Prediction 3632

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in PB


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 40.35 10.61 13.22 16.82 25.35 68.84 100.21 129.70 167.55
2022-10-16 43.92 11.99 14.87 19.04 27.26 79.85 133.28 177.38 328.23
2022-10-23 45.13 12.53 15.27 19.54 28.10 76.91 142.31 195.28 254.16
2022-10-30 44.77 12.19 13.81 18.48 26.62 77.27 114.12 154.03 260.43
2022-11-06 44.82 13.10 15.61 20.02 27.81 74.56 107.69 159.27 229.07
2022-11-13 50.11 15.06 18.06 21.46 32.29 85.33 132.38 189.67 259.33
2022-11-20 50.71 12.74 17.08 20.56 31.28 83.89 143.33 199.31 266.02
2022-11-27 41.64 11.48 12.96 16.52 25.41 72.24 110.84 151.79 182.87
2022-12-04 30.76 10.88 11.87 14.89 20.94 47.54 76.92 100.30 148.98
2022-12-11 39.95 10.34 13.24 16.81 25.81 73.66 130.78 174.05 291.62
2022-12-18 15.13 4.67 5.43 6.92 9.60 23.00 35.31 47.18 55.37
2022-12-25 12.86 3.10 3.85 4.92 7.32 24.05 38.68 50.99 75.31
2023-01-01 42.33 13.93 16.79 20.04 28.46 71.74 114.19 161.08 215.42
2023-01-08 47.49 14.30 17.47 21.80 30.61 76.59 120.90 167.81 238.81
2023-01-15 43.12 15.15 17.81 23.25 31.15 64.60 96.96 113.95 133.85
2023-01-22 59.80 20.12 24.23 29.30 40.01 92.08 141.85 190.27 225.88
2023-01-29 58.86 20.27 26.35 31.07 42.39 93.68 129.05 170.10 200.14
2023-02-05 73.36 26.34 30.97 36.74 50.48 109.02 165.33 226.79 331.86
2023-02-12 105.74 37.01 42.41 50.16 72.19 160.48 227.38 306.79 404.40
2023-02-19 91.03 34.80 41.26 50.29 65.32 141.86 228.58 274.13 377.05
2023-02-26 139.87 47.88 56.64 67.39 91.74 208.41 328.63 394.18 487.97
2023-03-05 150.67 50.63 61.90 75.90 104.69 215.38 341.00 455.99 639.33
2023-03-12 209.93 81.05 90.58 106.02 146.49 297.65 504.99 662.36 844.94
2023-03-19 262.48 82.55 104.49 125.82 175.67 388.65 615.75 815.31 1041.68
2023-03-26 241.27 86.08 97.40 115.60 165.99 374.44 532.73 649.02 953.29
2023-04-02 312.07 113.21 131.78 155.26 209.78 492.81 802.37 1045.32 1298.07
2023-04-09 391.84 154.67 167.34 197.12 267.43 589.22 868.95 1087.18 1412.25
2023-04-16 427.45 142.54 176.69 208.95 280.71 572.59 835.96 1069.77 1345.04
2023-04-23 449.69 174.90 202.91 245.69 326.71 625.89 887.51 1155.05 1490.89
2023-04-30 547.56 205.59 225.00 267.37 382.56 789.34 1123.84 1343.49 1646.59
2023-05-07 582.42 221.99 259.14 299.13 410.44 866.24 1401.95 1949.92 2583.83
2023-05-14 655.33 224.69 272.72 323.87 457.50 974.55 1414.47 1901.98 2151.56
2023-05-21 618.88 236.09 265.33 310.86 424.47 910.86 1316.27 1688.73 1991.78
2023-05-28 679.37 240.12 265.03 326.07 448.72 1064.43 1619.10 1911.66 2519.21
2023-06-04 551.09 188.37 226.30 266.62 378.23 825.87 1227.32 1747.52 2510.63
2023-06-11 458.69 162.54 182.46 218.53 320.69 676.05 1025.92 1294.91 1710.51
2023-06-18 351.00 155.75 173.98 199.48 260.92 510.82 773.72 954.57 1186.93
2023-06-25 282.32 118.05 138.40 158.55 207.27 404.39 535.78 667.11 788.61
2023-07-02 298.51 117.34 135.00 159.02 225.87 434.04 627.47 767.89 850.21
2023-07-09 304.00 112.29 125.96 158.12 208.39 432.84 623.46 759.60 872.78
2023-07-16 244.33 92.66 103.22 119.86 165.86 356.89 485.57 603.39 718.55
2023-07-23 191.92 77.37 83.02 99.40 134.05 282.79 419.06 546.97 737.90
2023-07-30 177.65 65.88 74.87 91.81 121.84 291.76 434.51 595.82 719.71
2023-08-06 166.90 64.26 78.72 90.12 121.48 246.47 362.67 488.52 628.36
2023-08-13 146.31 52.93 63.43 73.80 99.96 238.79 343.14 465.27 528.11
2023-08-20 133.80 48.91 53.21 66.17 91.84 209.70 297.42 375.35 507.48
2023-08-27 122.90 38.41 46.63 54.94 78.93 198.67 335.29 443.31 573.73
2023-09-03 100.78 34.20 39.32 49.02 67.96 152.83 239.12 335.15 457.83
2023-09-10 79.24 26.35 31.09 38.04 53.04 119.08 170.03 224.93 330.27
2023-09-17 77.07 26.04 30.17 34.92 49.87 112.43 163.57 236.94 319.05
2023-09-24 74.29 22.99 27.40 35.20 46.15 122.18 222.20 309.64 397.32
2023-10-01 62.21 19.94 24.44 30.48 40.17 94.58 140.81 206.17 252.35
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