.44 284.09 405.57
2022-12-11 72.06 16.39 20.75 26.74 42.59 137.72 267.60 399.15 558.99
2022-12-18 28.47 7.19 8.21 10.99 16.91 45.62 73.65 119.45 183.12
2022-12-25 19.47 3.58 4.46 6.62 11.33 38.59 87.39 152.23 311.02
2023-01-01 77.24 17.36 23.39 30.12 47.21 130.40 221.98 358.15 441.92
2023-01-08 97.92 25.52 32.19 38.26 56.52 160.70 270.75 363.61 509.17
2023-01-15 84.61 25.21 31.64 39.69 56.98 129.85 209.88 311.71 399.45
2023-01-22 106.91 32.45 38.10 48.47 69.50 176.25 284.36 413.71 563.82
2023-01-29 113.23 32.60 37.89 49.99 71.98 197.17 310.87 441.09 602.30
2023-02-05 136.18 38.54 45.32 54.80 83.04 229.44 383.72 564.81 736.12
2023-02-12 182.95 55.85 69.57 86.91 121.83 292.00 496.37 696.36 893.75
2023-02-19 177.04 60.58 68.65 83.49 116.83 267.06 443.63 622.11 742.05
2023-02-26 262.87 70.92 86.75 107.36 158.47 420.00 610.41 917.94 1271.53
2023-03-05 270.11 78.72 105.31 123.81 182.69 473.85 814.70 992.83 1351.45
2023-03-12 388.93 94.63 122.59 163.38 247.49 674.88 1088.85 1464.39 2110.62
2023-03-19 470.36 125.72 159.69 196.50 299.10 820.57 1384.65 1887.99 2433.95
2023-03-26 435.87 128.97 152.62 192.30 272.87 702.64 1195.28 1674.32 2301.74
2023-04-02 590.49 189.55 225.53 267.76 379.58 893.52 1428.57 2180.98 2962.04
2023-04-09 715.79 196.61 244.55 304.08 481.98 1165.16 2002.59 2608.12 3308.40
2023-04-16 808.92 229.60 268.84 334.84 492.90 1295.70 2083.59 2562.50 3346.71
2023-04-23 814.79 283.77 335.09 415.75 543.89 1306.56 2037.45 2698.16 3462.54
2023-04-30 1055.46 340.93 388.52 475.10 702.81 1685.82 2573.53 3597.03 4976.47
2023-05-07 1169.08 332.53 422.35 496.91 754.67 1776.98 2906.76 4209.87 5681.57
2023-05-14 1209.67 408.41 443.83 532.51 766.86 1958.55 2796.93 4334.45 6044.04
2023-05-21 1119.05 323.26 404.75 489.22 743.57 1768.07 2779.12 4082.20 5680.78
2023-05-28 1205.62 361.52 409.74 533.54 774.90 1931.90 3334.48 4719.67 6526.35
2023-06-04 1093.46 326.86 398.93 475.51 687.67 1619.40 2462.12 3567.94 4495.02
2023-06-11 800.87 250.45 298.91 390.11 551.29 1331.07 2226.46 3540.94 5129.86
2023-06-18 742.00 238.03 272.49 339.32 485.45 1132.14 1852.70 2564.23 3194.32
2023-06-25 554.00 189.08 230.84 290.71 395.78 790.51 1315.22 1789.95 2148.13
2023-07-02 568.88 177.44 220.19 258.47 380.25 905.17 1372.32 1893.06 2508.52
2023-07-09 553.14 184.79 203.85 256.01 364.12 851.70 1442.02 1861.66 2926.30
2023-07-16 479.31 131.57 166.39 202.57 300.46 730.93 1146.15 1442.74 1802.82
2023-07-23 360.87 106.69 128.08 150.59 222.57 545.56 913.81 1157.86 1754.83
2023-07-30 334.95 115.12 127.95 148.53 214.90 568.36 1018.06 1361.25 2012.41
2023-08-06 317.23 90.60 109.75 137.11 202.50 564.04 892.38 1157.24 1819.13
2023-08-13 269.26 73.90 85.62 114.08 171.02 479.20 847.86 1210.25 1661.39
2023-08-20 249.09 69.37 81.25 106.59 159.90 417.26 736.55 1003.70 1642.67
2023-08-27 226.16 62.53 77.50 96.98 135.72 366.24 643.88 909.97 1247.17
2023-09-03 193.03 49.83 63.97 83.01 121.32 340.53 598.13 817.73 1215.53
2023-09-10 143.61 43.79 53.35 66.00 97.41 242.16 371.48 575.29 779.36
2023-09-17 147.02 35.73 45.98 58.57 88.64 255.35 397.20 554.79 836.47
2023-09-24 130.90 31.76 40.41 50.87 81.48 230.94 384.79 590.02 787.90
2023-10-01 110.60 30.69 39.27 47.56 70.91 188.63 338.21 508.21 730.45
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