Prediction 3642

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in MA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 39.65 9.74 11.37 14.33 23.96 67.60 115.40 164.93 229.33
2023-10-15 36.23 9.44 11.02 14.02 21.51 63.49 112.79 170.87 201.65
2023-10-22 43.93 10.84 13.17 17.46 25.68 68.73 111.53 166.91 225.90
2023-10-29 37.43 9.01 11.74 15.23 23.71 66.79 115.76 162.79 241.96
2023-11-05 35.54 8.69 10.28 13.15 22.09 63.63 124.03 175.50 229.71
2023-11-12 39.44 9.00 11.16 14.33 22.77 69.83 127.26 195.97 303.95
2023-11-19 30.29 8.03 9.62 11.61 18.44 49.96 89.33 134.53 179.39
2023-11-26 27.85 6.83 8.31 10.96 16.73 54.03 88.88 146.97 210.98
2023-12-03 29.63 7.47 9.29 11.80 17.71 48.00 81.61 104.01 131.11
2023-12-10 22.62 5.44 6.72 8.19 12.63 40.44 68.08 112.58 194.60
2023-12-17 15.96 3.34 4.36 5.33 8.89 31.12 58.53 86.84 153.50
2023-12-24 13.52 2.82 3.43 4.61 7.52 25.31 48.88 83.36 129.80
2023-12-31 37.57 11.38 13.57 16.08 22.86 59.25 96.19 138.97 167.59
2024-01-07 45.86 13.87 16.68 20.12 28.29 69.18 96.95 131.69 180.88
2024-01-14 46.00 14.81 19.00 22.38 31.04 74.49 123.00 173.07 230.70
2024-01-21 66.34 21.15 24.79 30.62 42.85 106.52 173.93 236.25 322.47
2024-01-28 80.52 22.65 26.44 34.22 50.80 124.71 220.09 338.57 481.28
2024-02-04 96.33 24.12 30.31 36.90 58.50 165.19 270.20 381.55 568.71
2024-02-11 115.37 29.68 36.62 48.17 71.13 191.29 348.34 477.14 683.76
2024-02-18 126.92 40.28 51.28 61.29 79.16 220.91 373.53 504.97 697.47
2024-02-25 157.47 55.09 61.31 73.19 101.92 247.10 382.46 522.18 855.36
2024-03-03 200.37 65.28 73.14 89.73 128.88 318.83 508.77 770.19 1036.59
2024-03-10 229.00 65.02 81.99 102.11 151.37 359.32 619.69 841.11 1171.25
2024-03-17 207.45 61.60 81.64 102.40 139.30 346.50 613.69 838.65 1079.97
2024-03-24 215.73 76.48 85.09 105.01 153.17 322.70 545.45 680.90 876.99
2024-03-31 286.69 94.47 111.51 128.30 185.19 444.19 651.84 828.69 1010.95
2024-04-07 294.78 97.86 125.53 148.66 200.15 462.50 803.82 1212.35 1506.76
2024-04-14 376.84 116.44 140.68 173.36 247.13 593.56 899.58 1219.15 1413.47
2024-04-21 452.98 133.13 167.82 193.76 309.01 728.40 1220.11 1575.05 2141.55
2024-04-28 527.81 173.37 196.16 240.60 347.52 778.79 1244.98 1612.19 2009.92
2024-05-05 529.67 175.90 213.79 257.86 347.42 782.02 1258.14 1581.67 1969.53
2024-05-12 568.56 182.82 203.94 259.05 368.41 904.06 1518.00 2150.59 3163.24
2024-05-19 474.26 152.67 181.90 219.97 309.61 760.89 1362.67 1959.42 2524.53
2024-05-26 445.75 144.92 171.73 201.37 300.23 736.85 1425.04 1837.29 2828.00
2024-06-02 365.64 129.18 144.26 174.50 245.72 587.29 917.86 1200.25 1638.03
2024-06-09 412.64 135.65 159.05 186.36 263.20 687.99 1166.51 1566.62 1991.53
2024-06-16 307.39 105.99 126.63 148.87 199.92 438.16 680.40 1049.73 1406.33
2024-06-23 240.69 82.15 99.51 118.32 164.11 363.54 627.29 828.99 1094.78
2024-06-30 251.41 80.17 95.85 112.87 164.10 393.87 657.73 893.78 1104.56
2024-07-07 244.30 88.45 100.83 116.84 161.82 369.54 676.05 978.05 1235.38
2024-07-14 202.32 63.76 72.65 93.74 138.94 320.69 556.05 781.71 990.95
2024-07-21 189.74 56.69 70.79 86.94 127.71 314.28 528.47 792.22 1011.10
2024-07-28 175.72 49.34 58.84 72.72 107.56 293.17 438.93 575.45 678.70
2024-08-04 148.02 47.86 53.09 64.63 92.78 236.88 392.26 569.99 776.81
2024-08-11 128.04 42.12 48.62 57.68 82.37 215.73 345.82 465.30 605.42
2024-08-18 114.27 36.54 43.17 50.30 74.76 181.36 303.90 410.55 585.38
2024-08-25 89.74 24.34 28.47 36.55 54.95 142.02 257.72 370.73 518.17
2024-09-01 88.60 25.67 29.11 36.49 55.80 145.48 253.48 352.65 483.56
2024-09-08 78.20 20.88 24.58 30.89 47.65 130.27 211.96 332.35 395.38
2024-09-15 84.38 20.25 26.46 32.62 54.04 144.91 249.58 341.81 449.00
2024-09-22 55.55 15.98 20.58 26.11 36.24 88.46 149.32 214.79 264.70
2024-09-29 59.33 18.51 21.86 26.19 39.35 97.43 147.97 212.86 287.42
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