Prediction 3639

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in RN


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 32.68 5.21 7.07 11.23 19.36 81.55 177.46 290.34 435.88
2023-10-15 31.61 5.21 7.22 9.43 16.62 61.87 130.59 188.58 308.80
2023-10-22 46.30 5.54 7.40 9.86 21.01 107.34 192.24 306.89 463.80
2023-10-29 35.00 4.92 7.22 10.23 17.99 76.17 161.45 234.53 336.35
2023-11-05 37.00 4.97 7.97 10.81 18.74 79.41 178.65 272.05 433.78
2023-11-12 41.65 6.53 7.95 10.95 20.02 91.91 213.32 363.76 611.46
2023-11-19 30.33 5.15 6.66 8.42 15.33 61.72 130.72 250.08 341.30
2023-11-26 29.62 4.48 6.25 8.58 14.37 64.03 136.81 224.11 360.80
2023-12-03 28.06 4.61 5.98 8.51 14.50 58.10 113.36 170.77 255.17
2023-12-10 21.69 2.78 3.89 6.21 10.57 45.47 84.19 133.85 335.20
2023-12-17 14.13 1.43 2.15 3.06 6.54 35.66 72.29 132.87 199.99
2023-12-24 13.89 1.61 2.21 3.10 6.34 34.91 63.57 99.32 177.64
2023-12-31 48.30 10.17 12.33 16.06 25.82 89.58 184.78 275.37 483.04
2024-01-07 61.56 12.45 16.80 21.44 34.70 104.71 189.77 274.93 415.86
2024-01-14 60.37 13.54 15.81 20.56 31.05 105.98 183.11 262.66 362.17
2024-01-21 89.69 18.90 25.41 32.52 50.30 160.31 287.50 417.32 629.93
2024-01-28 108.60 19.55 26.49 34.75 57.85 194.55 355.68 534.46 846.81
2024-02-04 122.57 19.94 26.23 39.42 62.20 217.93 542.84 845.37 1074.12
2024-02-11 154.07 29.69 39.74 52.30 84.79 303.97 592.58 826.03 1290.67
2024-02-18 163.41 34.73 41.27 54.83 93.10 325.37 553.12 873.95 1248.26
2024-02-25 230.80 40.94 55.70 71.66 124.51 432.77 813.26 1146.09 1424.32
2024-03-03 280.15 59.23 76.76 97.04 159.04 503.23 1000.18 1616.35 2353.94
2024-03-10 292.30 63.28 82.69 111.60 162.46 568.27 976.13 1473.05 2063.23
2024-03-17 361.65 83.46 102.69 128.73 212.73 657.29 1264.73 1913.15 2560.00
2024-03-24 329.50 72.62 91.29 126.11 204.16 594.32 1036.06 1654.12 2229.28
2024-03-31 439.32 91.65 126.48 160.63 257.76 755.41 1255.78 1608.76 2039.50
2024-04-07 426.36 105.07 150.24 174.25 247.31 737.63 1264.63 1779.18 2365.74
2024-04-14 490.86 115.22 136.72 189.36 294.20 907.94 1495.87 2074.68 2475.28
2024-04-21 676.66 142.74 165.48 228.33 359.04 1252.34 2123.87 3121.45 4510.43
2024-04-28 782.86 174.50 229.23 304.93 439.87 1411.83 2652.24 4012.05 4946.51
2024-05-05 727.29 174.80 214.28 281.20 429.43 1194.56 2339.34 3258.32 5009.61
2024-05-12 869.01 183.44 223.52 277.51 461.58 1579.06 2820.46 4237.83 5542.70
2024-05-19 738.07 149.14 200.21 247.47 412.60 1278.30 2234.63 4428.76 6331.73
2024-05-26 641.60 141.31 180.13 250.42 378.05 1184.33 2248.11 3379.64 5064.89
2024-06-02 522.40 137.73 156.57 205.44 314.84 907.37 1531.73 2249.94 3231.00
2024-06-09 517.22 128.97 147.85 186.95 300.40 998.93 1685.94 2623.83 3733.32
2024-06-16 446.43 96.26 128.22 177.08 253.32 815.12 1483.08 2368.91 3617.80
2024-06-23 342.84 95.58 111.66 139.77 222.67 574.76 977.81 1475.01 1874.74
2024-06-30 341.23 89.12 99.99 131.52 210.15 616.50 1148.26 1744.70 2530.94
2024-07-07 353.67 82.73 105.79 136.13 212.51 611.82 1160.49 1725.89 2729.95
2024-07-14 295.94 63.16 78.83 105.50 166.91 562.57 915.08 1304.16 2299.69
2024-07-21 278.29 47.17 61.67 87.96 150.27 475.67 827.68 1274.63 1680.37
2024-07-28 231.09 45.11 62.17 77.98 129.24 410.20 701.35 977.75 1208.27
2024-08-04 205.39 48.07 60.60 80.04 126.81 387.01 739.82 1024.47 1400.16
2024-08-11 187.36 37.27 43.83 58.89 102.69 330.52 628.16 1082.34 1631.93
2024-08-18 161.15 25.92 37.11 51.60 82.12 297.41 591.97 836.37 1400.67
2024-08-25 115.59 22.70 27.68 37.61 60.67 233.65 420.18 652.55 886.35
2024-09-01 110.90 18.45 25.47 33.11 59.99 217.82 369.13 562.32 952.92
2024-09-08 100.48 15.59 21.91 29.66 51.78 185.93 365.97 558.86 718.48
2024-09-15 94.26 15.71 21.34 29.97 50.70 200.37 370.04 669.30 898.52
2024-09-22 67.84 13.13 16.75 22.56 37.62 127.27 251.38 379.60 554.11
2024-09-29 75.10 14.00 17.65 24.40 39.91 128.67 224.93 323.28 474.61
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