Prediction 3636

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in PI


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 27.70 4.60 5.78 8.23 14.50 54.15 102.30 237.32 304.25
2023-10-15 21.80 4.06 4.99 6.40 11.14 43.15 86.71 148.96 205.13
2023-10-22 28.73 5.53 6.94 9.04 14.49 55.17 125.52 194.88 300.42
2023-10-29 22.54 3.72 4.95 6.43 11.58 46.25 95.56 158.38 248.40
2023-11-05 24.67 3.44 4.41 6.52 11.72 48.93 91.81 117.91 183.92
2023-11-12 26.01 3.58 4.43 6.34 11.62 57.76 115.21 195.26 290.88
2023-11-19 19.44 3.79 4.50 6.13 10.70 37.24 68.79 102.89 155.41
2023-11-26 19.50 3.34 4.07 5.19 10.07 37.95 79.82 121.79 187.23
2023-12-03 17.66 3.63 4.71 6.37 9.86 36.35 64.20 117.16 188.32
2023-12-10 13.88 2.25 3.09 4.06 7.03 28.32 61.76 101.58 160.60
2023-12-17 9.15 1.57 2.06 2.65 4.53 19.98 44.31 68.28 99.44
2023-12-24 8.02 1.36 1.62 2.39 4.18 18.56 41.02 72.87 98.42
2023-12-31 26.70 5.70 7.06 8.88 16.04 52.34 96.22 152.84 238.84
2024-01-07 32.35 7.79 9.87 12.27 18.01 63.02 117.81 193.01 291.96
2024-01-14 33.79 8.38 9.66 11.78 18.87 63.00 116.55 168.14 251.33
2024-01-21 46.99 9.85 12.92 17.78 26.88 94.22 165.66 238.90 313.93
2024-01-28 61.57 12.39 14.89 18.52 32.06 120.18 261.71 403.91 535.91
2024-02-04 66.37 14.18 17.69 23.26 38.87 143.08 262.34 402.88 592.54
2024-02-11 89.25 17.68 22.39 29.64 48.60 174.90 368.53 551.13 717.25
2024-02-18 89.29 19.31 26.07 31.91 50.98 180.12 348.79 500.41 725.52
2024-02-25 113.95 26.49 33.13 44.59 67.72 221.60 436.40 687.52 1080.59
2024-03-03 163.22 33.43 40.99 55.26 85.94 317.60 598.14 797.56 1196.22
2024-03-10 176.75 36.24 47.34 60.70 96.71 345.13 612.04 858.02 1319.34
2024-03-17 164.00 41.99 49.13 60.68 95.99 310.56 529.08 759.71 1217.99
2024-03-24 164.39 43.41 55.55 68.76 99.99 308.44 635.51 1108.41 1504.25
2024-03-31 206.91 61.96 68.01 89.54 129.54 356.33 704.09 990.51 1327.76
2024-04-07 194.67 61.63 69.96 83.98 124.80 326.19 716.93 1022.16 1474.06
2024-04-14 249.06 60.90 72.60 99.16 150.57 484.67 832.75 1271.77 1820.12
2024-04-21 334.41 75.51 99.54 127.77 198.91 581.01 1119.84 1627.89 2584.87
2024-04-28 374.63 87.68 111.53 150.07 225.64 718.99 1260.56 2337.64 3077.88
2024-05-05 399.29 84.96 100.26 131.13 224.11 731.80 1229.91 1727.11 2307.02
2024-05-12 412.76 86.92 104.04 139.27 252.06 712.99 1272.85 1527.62 2387.16
2024-05-19 352.57 85.74 102.88 135.96 202.66 642.32 1181.29 1935.25 3213.23
2024-05-26 326.75 87.09 101.26 120.89 188.59 635.24 1222.78 1840.01 2324.03
2024-06-02 283.40 64.49 80.14 103.16 159.85 511.01 944.03 1381.52 1878.16
2024-06-09 272.69 65.90 78.36 105.81 165.43 507.35 941.84 1305.40 1761.64
2024-06-16 212.91 55.18 63.20 78.01 120.63 403.96 868.51 1262.80 1681.55
2024-06-23 167.62 44.18 54.73 68.49 106.78 300.36 501.99 830.74 1082.60
2024-06-30 179.22 42.16 52.75 72.75 108.90 302.61 588.75 878.85 1228.78
2024-07-07 164.82 40.74 52.38 68.11 101.06 303.41 580.26 966.76 1285.93
2024-07-14 139.25 38.64 47.49 61.92 87.15 244.50 429.76 631.36 978.86
2024-07-21 122.95 26.80 31.91 41.36 70.86 242.79 455.62 805.39 1233.34
2024-07-28 112.24 30.91 35.85 45.21 66.43 215.52 447.62 712.85 1023.23
2024-08-04 106.21 26.26 33.13 40.69 64.26 203.13 356.46 466.55 677.94
2024-08-11 87.33 21.42 25.86 32.81 50.09 163.65 347.89 469.80 846.63
2024-08-18 80.45 15.74 23.15 27.72 45.77 143.49 259.15 378.73 553.14
2024-08-25 60.40 13.61 16.78 22.06 34.23 114.59 226.21 306.91 434.25
2024-09-01 59.77 11.52 16.31 21.40 33.45 105.98 229.70 349.34 431.14
2024-09-08 55.33 10.52 14.13 17.86 31.07 102.38 212.40 300.82 445.46
2024-09-15 56.98 11.48 14.27 19.61 30.51 118.01 217.90 416.25 545.63
2024-09-22 38.41 7.88 10.21 13.06 20.81 79.04 135.53 205.29 317.40
2024-09-29 37.89 8.91 11.21 15.50 22.20 72.47 137.48 184.02 249.89
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