Prediction 3641

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in MA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 29.07 9.59 10.38 12.73 18.56 47.93 82.60 120.77 143.47
2022-10-16 34.34 9.77 11.53 13.60 20.52 60.75 94.11 129.11 182.39
2022-10-23 33.46 8.83 10.80 13.68 20.31 58.03 97.30 155.50 210.02
2022-10-30 33.82 9.28 11.01 14.05 21.69 59.33 114.59 173.62 279.10
2022-11-06 32.56 10.06 11.68 14.48 21.31 52.15 91.33 124.83 146.86
2022-11-13 38.07 8.23 10.26 13.72 22.68 61.25 118.89 172.55 264.10
2022-11-20 36.17 8.90 10.81 13.10 21.63 68.15 107.70 160.70 204.75
2022-11-27 30.83 8.21 10.10 12.37 18.97 54.21 95.09 134.59 254.92
2022-12-04 24.15 7.76 9.47 10.98 15.37 37.07 58.67 78.99 113.23
2022-12-11 31.76 9.05 10.32 12.61 19.67 53.66 115.03 173.02 255.01
2022-12-18 12.81 3.67 4.30 4.99 7.41 21.73 34.81 47.47 60.39
2022-12-25 9.15 1.97 2.67 3.15 5.23 17.38 32.64 54.10 77.98
2023-01-01 30.99 9.25 11.39 14.00 19.06 50.90 89.77 140.21 191.83
2023-01-08 40.27 12.11 13.74 16.88 23.81 68.47 120.33 167.53 254.28
2023-01-15 33.40 13.44 15.37 17.73 24.11 52.07 76.59 99.26 120.10
2023-01-22 45.33 15.99 19.26 23.48 31.64 70.33 102.84 124.14 165.78
2023-01-29 46.62 16.48 18.11 21.86 30.16 71.50 122.98 169.58 261.23
2023-02-05 55.49 17.34 20.29 26.02 35.98 89.05 133.19 193.13 298.83
2023-02-12 79.84 28.65 31.90 37.40 51.47 121.08 179.58 234.09 333.88
2023-02-19 67.49 24.72 30.51 35.85 47.52 104.76 170.25 235.56 278.02
2023-02-26 104.27 38.89 43.38 52.56 71.09 162.45 273.06 365.53 515.04
2023-03-05 118.31 43.06 48.56 57.67 79.47 178.41 269.24 388.00 497.26
2023-03-12 162.67 61.71 66.90 78.13 109.59 259.56 383.68 543.26 643.60
2023-03-19 199.52 60.85 70.96 86.79 126.58 307.16 503.29 768.35 975.86
2023-03-26 192.39 61.78 72.51 85.48 126.45 291.37 446.64 600.91 765.46
2023-04-02 251.08 75.84 82.76 105.88 163.56 370.26 560.17 683.58 900.76
2023-04-09 286.51 97.40 116.42 138.14 194.24 438.29 694.07 897.78 1289.52
2023-04-16 322.29 125.84 144.16 177.15 223.47 459.38 634.02 806.19 1056.30
2023-04-23 325.43 126.19 142.25 169.35 232.08 463.91 643.67 858.19 966.97
2023-04-30 418.81 153.04 176.99 217.52 291.57 600.80 888.24 1230.94 1506.12
2023-05-07 446.25 167.52 187.44 229.70 306.10 640.38 986.86 1222.85 1656.25
2023-05-14 497.06 187.41 207.59 253.17 332.46 786.46 1212.91 1815.68 2255.77
2023-05-21 455.09 155.96 195.07 231.94 318.00 679.24 1112.03 1456.13 1905.12
2023-05-28 523.62 182.36 211.12 239.13 333.73 827.00 1410.55 1857.63 2621.65
2023-06-04 411.19 154.00 175.72 200.65 274.57 629.38 1046.24 1487.37 1827.01
2023-06-11 345.01 123.85 143.80 174.05 243.75 546.11 911.65 1151.18 1416.94
2023-06-18 288.02 93.88 114.81 141.39 196.93 412.22 612.41 848.78 1142.32
2023-06-25 233.81 85.18 99.88 122.21 161.75 338.27 505.76 760.16 1050.25
2023-07-02 231.02 82.77 94.90 116.58 160.96 358.31 504.71 652.37 728.53
2023-07-09 217.00 78.06 85.13 110.06 148.59 305.27 492.32 655.44 1116.76
2023-07-16 175.54 62.89 74.32 91.29 123.17 264.61 387.15 485.64 622.42
2023-07-23 137.88 51.71 59.13 66.85 97.00 219.86 327.27 419.64 546.01
2023-07-30 140.97 50.55 59.74 70.79 99.73 214.04 317.35 430.29 603.59
2023-08-06 123.22 39.84 49.50 60.79 83.87 196.01 292.85 381.54 504.16
2023-08-13 110.29 37.31 46.42 56.78 75.83 175.80 266.48 416.51 540.88
2023-08-20 100.92 30.98 38.19 49.18 66.60 160.29 262.75 346.85 451.90
2023-08-27 90.42 27.45 32.94 40.56 58.65 149.04 252.24 335.27 526.20
2023-09-03 77.97 24.01 29.18 34.41 48.89 120.10 184.47 234.92 333.90
2023-09-10 59.16 20.46 23.56 28.66 40.34 90.53 136.40 179.83 231.46
2023-09-17 54.59 18.60 21.45 25.55 36.79 79.46 125.33 173.94 300.26
2023-09-24 55.27 15.43 18.27 23.62 34.57 95.45 161.90 264.18 377.93
2023-10-01 48.03 15.76 19.26 23.60 32.06 77.04 117.40 147.82 216.11
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