Prediction 3646

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in AL


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 100.38 28.58 32.28 41.03 60.58 166.34 289.64 390.86 490.80
2024-10-13 82.32 25.72 29.53 35.73 49.08 133.96 232.16 284.10 387.77
2024-10-20 66.59 17.51 22.99 29.23 44.30 112.77 167.16 237.69 329.81
2024-10-27 84.88 24.15 28.23 35.06 50.07 151.65 278.24 387.21 589.81
2024-11-03 67.01 20.26 24.31 32.02 45.25 113.47 181.27 244.13 343.32
2024-11-10 63.09 18.93 22.62 26.50 39.02 104.35 177.23 246.93 345.52
2024-11-17 62.92 16.77 20.12 24.70 37.63 102.30 187.54 266.14 364.83
2024-11-24 58.53 15.05 19.43 24.47 37.12 96.16 159.78 232.67 307.13
2024-12-01 68.32 15.75 20.18 26.81 39.43 111.59 173.56 220.25 316.14
2024-12-08 53.41 13.45 16.10 20.23 32.27 86.56 152.12 210.29 291.50
2024-12-15 38.50 7.87 11.02 13.12 21.58 64.11 135.42 219.67 331.34
2024-12-22 30.11 6.07 7.97 11.08 17.34 59.64 109.69 182.98 267.65
2024-12-29 67.68 18.89 24.89 29.42 41.55 121.71 200.97 302.49 421.50
2025-01-05 78.89 23.36 29.61 36.50 53.59 129.09 203.47 274.03 339.17
2025-01-12 74.76 23.72 27.26 34.21 46.80 119.34 204.49 264.64 331.00
2025-01-19 89.66 27.46 31.45 38.08 57.59 149.47 236.00 309.81 395.39
2025-01-26 114.87 32.35 40.91 50.02 74.80 176.73 266.56 336.37 489.25
2025-02-02 139.12 47.56 57.28 67.52 93.63 222.91 359.49 497.22 735.64
2025-02-09 175.11 59.62 73.34 85.84 119.21 275.18 471.52 643.78 829.67
2025-02-16 248.07 72.02 81.13 97.99 150.92 395.56 602.60 834.24 1104.88
2025-02-23 319.83 99.41 112.83 140.48 203.99 542.62 948.73 1493.95 2088.06
2025-03-02 363.46 97.47 126.90 163.00 230.95 599.35 976.30 1263.54 1583.93
2025-03-09 376.66 112.59 136.07 174.26 252.05 600.82 1008.89 1397.11 1805.39
2025-03-16 377.38 110.38 141.34 171.96 251.98 592.50 960.96 1285.36 1788.54
2025-03-23 398.19 126.50 143.99 177.66 237.73 627.65 958.29 1323.48 1736.90
2025-03-30 502.06 145.61 178.98 221.34 322.50 813.33 1255.00 1770.85 2203.64
2025-04-06 450.63 150.77 179.58 224.93 292.09 688.25 1115.55 1361.06 1762.70
2025-04-13 463.70 174.72 203.63 240.96 319.60 718.45 1141.33 1456.38 2060.36
2025-04-20 479.34 156.34 188.26 230.58 318.41 743.46 1193.21 1598.79 2136.83
2025-04-27 523.15 169.56 214.72 266.55 363.22 766.94 1163.06 1570.99 2116.32
2025-05-04 540.61 200.82 226.87 268.46 353.98 840.21 1287.65 1556.35 2051.98
2025-05-11 473.93 172.77 201.52 236.74 323.87 719.91 1174.84 1472.34 1930.85
2025-05-18 415.31 158.42 176.71 211.18 293.21 628.76 952.67 1400.92 1960.30
2025-05-25 437.56 141.37 162.55 212.69 300.66 665.17 1060.18 1428.23 1804.71
2025-06-01 404.01 147.70 173.25 207.39 275.92 625.72 909.78 1219.73 1526.41
2025-06-08 354.41 122.64 139.39 167.74 238.68 529.49 765.43 1020.38 1298.24
2025-06-15 300.39 113.61 127.39 149.44 209.53 456.85 751.24 941.44 1201.20
2025-06-22 264.12 89.38 106.41 130.62 189.44 401.47 633.69 810.82 968.36
2025-06-29 310.72 107.20 116.30 133.41 192.07 477.96 810.03 1134.50 1710.31
2025-07-06 315.99 88.72 102.89 133.56 193.94 494.30 754.70 1233.88 1577.98
2025-07-13 252.52 78.18 90.98 116.31 167.24 394.54 653.47 852.08 1154.00
2025-07-20 235.75 69.29 83.68 103.26 141.26 354.57 584.68 795.20 1076.14
2025-07-27 201.36 68.97 84.15 99.63 135.82 333.93 524.09 729.31 987.68
2025-08-03 198.61 66.88 77.68 92.23 132.73 305.26 486.96 645.30 854.45
2025-08-10 179.14 50.60 64.56 81.52 121.56 283.07 452.16 576.14 909.23
2025-08-17 148.43 46.43 56.29 73.84 95.88 230.03 392.83 559.70 739.90
2025-08-24 117.44 32.27 41.73 51.58 76.32 191.30 298.35 381.12 540.12
2025-08-31 124.92 35.65 42.16 55.29 79.55 214.20 353.82 454.78 598.49
2025-09-07 106.96 33.38 37.57 47.47 68.23 183.64 288.50 387.30 689.18
2025-09-14 98.91 30.90 37.18 41.71 60.93 161.07 266.15 354.68 483.33
2025-09-21 102.85 27.65 32.08 40.67 60.07 162.50 284.06 405.26 563.51
2025-09-28 97.26 28.27 32.46 37.11 59.01 179.02 284.81 390.14 525.89
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