Prediction 3633

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in PB


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 52.00 16.90 19.84 22.83 31.62 90.15 132.51 188.85 307.52
2023-10-15 43.72 13.47 16.08 20.53 28.20 71.20 122.21 177.65 237.56
2023-10-22 52.80 14.10 17.40 21.87 32.47 92.79 157.51 216.31 301.81
2023-10-29 44.31 10.23 12.21 15.87 26.01 71.09 123.49 187.49 270.53
2023-11-05 43.57 11.24 14.39 18.30 27.07 79.53 146.74 226.54 335.41
2023-11-12 48.95 12.15 14.53 18.00 27.49 91.31 161.72 265.96 476.11
2023-11-19 33.74 9.50 11.53 14.71 22.17 57.08 97.66 138.71 189.07
2023-11-26 38.83 11.13 12.85 15.97 23.50 66.87 120.72 179.56 293.69
2023-12-03 34.56 10.58 12.24 15.49 23.51 58.20 94.29 126.58 174.13
2023-12-10 26.38 7.88 9.14 10.80 16.38 48.92 74.22 110.93 184.06
2023-12-17 19.18 5.06 6.13 7.99 12.00 36.59 68.85 107.21 170.66
2023-12-24 14.89 3.30 3.98 5.56 9.08 26.07 54.03 80.05 112.22
2023-12-31 46.10 12.71 18.04 21.55 30.16 73.66 121.85 164.02 222.06
2024-01-07 54.52 16.82 20.71 26.25 36.13 85.16 130.40 177.81 229.38
2024-01-14 55.98 19.97 22.51 26.42 37.09 91.69 138.96 181.63 245.20
2024-01-21 78.52 25.24 29.47 36.77 52.23 124.59 203.23 254.57 337.79
2024-01-28 102.61 35.70 40.93 48.43 68.43 165.44 267.03 402.07 537.44
2024-02-04 112.51 29.73 35.44 44.79 71.48 187.29 308.65 395.36 527.03
2024-02-11 144.62 39.74 48.89 59.34 91.23 234.24 396.46 580.54 744.50
2024-02-18 155.54 51.09 60.36 70.03 104.09 250.91 401.00 567.46 681.38
2024-02-25 192.96 66.14 75.81 88.72 125.38 308.79 490.39 626.32 857.98
2024-03-03 250.67 83.69 95.29 112.23 161.28 404.17 686.90 1117.77 1401.28
2024-03-10 274.88 86.69 103.35 126.84 183.76 426.69 718.08 942.75 1329.65
2024-03-17 270.98 94.29 111.74 132.17 182.69 425.37 674.18 986.63 1127.97
2024-03-24 287.63 93.75 110.67 130.28 196.06 452.02 752.84 1078.88 1380.16
2024-03-31 354.39 123.72 140.21 172.14 238.45 532.12 765.14 1049.86 1375.71
2024-04-07 357.24 130.19 151.89 184.33 246.26 526.26 778.49 1000.27 1283.18
2024-04-14 469.05 156.32 174.12 220.77 303.25 733.20 1130.00 1493.29 1848.75
2024-04-21 561.08 185.81 220.71 270.02 376.32 824.46 1293.16 1782.00 2064.74
2024-04-28 690.44 221.92 256.49 307.89 432.69 1174.10 2094.65 2760.70 3425.97
2024-05-05 667.30 219.43 259.62 306.60 433.71 1053.15 1694.47 2478.16 3070.35
2024-05-12 759.93 218.15 272.23 334.54 493.59 1290.21 2358.76 3347.58 5393.56
2024-05-19 625.98 215.09 247.32 288.04 407.69 964.49 1528.50 2006.20 2855.18
2024-05-26 553.33 179.06 219.58 276.10 394.73 891.25 1353.22 1804.71 2246.02
2024-06-02 476.03 163.71 196.45 237.31 325.94 698.93 1125.38 1464.37 1786.59
2024-06-09 486.07 150.24 189.18 227.60 315.38 739.64 1146.95 1681.25 2444.63
2024-06-16 374.59 140.03 164.68 192.65 257.12 587.38 917.81 1335.11 1744.74
2024-06-23 304.50 108.50 126.76 142.99 210.68 450.65 604.36 742.84 996.23
2024-06-30 327.26 110.90 142.68 160.50 220.51 492.69 740.77 977.05 1192.15
2024-07-07 312.61 99.51 126.62 145.85 211.56 465.27 729.47 1016.61 1305.30
2024-07-14 262.91 91.16 104.35 127.37 176.62 389.44 697.71 869.71 1070.20
2024-07-21 224.49 71.48 83.27 107.39 150.83 335.39 542.76 750.83 1125.67
2024-07-28 201.62 71.35 80.58 93.81 123.59 321.68 516.45 609.59 782.24
2024-08-04 183.68 60.27 71.16 92.98 124.95 276.57 455.57 589.45 803.91
2024-08-11 157.79 48.44 57.04 70.76 98.43 240.55 365.04 484.97 626.64
2024-08-18 141.47 42.99 49.59 65.22 89.20 216.12 350.21 446.32 551.70
2024-08-25 112.16 32.37 38.48 48.16 67.95 178.68 306.06 382.23 524.98
2024-09-01 100.74 33.06 38.86 47.99 66.74 167.57 266.60 367.09 464.51
2024-09-08 96.15 29.69 35.33 43.96 62.18 160.14 306.51 437.66 554.32
2024-09-15 95.76 25.28 29.74 39.77 57.90 165.80 295.59 421.30 521.89
2024-09-22 74.10 21.79 26.77 32.83 46.40 115.90 180.33 255.67 341.07
2024-09-29 64.48 22.12 25.99 31.87 44.49 95.83 147.56 194.14 232.85
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