Prediction 3630

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in PE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 389.66 96.15 106.36 153.04 243.08 664.96 1141.05 1660.21 1958.86
2023-10-15 422.14 100.72 118.50 156.97 249.38 716.97 1051.60 1396.73 2083.05
2023-10-22 370.22 101.86 124.97 154.02 233.71 600.26 1012.96 1304.47 1638.70
2023-10-29 343.22 84.37 100.22 136.63 198.89 555.57 946.84 1228.33 1385.89
2023-11-05 330.42 92.42 112.50 140.55 206.57 546.55 817.25 1061.17 1209.80
2023-11-12 316.60 69.54 91.37 118.80 195.07 521.19 875.05 1327.07 1660.47
2023-11-19 278.75 74.32 87.04 109.48 166.71 481.78 839.54 1263.56 1730.65
2023-11-26 272.07 54.07 72.76 103.13 166.03 438.19 729.34 976.19 1180.06
2023-12-03 261.74 73.36 94.07 120.53 172.83 406.42 614.68 790.26 1032.42
2023-12-10 215.35 52.22 66.51 80.56 129.61 336.51 538.39 735.03 973.10
2023-12-17 153.31 38.92 47.78 61.71 89.14 291.69 446.01 605.18 821.62
2023-12-24 117.87 28.82 36.34 46.34 70.81 210.45 330.45 441.42 605.24
2023-12-31 238.54 64.41 80.56 98.31 149.01 362.71 556.03 747.17 903.33
2024-01-07 240.68 75.87 89.49 112.08 155.25 356.59 510.21 656.08 892.33
2024-01-14 243.31 81.19 106.20 121.92 163.69 346.85 514.33 642.10 809.86
2024-01-21 280.74 93.23 101.24 128.50 180.10 409.59 582.23 733.76 1026.71
2024-01-28 342.95 108.43 128.33 159.22 219.89 558.64 885.67 1142.76 1451.82
2024-02-04 363.08 122.15 150.94 179.02 245.52 597.29 912.32 1223.41 1584.51
2024-02-11 457.49 164.44 189.50 235.32 313.76 688.43 997.67 1373.29 2123.49
2024-02-18 488.00 167.98 194.56 237.62 315.86 735.84 1153.95 1388.47 2002.43
2024-02-25 578.06 178.40 220.06 264.09 377.20 880.15 1332.85 1795.67 2160.51
2024-03-03 682.17 226.03 263.51 334.64 464.66 1048.28 1540.13 2159.31 2931.71
2024-03-10 755.08 224.56 276.68 365.24 518.64 1147.93 1681.70 2187.11 2960.54
2024-03-17 732.97 238.21 300.45 377.36 517.60 1117.04 1797.31 2800.01 3297.67
2024-03-24 847.96 282.44 333.39 390.49 556.28 1220.92 1735.34 2133.69 2619.51
2024-03-31 944.90 314.16 361.39 454.27 647.23 1381.73 1917.33 2304.29 2834.41
2024-04-07 997.85 363.31 441.02 508.54 688.75 1576.70 2454.90 3057.72 4243.72
2024-04-14 1226.14 420.27 484.72 582.88 834.91 1814.18 2734.90 3415.28 4471.42
2024-04-21 1462.20 472.02 541.66 635.17 893.09 2210.15 3202.26 4636.68 5599.13
2024-04-28 1632.95 527.85 681.90 781.53 1103.66 2564.51 3861.02 5131.11 6587.03
2024-05-05 1711.66 538.47 637.46 773.54 1097.66 2577.95 4047.48 5348.54 6745.74
2024-05-12 1845.39 548.95 669.84 816.90 1156.46 2958.44 4687.95 6332.53 8408.35
2024-05-19 1648.11 479.45 569.11 671.58 1074.74 2751.00 4055.05 5587.04 7115.65
2024-05-26 1689.18 471.94 548.94 712.30 1071.51 2643.17 3921.24 5006.18 6286.68
2024-06-02 1622.96 417.74 521.60 662.88 1039.46 2677.55 4018.46 5587.31 7638.69
2024-06-09 1595.99 522.50 588.55 723.42 1053.36 2420.13 4215.43 6096.15 7256.27
2024-06-16 1342.43 405.40 483.61 594.64 859.48 2379.58 3731.78 4747.06 7043.78
2024-06-23 1169.88 373.19 407.42 515.38 736.10 1923.76 3141.71 3971.14 5289.43
2024-06-30 1269.87 332.72 443.87 543.43 794.44 2049.45 3586.98 4801.71 6607.67
2024-07-07 1283.52 332.57 441.18 543.52 832.58 2093.83 3087.53 4589.94 6135.42
2024-07-14 1078.19 328.98 377.05 469.16 680.10 1845.30 2995.31 4606.78 5816.07
2024-07-21 965.61 274.75 337.92 414.10 636.38 1552.04 2438.95 3156.07 3869.71
2024-07-28 888.44 217.93 272.27 337.49 530.54 1537.66 2502.00 3236.63 4033.17
2024-08-04 840.63 228.92 273.71 353.66 477.53 1376.53 2320.85 2858.47 3788.75
2024-08-11 766.00 192.25 242.35 305.52 478.25 1249.49 2115.88 2605.03 3546.67
2024-08-18 648.00 182.89 218.71 282.64 422.55 1053.22 1716.43 2260.82 2914.54
2024-08-25 613.78 160.03 206.63 242.58 370.38 978.85 1499.23 2125.51 2728.07
2024-09-01 597.40 113.29 152.25 211.26 339.06 990.90 1703.77 2401.83 3690.80
2024-09-08 507.11 128.79 158.86 200.65 307.59 902.28 1650.98 2438.95 3234.44
2024-09-15 472.44 127.52 153.04 191.30 281.79 826.19 1205.26 1736.59 2349.16
2024-09-22 469.31 117.18 150.79 181.70 279.87 732.87 1238.72 1783.80 2248.00
2024-09-29 396.94 90.31 113.96 156.25 236.66 624.06 1016.35 1395.26 1626.22
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