Prediction 3643

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in MA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 65.41 17.08 21.71 25.94 40.42 114.27 188.81 286.49 410.60
2024-10-13 52.22 16.30 19.30 24.08 32.54 83.63 127.38 181.47 235.68
2024-10-20 43.86 12.01 13.94 18.30 27.31 69.15 109.68 147.37 192.88
2024-10-27 54.27 15.70 18.45 22.83 34.34 95.04 174.62 253.97 327.74
2024-11-03 54.36 14.54 18.23 21.42 32.73 84.29 129.40 171.67 225.94
2024-11-10 42.81 13.07 16.60 20.15 27.85 67.63 105.07 141.70 184.15
2024-11-17 45.34 11.75 14.63 19.70 29.14 75.67 113.41 167.54 236.13
2024-11-24 41.03 12.99 14.86 19.32 27.30 65.97 99.20 122.72 157.28
2024-12-01 47.71 13.55 16.90 19.86 29.83 73.68 124.41 177.85 276.44
2024-12-08 36.69 10.41 12.75 15.68 23.46 60.71 102.37 127.41 180.70
2024-12-15 28.04 7.61 9.13 11.43 16.42 48.68 90.99 161.32 252.88
2024-12-22 22.57 4.65 5.90 7.87 12.56 43.06 85.68 157.58 215.17
2024-12-29 51.89 17.11 20.78 25.36 34.12 85.98 126.22 162.74 207.51
2025-01-05 54.93 19.65 23.58 27.11 37.26 92.00 148.97 207.58 256.90
2025-01-12 55.54 20.31 22.89 26.72 37.12 82.20 132.60 175.12 241.58
2025-01-19 72.75 23.83 29.46 35.63 49.27 109.30 171.46 227.21 278.09
2025-01-26 93.11 33.39 39.96 48.50 64.78 141.67 224.00 277.57 420.25
2025-02-02 120.44 40.90 47.76 61.57 84.91 191.18 299.02 379.92 484.46
2025-02-09 157.45 51.70 61.08 78.62 107.58 248.73 358.78 446.38 586.08
2025-02-16 240.79 76.58 90.04 106.11 156.86 386.59 597.47 850.62 1022.25
2025-02-23 344.04 92.71 107.77 135.83 219.59 569.28 907.52 1287.69 1537.45
2025-03-02 327.42 111.49 128.17 158.40 222.18 513.88 918.91 1144.97 1494.74
2025-03-09 360.87 125.34 143.88 178.53 248.24 540.41 860.21 1192.32 1520.72
2025-03-16 334.47 115.23 140.46 166.31 231.05 536.19 846.02 1156.99 1372.82
2025-03-23 371.99 130.28 151.60 184.24 261.75 561.04 801.23 1214.15 1538.22
2025-03-30 416.90 145.24 171.94 206.28 287.31 685.25 1006.30 1470.75 1986.28
2025-04-06 411.15 161.71 176.02 215.23 292.27 592.46 785.17 1129.45 1517.95
2025-04-13 411.79 153.61 185.16 213.36 292.77 614.29 875.30 1165.65 1557.05
2025-04-20 402.55 161.37 188.11 223.19 294.50 603.18 952.57 1170.44 1409.75
2025-04-27 462.87 182.13 207.73 246.68 332.81 693.33 929.34 1200.08 1399.68
2025-05-04 487.03 171.58 203.47 254.64 336.11 711.01 1043.27 1275.00 1903.98
2025-05-11 415.66 160.77 186.94 219.62 277.52 606.64 933.41 1113.28 1333.86
2025-05-18 336.74 140.85 155.92 177.65 232.87 511.89 774.65 932.81 1128.66
2025-05-25 338.70 147.50 163.44 199.16 246.99 496.38 717.32 972.38 1236.28
2025-06-01 293.09 122.19 140.25 164.83 221.49 424.31 645.52 842.74 1014.79
2025-06-08 261.83 105.39 122.49 146.59 195.42 365.23 497.64 626.08 735.09
2025-06-15 212.54 97.50 107.32 118.96 155.54 333.71 459.13 550.61 724.66
2025-06-22 199.90 81.29 89.88 106.04 142.54 301.96 453.46 577.60 766.70
2025-06-29 212.35 74.72 89.98 109.35 148.92 323.80 475.35 603.31 702.11
2025-07-06 236.30 81.99 96.13 114.35 159.81 363.43 570.68 720.55 883.71
2025-07-13 187.49 62.73 70.66 86.94 123.37 295.95 463.59 595.99 691.73
2025-07-20 164.56 58.94 69.01 81.41 114.04 255.74 425.53 564.15 684.83
2025-07-27 153.41 51.43 59.80 73.73 99.09 228.64 349.11 492.73 606.68
2025-08-03 132.36 48.12 55.65 64.12 88.73 213.00 313.99 410.67 519.55
2025-08-10 119.05 40.20 46.77 55.23 80.48 178.97 269.49 368.65 532.09
2025-08-17 108.36 38.56 44.03 54.57 73.82 167.22 259.65 352.75 430.88
2025-08-24 89.19 28.09 32.73 39.79 57.97 141.77 218.91 303.08 384.16
2025-08-31 87.10 28.07 33.17 41.72 58.25 138.15 222.24 324.49 448.39
2025-09-07 81.20 23.18 25.57 33.28 51.66 134.54 214.33 283.99 355.26
2025-09-14 75.32 23.61 27.35 33.12 46.28 125.72 212.42 310.30 371.76
2025-09-21 75.37 23.02 28.93 34.74 48.95 116.76 204.48 290.66 363.66
2025-09-28 65.74 22.06 25.22 29.55 42.87 112.25 189.66 251.30 355.99
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