Prediction 3634

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in PB


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 66.46 21.69 25.35 30.03 42.71 103.85 159.13 238.09 372.76
2024-10-13 49.36 16.34 18.33 23.61 32.63 79.50 131.45 163.44 181.61
2024-10-20 42.16 13.18 16.15 18.71 26.45 65.86 115.09 147.18 209.81
2024-10-27 55.15 12.59 18.01 23.17 33.87 92.76 156.38 215.05 311.58
2024-11-03 53.62 15.17 18.12 23.20 32.85 86.55 154.69 200.13 266.05
2024-11-10 44.91 13.99 16.70 20.93 29.75 67.57 113.71 147.39 194.54
2024-11-17 47.04 14.41 17.31 21.32 29.87 77.61 136.59 215.28 402.40
2024-11-24 43.34 13.04 15.26 19.10 28.53 70.03 109.12 144.79 213.98
2024-12-01 43.21 12.43 14.65 18.11 28.61 69.67 114.51 158.73 184.89
2024-12-08 34.50 8.40 11.04 13.64 19.96 60.80 98.37 128.26 217.35
2024-12-15 23.39 5.92 7.47 9.02 13.88 41.09 72.87 104.51 128.81
2024-12-22 22.85 4.30 5.63 7.28 12.56 41.09 85.01 124.16 166.85
2024-12-29 57.38 15.53 19.21 25.64 36.70 89.30 156.12 202.85 272.73
2025-01-05 65.40 20.76 25.65 31.52 43.15 101.79 170.72 236.44 287.09
2025-01-12 60.05 22.79 25.84 30.14 41.38 93.80 147.43 209.09 270.14
2025-01-19 83.71 24.03 30.10 40.54 54.76 124.63 208.30 305.21 375.48
2025-01-26 111.49 34.66 41.24 50.89 72.15 162.34 241.66 311.12 392.10
2025-02-02 144.79 45.48 52.56 65.97 94.73 225.10 357.91 459.24 715.56
2025-02-09 184.29 54.65 68.61 84.86 120.58 284.76 434.99 732.08 937.73
2025-02-16 251.22 80.20 90.82 112.07 162.09 378.63 589.53 775.29 1028.66
2025-02-23 378.40 109.78 133.47 163.99 240.14 634.33 980.01 1470.19 1813.15
2025-03-02 377.25 124.18 149.14 178.21 250.95 607.10 1006.49 1370.71 1910.24
2025-03-09 399.28 127.30 152.02 179.11 254.52 611.48 963.15 1468.21 1963.33
2025-03-16 430.78 142.90 168.84 203.17 287.70 658.84 1051.84 1345.63 1666.10
2025-03-23 420.01 160.05 176.06 216.46 291.52 621.15 1013.80 1357.05 1683.91
2025-03-30 518.53 166.50 197.58 246.20 347.59 792.32 1186.50 1454.41 2240.34
2025-04-06 466.88 178.37 211.89 247.08 333.53 693.01 1057.52 1319.13 1979.41
2025-04-13 475.95 182.65 208.77 256.29 344.76 735.99 1040.80 1418.43 1737.59
2025-04-20 478.64 197.37 223.17 260.26 353.73 731.27 1038.65 1336.32 1502.41
2025-04-27 513.93 230.68 249.90 284.77 384.26 729.86 964.38 1196.25 1525.87
2025-05-04 545.53 222.01 242.31 286.34 385.77 775.98 1141.34 1484.87 1673.64
2025-05-11 453.13 177.35 199.16 246.91 326.14 652.80 842.02 1060.95 1267.26
2025-05-18 401.50 181.15 194.46 220.32 290.98 560.63 758.54 922.35 1086.66
2025-05-25 381.69 166.88 176.42 205.39 268.67 534.45 757.62 919.76 1190.26
2025-06-01 329.59 135.69 166.24 187.99 237.20 461.65 668.31 840.17 936.44
2025-06-08 296.94 125.74 143.51 162.38 214.08 420.21 597.86 687.48 943.55
2025-06-15 251.36 104.52 114.10 139.13 178.12 360.44 538.53 677.90 944.69
2025-06-22 217.64 80.72 99.65 116.93 150.21 340.49 500.37 603.33 708.56
2025-06-29 246.88 85.84 105.48 121.97 168.84 344.51 488.98 606.87 789.21
2025-07-06 251.70 91.88 102.10 122.02 171.69 393.20 638.23 892.00 1203.40
2025-07-13 202.93 73.39 85.29 103.88 138.93 309.91 419.49 617.29 830.48
2025-07-20 181.21 66.55 74.30 88.71 126.33 278.01 398.19 508.59 783.38
2025-07-27 156.03 51.86 62.50 77.14 109.12 235.61 341.31 457.48 631.12
2025-08-03 138.89 52.24 60.18 73.11 97.51 203.64 325.12 433.93 536.63
2025-08-10 129.77 44.08 51.17 60.34 83.32 189.30 276.82 358.21 485.59
2025-08-17 116.96 35.83 43.69 55.90 77.70 170.51 275.80 355.68 472.46
2025-08-24 89.41 30.62 35.21 41.05 57.77 140.10 214.16 278.04 363.41
2025-08-31 97.19 30.97 35.42 43.42 63.34 155.83 229.89 304.79 354.09
2025-09-07 91.93 28.02 33.57 39.51 58.48 143.97 234.81 328.65 471.42
2025-09-14 80.12 25.97 30.89 37.50 50.33 135.30 202.26 267.10 363.04
2025-09-21 75.94 25.76 29.28 33.33 47.63 117.61 177.53 232.81 320.83
2025-09-28 77.81 22.08 25.36 32.92 49.87 133.05 205.03 302.23 500.39
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