Prediction 3631

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in PE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 346.24 102.65 112.43 149.72 211.95 572.57 815.77 1128.05 1669.21
2024-10-13 278.28 86.38 104.73 128.91 194.39 416.16 651.57 908.37 1368.18
2024-10-20 242.08 67.63 82.37 100.52 147.87 366.61 629.66 805.03 970.23
2024-10-27 279.24 73.99 89.06 112.96 163.02 452.19 767.39 1244.79 1630.26
2024-11-03 242.43 72.27 86.80 102.89 152.67 392.79 614.43 715.09 963.85
2024-11-10 215.16 58.34 72.76 92.87 138.05 365.05 644.97 843.45 1069.96
2024-11-17 204.17 58.11 72.58 91.36 128.76 322.29 566.18 752.25 1273.86
2024-11-24 192.62 53.53 62.45 84.78 121.64 313.56 546.49 746.00 1099.88
2024-12-01 203.62 59.47 71.43 89.58 137.01 337.19 568.17 737.27 869.03
2024-12-08 179.36 55.29 62.42 80.68 111.39 289.53 457.71 728.60 936.26
2024-12-15 131.51 32.09 39.02 51.25 75.19 246.13 417.29 618.14 889.00
2024-12-22 103.26 27.50 31.75 39.71 61.08 201.41 354.70 482.98 745.10
2024-12-29 207.29 63.23 77.22 91.40 135.71 334.66 582.83 719.38 851.08
2025-01-05 218.94 71.65 82.28 101.63 148.31 347.89 509.31 648.19 813.09
2025-01-12 229.48 66.45 79.56 104.02 147.33 360.46 588.22 857.19 1052.68
2025-01-19 258.81 81.99 98.05 117.71 177.24 386.19 591.11 816.90 977.90
2025-01-26 359.87 113.81 140.17 164.67 232.65 540.29 830.83 1071.73 1350.42
2025-02-02 395.39 140.94 152.68 188.64 269.67 587.63 933.07 1207.91 1597.39
2025-02-09 494.17 141.40 180.95 225.55 340.31 749.24 1131.79 1505.19 1863.68
2025-02-16 680.49 222.06 250.14 294.78 416.98 1078.14 1840.91 2449.39 2741.20
2025-02-23 945.75 264.11 315.10 386.47 581.42 1562.05 2450.94 3406.03 4911.08
2025-03-02 1024.74 331.97 393.34 473.47 652.32 1667.11 2820.11 4001.70 5609.24
2025-03-09 988.49 303.98 365.01 472.52 666.13 1556.13 2439.59 3495.56 5071.56
2025-03-16 1043.47 333.31 379.92 466.20 687.47 1652.61 2416.14 3442.45 5093.32
2025-03-23 996.14 351.95 383.52 480.69 680.12 1583.10 2330.81 2974.77 4007.47
2025-03-30 1305.59 416.51 522.03 632.77 863.87 2031.11 3200.49 4320.88 6208.77
2025-04-06 1182.49 435.80 476.78 574.91 823.19 1746.85 2684.42 3639.79 4302.85
2025-04-13 1264.11 473.39 535.81 628.76 847.87 2051.43 2955.97 3767.51 4524.90
2025-04-20 1222.16 424.39 491.64 610.12 876.60 1906.27 2930.26 3959.69 4768.56
2025-04-27 1409.82 528.61 600.44 727.94 991.69 2121.31 3088.02 4080.00 5048.74
2025-05-04 1472.44 569.10 665.23 793.14 1055.96 2329.27 3647.81 4694.37 5655.04
2025-05-11 1288.77 469.77 555.91 653.71 878.74 2003.67 3267.16 4015.14 5745.53
2025-05-18 1196.49 457.04 512.08 613.66 813.65 1700.21 2543.72 3283.17 4067.08
2025-05-25 1162.74 429.10 493.92 616.86 808.82 1835.67 2818.08 3746.95 5136.58
2025-06-01 1071.60 364.27 424.62 516.84 765.34 1701.64 2699.50 3418.40 4462.96
2025-06-08 993.37 349.21 425.22 519.06 690.33 1445.74 2180.67 3133.03 3917.07
2025-06-15 897.36 273.52 326.14 411.04 597.92 1317.84 2080.43 2589.51 3648.57
2025-06-22 776.14 247.74 304.08 369.14 527.77 1199.50 1852.87 2485.28 3128.57
2025-06-29 814.79 293.57 333.16 402.87 552.91 1319.69 1943.81 2652.33 3559.25
2025-07-06 844.04 265.09 320.29 420.20 589.33 1358.42 2235.46 2935.25 3715.27
2025-07-13 698.42 223.96 277.83 343.53 468.49 1096.31 1885.80 2337.42 3187.32
2025-07-20 621.87 213.28 247.36 298.18 414.97 1022.28 1666.60 2588.64 3670.06
2025-07-27 600.53 172.71 221.15 271.21 410.76 948.08 1489.10 1975.75 2904.41
2025-08-03 537.00 152.78 199.68 246.19 358.10 834.11 1254.24 1819.23 2419.61
2025-08-10 510.29 161.53 195.59 243.77 352.25 862.55 1410.76 1824.93 2569.56
2025-08-17 480.60 140.61 161.10 200.57 295.35 753.10 1226.90 1714.44 2185.25
2025-08-24 373.62 105.86 129.03 155.72 226.23 578.75 974.11 1256.37 1401.51
2025-08-31 386.02 111.67 138.60 169.35 247.03 629.45 1129.43 1740.83 2352.12
2025-09-07 342.45 113.00 126.52 155.87 209.12 559.33 849.57 1206.16 1782.16
2025-09-14 342.54 95.66 122.39 152.60 211.71 599.12 989.06 1238.20 1423.32
2025-09-21 312.61 94.62 110.48 141.93 209.85 504.44 803.15 1053.71 1453.26
2025-09-28 287.94 88.92 100.40 128.67 186.59 461.73 798.02 1061.11 1289.03
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