Prediction 3637
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | PiauĂ |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in PI
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 68.26 | 16.18 | 19.89 | 26.10 | 40.39 | 136.90 | 255.60 | 359.59 | 558.18 |
2024-10-13 | 56.04 | 14.79 | 17.79 | 21.79 | 34.54 | 98.55 | 186.39 | 252.61 | 332.24 |
2024-10-20 | 42.80 | 9.79 | 11.52 | 16.87 | 25.60 | 85.48 | 149.97 | 196.90 | 265.73 |
2024-10-27 | 56.75 | 11.92 | 14.97 | 18.54 | 30.63 | 106.86 | 184.33 | 243.66 | 446.43 |
2024-11-03 | 47.38 | 11.06 | 13.08 | 18.58 | 28.89 | 88.98 | 185.00 | 293.76 | 385.87 |
2024-11-10 | 43.47 | 9.24 | 12.31 | 16.89 | 26.14 | 79.02 | 175.65 | 301.16 | 352.17 |
2024-11-17 | 45.97 | 10.30 | 12.14 | 16.12 | 26.32 | 89.99 | 164.36 | 285.91 | 461.24 |
2024-11-24 | 36.88 | 8.86 | 10.74 | 13.78 | 22.72 | 70.74 | 130.84 | 223.29 | 293.04 |
2024-12-01 | 45.36 | 10.28 | 13.10 | 16.14 | 25.23 | 91.40 | 174.68 | 257.35 | 367.06 |
2024-12-08 | 34.24 | 6.94 | 9.08 | 11.18 | 18.69 | 63.98 | 121.75 | 213.34 | 363.46 |
2024-12-15 | 25.35 | 3.93 | 5.34 | 7.00 | 12.34 | 50.37 | 107.44 | 153.78 | 191.91 |
2024-12-22 | 18.80 | 2.71 | 3.80 | 6.33 | 10.30 | 39.95 | 84.62 | 137.63 | 201.96 |
2024-12-29 | 48.31 | 9.87 | 11.89 | 18.08 | 28.66 | 87.38 | 174.96 | 277.95 | 422.08 |
2025-01-05 | 52.16 | 13.80 | 16.66 | 21.28 | 32.73 | 92.84 | 174.85 | 229.22 | 301.27 |
2025-01-12 | 57.77 | 13.66 | 15.62 | 20.95 | 32.89 | 102.20 | 196.32 | 327.28 | 415.19 |
2025-01-19 | 61.75 | 18.54 | 21.58 | 26.88 | 37.42 | 111.46 | 210.77 | 330.17 | 441.67 |
2025-01-26 | 86.78 | 25.50 | 30.61 | 37.36 | 56.51 | 170.41 | 278.12 | 387.83 | 507.91 |
2025-02-02 | 107.70 | 24.84 | 32.40 | 43.20 | 66.18 | 197.60 | 317.78 | 461.50 | 573.95 |
2025-02-09 | 138.01 | 33.52 | 43.65 | 54.59 | 78.15 | 260.66 | 425.62 | 585.80 | 779.22 |
2025-02-16 | 179.78 | 42.23 | 53.78 | 70.10 | 111.16 | 325.97 | 659.41 | 937.09 | 1191.08 |
2025-02-23 | 268.09 | 56.58 | 70.30 | 88.14 | 148.32 | 481.51 | 836.89 | 1360.72 | 1857.54 |
2025-03-02 | 268.31 | 65.69 | 83.36 | 104.29 | 159.81 | 498.95 | 954.89 | 1313.04 | 1691.55 |
2025-03-09 | 274.45 | 71.03 | 88.43 | 113.20 | 165.35 | 456.15 | 826.50 | 1191.73 | 1417.09 |
2025-03-16 | 267.09 | 77.70 | 90.17 | 108.45 | 167.53 | 461.27 | 756.15 | 1106.59 | 1610.33 |
2025-03-23 | 298.48 | 88.52 | 101.71 | 125.22 | 180.37 | 507.83 | 848.26 | 1166.87 | 1566.01 |
2025-03-30 | 346.14 | 93.43 | 113.89 | 158.34 | 218.70 | 571.77 | 1043.25 | 1474.80 | 2783.86 |
2025-04-06 | 326.90 | 99.61 | 116.86 | 140.14 | 201.86 | 541.90 | 902.64 | 1347.55 | 1703.59 |
2025-04-13 | 339.11 | 123.61 | 134.67 | 154.25 | 217.67 | 555.38 | 875.96 | 1238.52 | 1815.93 |
2025-04-20 | 375.08 | 118.21 | 132.31 | 165.72 | 239.74 | 605.48 | 969.75 | 1557.50 | 2075.76 |
2025-04-27 | 359.96 | 121.00 | 133.33 | 165.52 | 239.81 | 606.27 | 1013.63 | 1581.43 | 2228.66 |
2025-05-04 | 437.38 | 126.89 | 146.75 | 188.28 | 272.16 | 649.55 | 1163.72 | 1577.76 | 1981.15 |
2025-05-11 | 368.13 | 115.80 | 132.45 | 166.56 | 233.02 | 571.59 | 990.86 | 1467.14 | 1865.28 |
2025-05-18 | 305.43 | 104.20 | 125.04 | 150.86 | 208.20 | 514.15 | 763.94 | 1014.81 | 1434.47 |
2025-05-25 | 315.24 | 100.17 | 114.53 | 131.32 | 199.68 | 512.91 | 896.25 | 1197.99 | 1693.99 |
2025-06-01 | 287.10 | 97.17 | 108.66 | 132.67 | 184.93 | 449.95 | 848.42 | 1247.28 | 1815.77 |
2025-06-08 | 245.95 | 69.95 | 88.41 | 110.53 | 157.37 | 420.80 | 636.56 | 885.40 | 1187.48 |
2025-06-15 | 232.90 | 78.91 | 90.39 | 108.49 | 144.99 | 401.75 | 638.81 | 935.21 | 1172.19 |
2025-06-22 | 202.78 | 64.17 | 71.13 | 87.50 | 126.38 | 310.37 | 610.89 | 895.08 | 1230.87 |
2025-06-29 | 214.75 | 61.27 | 76.74 | 93.84 | 134.28 | 356.26 | 617.78 | 816.32 | 1052.90 |
2025-07-06 | 202.48 | 52.57 | 71.09 | 86.36 | 127.32 | 349.30 | 682.24 | 1061.67 | 1459.90 |
2025-07-13 | 178.67 | 43.39 | 54.03 | 72.84 | 108.69 | 272.00 | 519.10 | 662.83 | 956.62 |
2025-07-20 | 148.28 | 40.68 | 51.46 | 65.25 | 92.23 | 247.62 | 409.10 | 613.89 | 885.41 |
2025-07-27 | 146.13 | 38.81 | 46.92 | 59.53 | 87.27 | 251.59 | 454.60 | 718.60 | 933.46 |
2025-08-03 | 127.91 | 36.00 | 40.35 | 50.95 | 74.20 | 222.03 | 396.18 | 553.33 | 777.89 |
2025-08-10 | 116.78 | 30.19 | 34.09 | 44.37 | 64.64 | 233.22 | 411.29 | 664.98 | 1029.25 |
2025-08-17 | 102.91 | 28.93 | 35.36 | 42.63 | 63.69 | 182.03 | 281.98 | 396.64 | 532.94 |
2025-08-24 | 76.73 | 17.72 | 22.10 | 29.09 | 46.38 | 149.25 | 274.19 | 419.86 | 635.98 |
2025-08-31 | 83.19 | 19.97 | 26.07 | 31.88 | 47.79 | 156.83 | 263.43 | 465.27 | 681.67 |
2025-09-07 | 76.67 | 17.72 | 21.87 | 27.55 | 47.02 | 154.62 | 274.45 | 444.13 | 666.76 |
2025-09-14 | 71.52 | 17.31 | 21.14 | 26.20 | 41.94 | 136.14 | 243.36 | 480.84 | 631.00 |
2025-09-21 | 75.49 | 15.74 | 19.43 | 27.21 | 44.58 | 137.74 | 258.78 | 435.25 | 602.52 |
2025-09-28 | 63.10 | 14.38 | 19.30 | 25.30 | 38.49 | 123.33 | 231.30 | 299.32 | 443.30 |