Prediction 3635

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in PI


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 19.44 3.84 4.91 6.97 10.94 38.12 72.58 106.16 183.77
2022-10-16 21.42 5.35 6.51 8.40 13.04 46.52 91.37 149.32 193.78
2022-10-23 21.18 4.69 5.80 7.63 11.94 41.54 78.02 119.86 174.40
2022-10-30 20.39 4.03 5.18 7.03 11.41 37.55 73.30 141.12 219.41
2022-11-06 22.21 5.16 6.29 8.06 12.69 39.53 77.32 107.30 191.73
2022-11-13 21.25 5.39 6.36 8.49 12.42 41.67 70.29 101.65 172.80
2022-11-20 22.17 4.98 6.32 8.04 12.49 47.99 90.42 142.88 198.86
2022-11-27 18.13 4.01 5.50 6.74 10.79 36.49 70.79 137.36 220.24
2022-12-04 15.05 3.62 5.33 6.76 9.31 27.35 51.85 69.43 87.98
2022-12-11 18.26 3.56 4.86 7.20 11.00 34.97 77.18 115.17 212.29
2022-12-18 7.30 1.54 1.89 2.50 3.95 13.19 26.26 42.74 70.61
2022-12-25 5.78 1.09 1.36 1.76 3.21 11.70 29.07 47.64 80.44
2023-01-01 19.72 3.95 5.53 7.10 12.05 38.02 77.21 152.92 222.67
2023-01-08 23.89 6.45 7.11 9.22 14.91 44.56 86.07 119.63 188.75
2023-01-15 24.12 5.91 7.02 9.33 14.57 37.74 70.53 102.29 125.29
2023-01-22 29.53 8.73 10.29 12.99 18.61 52.93 97.89 158.93 245.47
2023-01-29 29.87 9.30 11.15 12.54 17.96 55.20 99.26 137.55 181.29
2023-02-05 38.65 9.27 11.72 15.03 23.99 66.76 116.02 184.13 283.22
2023-02-12 53.92 15.64 17.17 22.78 32.65 88.82 161.80 234.20 352.17
2023-02-19 45.73 13.72 16.20 21.02 29.15 78.83 130.66 192.21 256.28
2023-02-26 70.59 19.64 21.81 26.46 42.48 125.78 243.05 319.34 405.97
2023-03-05 75.78 21.62 26.43 32.09 47.69 129.76 246.43 325.63 439.15
2023-03-12 100.08 25.37 35.72 41.16 62.51 169.14 304.50 471.51 712.15
2023-03-19 128.85 31.50 40.31 52.56 77.47 232.61 417.46 592.07 1191.30
2023-03-26 117.07 31.14 37.90 50.67 69.34 206.37 339.49 509.23 629.44
2023-04-02 155.37 43.83 54.14 61.98 93.54 265.58 445.96 664.74 857.48
2023-04-09 193.41 54.54 66.81 80.92 113.09 330.57 663.24 955.50 1711.72
2023-04-16 219.46 65.33 79.04 89.37 134.65 360.48 634.79 986.63 1579.52
2023-04-23 227.26 70.63 82.44 102.02 145.09 357.67 583.10 801.22 1294.16
2023-04-30 264.85 95.17 103.79 122.31 171.49 435.37 654.75 1084.85 1669.31
2023-05-07 298.40 97.26 106.94 134.70 195.83 499.48 878.75 1366.69 1937.26
2023-05-14 332.03 99.83 112.53 139.45 206.51 595.58 1112.83 1769.43 2389.16
2023-05-21 303.51 93.67 114.70 135.94 183.27 529.66 899.27 1430.57 2099.92
2023-05-28 316.26 86.26 107.05 135.71 193.23 548.60 1072.89 1449.30 2017.23
2023-06-04 286.21 76.16 92.94 117.31 176.28 488.39 795.36 1270.38 1619.15
2023-06-11 262.48 61.40 79.50 100.72 153.24 428.60 705.04 1048.64 1552.90
2023-06-18 186.19 54.27 69.74 84.34 120.91 312.63 659.04 1125.47 1554.07
2023-06-25 157.10 47.40 57.00 70.93 101.55 251.36 418.99 671.41 1068.28
2023-07-02 146.57 46.65 55.61 67.65 98.55 236.42 389.87 610.06 820.43
2023-07-09 144.08 44.77 50.36 64.40 96.62 236.79 435.60 644.08 819.79
2023-07-16 131.71 43.10 48.74 56.24 80.20 203.18 353.95 514.38 643.76
2023-07-23 97.85 28.32 34.05 42.67 61.95 160.18 270.18 405.23 588.88
2023-07-30 100.83 25.95 30.99 36.97 58.83 179.71 346.35 480.33 589.37
2023-08-06 87.97 21.11 28.93 37.07 53.28 156.15 275.74 397.43 663.71
2023-08-13 74.30 21.12 24.70 31.90 47.95 131.43 234.75 358.28 618.42
2023-08-20 67.07 16.57 22.36 27.26 41.82 120.99 245.70 336.22 559.18
2023-08-27 64.25 14.49 18.37 24.44 36.55 110.12 205.92 319.53 514.03
2023-09-03 50.64 13.17 14.83 20.65 29.31 97.35 189.32 269.78 393.53
2023-09-10 38.76 11.04 13.84 16.93 25.02 72.27 127.86 197.66 332.69
2023-09-17 38.99 9.52 11.52 14.89 23.26 72.96 132.15 191.25 231.72
2023-09-24 35.23 8.94 11.15 14.84 20.69 65.85 119.51 200.19 315.36
2023-10-01 30.84 8.38 9.90 13.23 19.27 55.71 94.65 130.31 188.44
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