Prediction 3644

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in AL


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 30.01 6.85 7.96 11.14 16.30 53.18 98.95 166.62 245.56
2022-10-16 31.73 6.35 7.98 11.01 18.17 63.41 116.68 173.49 293.52
2022-10-23 36.84 7.22 9.52 12.85 20.67 67.82 119.89 168.67 246.72
2022-10-30 35.14 8.12 9.57 12.64 19.35 58.89 103.16 153.38 244.99
2022-11-06 34.92 6.86 8.44 12.26 19.43 59.52 111.37 148.91 206.58
2022-11-13 35.00 7.62 9.99 12.49 21.65 66.45 124.12 180.66 238.62
2022-11-20 34.87 6.84 8.17 11.58 18.99 68.81 115.87 161.51 249.09
2022-11-27 28.62 6.01 7.54 10.26 16.20 55.20 109.37 196.92 274.69
2022-12-04 23.62 5.25 7.18 9.09 13.58 39.06 62.03 85.23 126.32
2022-12-11 29.33 5.60 7.20 9.39 16.52 59.24 107.78 159.81 260.92
2022-12-18 11.69 2.78 3.48 4.34 6.90 22.88 35.85 51.18 77.99
2022-12-25 8.36 1.49 1.99 2.68 4.22 16.50 31.01 47.65 64.28
2023-01-01 30.71 8.74 10.67 13.22 19.15 57.07 103.25 149.87 201.24
2023-01-08 40.15 9.43 11.07 14.26 23.61 73.89 141.91 217.41 293.67
2023-01-15 37.24 10.01 12.34 15.21 23.38 59.50 93.21 133.27 191.72
2023-01-22 46.01 12.13 14.37 18.50 29.64 77.04 132.71 174.03 290.75
2023-01-29 48.61 13.69 16.21 19.63 29.06 79.51 131.88 195.13 243.40
2023-02-05 58.67 15.93 18.62 23.99 35.80 101.85 180.29 259.36 339.34
2023-02-12 79.49 22.14 26.53 33.24 52.33 128.22 203.37 306.58 443.91
2023-02-19 73.96 20.37 25.64 34.32 46.08 124.66 200.11 263.93 374.76
2023-02-26 110.03 32.08 36.45 48.21 70.00 188.85 310.80 438.93 602.78
2023-03-05 123.56 33.56 39.64 48.39 74.93 212.19 338.13 500.09 574.88
2023-03-12 159.43 45.98 54.95 70.63 97.16 258.82 478.62 580.97 696.75
2023-03-19 190.34 45.05 55.90 72.51 111.95 334.97 588.35 883.40 1247.38
2023-03-26 191.70 47.06 58.06 73.98 118.38 308.61 515.50 757.35 1119.37
2023-04-02 220.39 63.67 79.19 97.22 142.98 373.72 667.86 954.50 1362.26
2023-04-09 287.90 92.60 107.10 125.92 181.72 435.76 665.22 879.53 1325.08
2023-04-16 317.85 89.49 113.25 136.59 189.66 514.81 773.50 1175.45 1480.24
2023-04-23 325.72 92.92 113.77 161.98 212.93 488.69 766.54 1112.96 1449.76
2023-04-30 410.73 126.01 150.09 188.59 263.67 648.14 980.55 1389.34 1855.49
2023-05-07 440.10 129.94 153.80 197.14 285.53 723.76 1222.33 1612.67 2235.09
2023-05-14 542.28 149.24 175.36 235.69 324.83 792.30 1423.75 1878.36 2479.54
2023-05-21 459.23 129.64 148.22 188.45 281.48 777.91 1258.88 1915.92 2958.22
2023-05-28 450.55 146.01 158.05 195.17 290.35 736.23 1288.96 1820.48 3032.52
2023-06-04 422.68 118.21 135.59 177.42 270.05 739.59 1194.82 1513.78 2103.77
2023-06-11 355.85 103.82 125.65 145.02 225.84 582.86 983.66 1312.46 1597.34
2023-06-18 292.13 92.01 111.60 132.76 192.89 437.66 691.53 1089.10 1352.49
2023-06-25 217.44 68.56 84.58 103.99 149.15 348.94 590.09 800.76 1028.42
2023-07-02 231.00 74.32 88.75 108.21 147.59 354.16 513.91 699.11 874.85
2023-07-09 228.13 71.90 82.10 96.78 148.32 358.53 555.17 815.42 1120.71
2023-07-16 192.26 52.76 64.64 81.76 125.05 292.21 457.53 575.35 723.42
2023-07-23 153.14 40.39 52.72 65.96 93.46 246.60 425.27 633.96 941.83
2023-07-30 137.00 39.75 49.05 60.16 86.57 222.78 347.91 495.84 722.45
2023-08-06 131.49 35.69 42.05 51.82 78.10 213.68 403.02 572.36 737.19
2023-08-13 105.55 31.11 37.07 45.05 72.27 183.96 376.10 537.79 674.16
2023-08-20 97.81 23.78 31.73 41.47 62.49 151.79 242.81 387.53 500.97
2023-08-27 87.78 19.37 25.34 33.48 52.41 150.77 263.99 386.34 542.80
2023-09-03 78.98 19.03 25.61 32.09 48.69 142.33 254.29 354.86 431.28
2023-09-10 60.07 16.39 19.79 24.76 37.41 98.11 172.38 277.15 442.21
2023-09-17 58.12 15.04 18.81 22.93 34.65 99.19 165.41 236.93 279.49
2023-09-24 53.25 11.64 15.35 20.36 33.14 99.28 178.63 242.69 349.66
2023-10-01 48.24 11.52 14.49 17.38 29.21 82.39 131.50 187.59 265.22
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