Prediction 3640

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in RN


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 137.31 26.61 34.90 46.52 76.00 244.59 440.14 553.39 705.95
2024-10-13 109.87 25.04 30.85 40.65 64.46 189.13 318.94 379.84 638.32
2024-10-20 90.32 17.27 24.56 32.09 53.19 164.27 298.71 433.17 584.86
2024-10-27 120.15 24.21 30.13 38.07 65.59 243.45 439.85 622.21 835.56
2024-11-03 104.34 21.81 25.50 33.92 57.45 179.49 324.71 417.67 720.78
2024-11-10 90.05 19.03 25.34 35.76 55.63 163.28 305.63 408.49 602.66
2024-11-17 99.27 20.31 25.89 32.21 51.97 189.47 339.08 539.54 736.53
2024-11-24 93.55 19.71 25.23 35.61 54.53 157.06 273.39 374.90 446.29
2024-12-01 95.70 19.35 26.49 36.44 56.24 186.23 300.84 411.05 566.58
2024-12-08 75.89 14.68 17.89 25.06 39.36 142.14 268.25 398.47 525.21
2024-12-15 52.30 8.22 11.16 15.40 27.55 115.64 240.88 341.51 436.63
2024-12-22 41.95 7.45 9.39 12.27 22.77 92.60 183.13 311.48 427.61
2024-12-29 99.87 20.93 26.15 32.96 56.10 191.71 360.47 471.03 591.79
2025-01-05 111.56 25.79 33.19 45.44 67.06 209.79 337.35 541.92 675.55
2025-01-12 105.86 27.97 34.03 42.21 65.98 189.90 304.03 436.26 593.24
2025-01-19 135.50 34.03 39.54 53.39 82.74 229.09 377.36 521.17 637.36
2025-01-26 186.74 49.95 65.37 81.90 117.31 311.58 493.70 663.90 891.23
2025-02-02 201.69 50.41 62.83 85.02 124.50 354.51 609.39 872.59 1193.15
2025-02-09 266.97 66.23 82.01 111.88 163.98 490.66 836.25 1253.38 1760.24
2025-02-16 362.95 86.56 99.44 132.64 227.67 664.15 1249.49 1700.44 2664.74
2025-02-23 519.87 111.59 150.25 197.52 302.05 944.87 1645.14 2239.32 3495.85
2025-03-02 534.74 126.10 153.53 212.46 313.24 926.75 1867.61 2889.87 4243.27
2025-03-09 567.95 133.96 159.89 219.90 363.83 1000.62 1855.77 2965.40 4212.75
2025-03-16 597.48 149.31 171.33 217.80 368.83 998.02 1700.98 2343.88 3552.78
2025-03-23 634.02 170.50 185.39 235.44 371.36 1163.08 1956.90 2622.43 3672.31
2025-03-30 684.10 168.25 210.68 287.96 451.78 1214.39 2064.35 2637.34 3423.44
2025-04-06 687.89 175.64 208.25 269.41 428.81 1083.08 1753.45 2552.52 3562.83
2025-04-13 710.90 227.52 260.13 323.42 460.00 1122.76 1880.90 2677.01 3442.96
2025-04-20 711.64 199.36 252.91 310.91 436.04 1143.23 1781.81 2460.04 3763.21
2025-04-27 855.55 253.81 292.44 383.01 546.40 1346.69 2187.39 2829.46 3286.73
2025-05-04 770.27 229.17 282.78 359.29 525.92 1328.04 2158.77 3006.27 4263.11
2025-05-11 731.53 240.43 284.47 345.08 495.72 1199.88 1763.99 2386.43 2923.68
2025-05-18 649.43 202.24 243.86 293.21 447.08 1034.30 1603.37 2087.15 2525.29
2025-05-25 636.87 175.75 210.78 264.00 406.21 1058.27 1623.15 2022.17 2377.41
2025-06-01 605.62 167.59 210.16 261.46 374.09 920.35 1416.88 1808.21 2196.64
2025-06-08 548.14 158.13 197.18 237.11 338.86 844.55 1275.99 1839.95 2232.12
2025-06-15 452.80 133.77 159.36 194.14 279.02 739.04 1152.26 1499.73 1863.52
2025-06-22 396.33 107.54 135.54 173.33 258.87 668.06 1023.30 1432.63 2232.92
2025-06-29 388.25 103.82 131.20 163.86 238.24 614.62 999.75 1306.82 1634.49
2025-07-06 427.30 100.77 122.10 159.45 258.02 699.28 1252.16 1592.17 2252.14
2025-07-13 365.60 91.10 106.74 144.30 203.73 580.40 941.99 1294.18 1823.50
2025-07-20 316.70 70.52 101.38 134.32 188.52 565.83 994.48 1281.01 1570.25
2025-07-27 289.86 84.21 100.62 118.98 175.69 500.61 872.94 1191.42 1494.87
2025-08-03 251.18 63.56 78.63 101.94 155.39 458.80 900.50 1225.88 1751.00
2025-08-10 250.40 57.66 76.54 95.78 145.31 465.68 772.61 1044.24 1399.86
2025-08-17 209.82 52.70 65.44 78.70 125.72 367.52 715.19 1010.14 1203.55
2025-08-24 151.76 39.40 45.66 54.15 90.12 267.39 520.51 823.12 1192.30
2025-08-31 179.55 36.88 53.18 67.48 108.00 338.96 577.50 751.57 997.10
2025-09-07 169.49 34.91 42.16 59.03 91.81 339.09 514.13 692.61 842.00
2025-09-14 154.06 33.44 43.14 55.01 91.42 260.57 424.06 580.60 863.45
2025-09-21 145.38 33.63 41.37 50.06 90.70 275.76 479.15 569.31 836.68
2025-09-28 122.35 28.80 34.32 47.19 75.89 244.28 401.63 603.86 886.68
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