Prediction 3645

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in AL


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 32.49 5.59 7.30 9.62 17.43 63.77 130.35 203.58 284.65
2023-10-15 30.12 5.89 7.44 9.63 16.96 56.93 113.90 177.22 202.68
2023-10-22 35.08 6.05 8.44 11.72 19.07 67.65 145.47 226.24 346.93
2023-10-29 25.66 4.08 6.35 9.01 13.81 57.55 119.33 191.73 383.88
2023-11-05 32.60 4.93 6.13 9.12 16.78 61.01 123.81 181.43 260.28
2023-11-12 36.43 4.97 7.55 10.48 18.49 75.06 160.18 265.10 408.81
2023-11-19 26.19 4.37 5.19 7.28 13.50 48.95 92.91 155.54 235.28
2023-11-26 25.25 4.38 5.59 7.30 13.04 50.75 105.15 159.33 234.97
2023-12-03 24.08 5.04 5.75 7.93 12.24 46.86 94.75 165.85 211.77
2023-12-10 18.20 3.17 3.93 5.64 9.62 38.56 82.72 115.39 178.24
2023-12-17 13.01 2.17 2.60 3.67 6.09 26.52 54.23 101.11 164.86
2023-12-24 10.31 1.64 2.23 3.03 5.31 21.84 36.73 60.64 92.28
2023-12-31 36.85 8.02 9.57 12.38 19.54 68.61 122.33 155.21 213.42
2024-01-07 46.47 10.22 13.31 16.29 25.91 75.57 119.84 208.73 314.51
2024-01-14 46.34 10.84 12.66 16.55 26.58 88.71 152.83 210.42 283.38
2024-01-21 55.52 12.93 16.21 20.43 32.48 103.84 196.01 315.93 457.39
2024-01-28 84.39 18.12 20.91 28.14 45.22 172.83 349.03 522.78 736.56
2024-02-04 88.60 17.60 22.33 32.16 49.37 171.32 329.86 469.79 581.99
2024-02-11 114.02 22.16 28.12 39.87 66.99 202.77 390.81 554.02 741.85
2024-02-18 121.48 24.57 34.64 44.28 68.79 215.02 394.22 561.98 821.26
2024-02-25 138.93 32.76 43.84 54.78 83.14 239.11 405.51 560.86 772.59
2024-03-03 196.67 44.50 55.43 72.84 117.53 345.97 565.94 847.05 1039.42
2024-03-10 216.24 55.66 64.42 82.92 119.69 383.29 706.23 968.45 1442.20
2024-03-17 227.27 52.32 62.22 79.73 128.76 409.77 712.92 1207.76 1745.90
2024-03-24 232.35 60.78 70.55 89.62 134.63 424.50 747.07 1062.87 1466.56
2024-03-31 286.66 68.33 93.31 117.13 183.77 478.57 842.34 1234.71 1642.28
2024-04-07 291.83 83.89 104.20 128.06 187.67 519.26 1009.12 1437.90 1994.37
2024-04-14 364.51 94.25 118.45 146.84 222.81 610.18 1053.57 1617.34 2342.05
2024-04-21 422.89 109.53 133.03 172.07 268.02 762.68 1324.10 2202.81 3625.16
2024-04-28 539.78 119.90 150.29 196.71 315.54 922.46 1644.34 2278.50 3121.84
2024-05-05 520.81 126.33 146.08 192.83 306.05 846.54 1506.26 2244.96 3541.60
2024-05-12 499.59 116.60 151.71 188.96 303.63 937.80 1749.97 2468.99 3538.22
2024-05-19 474.61 109.38 144.21 177.80 275.94 833.18 1741.61 2261.96 3223.26
2024-05-26 423.14 96.15 123.69 160.90 246.40 723.07 1421.28 1822.58 2206.20
2024-06-02 364.19 101.39 129.38 162.36 227.18 630.00 1100.14 1633.68 1983.93
2024-06-09 369.85 93.65 110.83 141.50 221.24 679.29 1122.04 1518.13 2156.08
2024-06-16 281.24 79.65 92.12 117.43 175.94 501.72 874.37 1152.73 1596.37
2024-06-23 237.37 59.72 72.43 91.90 138.57 375.56 624.68 866.80 1144.03
2024-06-30 249.19 66.97 81.85 101.65 144.08 419.87 705.49 952.02 1695.43
2024-07-07 222.78 57.12 72.87 87.91 135.49 429.27 800.44 1228.46 1404.41
2024-07-14 192.12 46.48 57.89 74.40 120.33 320.27 666.90 1036.72 1287.78
2024-07-21 176.13 40.28 53.22 66.18 102.02 301.38 589.43 765.86 1075.91
2024-07-28 171.77 35.37 46.43 59.97 92.51 291.22 519.15 832.31 1165.62
2024-08-04 134.76 35.80 44.76 55.00 81.05 250.69 515.56 660.57 1010.20
2024-08-11 115.19 28.04 37.62 46.40 69.75 228.97 421.05 649.61 968.12
2024-08-18 105.53 21.74 27.38 40.40 64.11 189.28 310.13 466.10 605.02
2024-08-25 85.84 18.20 21.96 28.51 48.42 158.60 280.37 386.07 595.89
2024-09-01 81.16 18.90 23.07 30.02 44.71 152.80 271.27 352.10 563.92
2024-09-08 68.60 15.08 19.96 25.55 40.22 125.69 235.80 345.49 497.06
2024-09-15 70.10 12.33 15.88 19.99 36.29 136.88 262.90 373.57 503.98
2024-09-22 55.23 10.58 13.14 18.93 28.72 96.55 164.76 240.35 354.89
2024-09-29 53.41 12.51 15.51 19.97 31.88 89.03 146.41 217.12 328.70
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