Prediction 3647

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in SE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 9.39 1.62 2.05 2.97 5.14 18.11 32.75 45.27 64.97
2022-10-16 10.54 1.92 2.42 3.25 5.40 20.36 44.75 64.46 99.50
2022-10-23 10.93 1.82 2.56 3.71 6.21 20.60 40.00 52.95 82.74
2022-10-30 10.03 1.57 2.09 3.18 5.06 18.65 37.32 58.47 87.28
2022-11-06 10.74 1.95 2.41 3.36 5.77 20.20 37.88 66.37 86.88
2022-11-13 10.76 1.85 2.31 3.48 5.61 22.72 40.35 66.00 101.57
2022-11-20 9.94 1.71 2.21 3.39 5.70 18.09 32.54 50.14 69.36
2022-11-27 9.42 1.59 2.02 2.72 4.73 19.13 38.21 66.32 94.80
2022-12-04 7.24 1.78 2.38 2.87 4.41 13.25 24.03 32.22 44.36
2022-12-11 8.98 1.20 1.58 2.19 4.49 17.16 33.38 47.59 73.31
2022-12-18 3.30 0.53 0.77 1.00 1.75 6.36 11.51 19.00 29.61
2022-12-25 2.67 0.33 0.44 0.63 1.32 5.37 10.36 16.17 24.07
2023-01-01 10.32 1.99 2.44 3.07 5.75 19.65 40.14 51.68 84.45
2023-01-08 11.62 2.48 3.21 4.26 7.00 20.05 42.33 57.72 83.99
2023-01-15 10.71 3.01 3.66 4.42 6.68 18.31 29.82 41.57 74.54
2023-01-22 12.85 3.08 3.82 5.02 8.02 22.66 39.28 58.58 85.96
2023-01-29 14.02 3.44 4.28 5.70 8.35 25.21 41.96 65.47 91.79
2023-02-05 16.72 3.64 4.97 6.42 9.33 31.83 53.11 82.64 121.73
2023-02-12 25.46 5.55 7.92 10.12 15.15 44.19 70.92 98.85 145.43
2023-02-19 20.81 5.91 7.29 8.67 13.20 36.05 61.21 93.42 125.66
2023-02-26 35.87 8.54 10.47 14.03 22.14 62.61 99.24 148.45 181.91
2023-03-05 38.21 9.38 11.73 14.49 23.60 64.59 112.34 148.40 225.42
2023-03-12 51.42 11.45 14.75 18.69 31.09 85.23 154.77 232.23 315.20
2023-03-19 62.94 14.94 18.60 22.24 36.20 114.43 190.28 300.08 423.42
2023-03-26 57.15 14.35 16.64 22.13 35.64 100.76 170.37 236.24 306.59
2023-04-02 75.75 17.78 22.90 29.32 45.87 132.49 234.79 323.39 451.87
2023-04-09 90.08 19.12 24.93 34.61 56.89 163.05 267.83 382.48 516.12
2023-04-16 107.11 29.09 36.45 45.57 67.83 180.27 299.90 411.07 583.65
2023-04-23 107.41 30.06 36.97 45.25 69.19 180.48 292.35 371.98 510.76
2023-04-30 124.72 32.40 44.36 57.90 82.86 196.02 336.66 541.95 694.88
2023-05-07 156.71 39.90 46.31 61.71 94.14 260.68 464.63 604.72 768.26
2023-05-14 157.36 38.06 51.30 67.87 95.56 268.01 422.60 553.36 717.85
2023-05-21 142.44 37.76 43.89 52.55 85.61 256.00 462.22 640.50 946.97
2023-05-28 157.80 31.29 40.62 56.37 89.35 260.45 485.70 728.27 1088.88
2023-06-04 134.76 28.86 39.08 50.69 81.26 237.93 387.24 547.44 737.58
2023-06-11 105.15 23.54 33.23 43.37 65.33 187.57 323.46 511.40 764.44
2023-06-18 92.75 23.35 28.92 36.98 55.46 145.50 242.26 339.37 455.67
2023-06-25 72.99 18.56 22.42 28.90 44.53 112.83 174.05 228.65 361.01
2023-07-02 72.01 19.21 23.50 31.69 46.45 118.94 202.63 289.45 405.34
2023-07-09 72.32 17.37 20.28 26.42 42.20 127.73 202.31 257.24 327.48
2023-07-16 61.24 15.28 18.38 23.61 37.17 102.24 162.25 267.16 331.51
2023-07-23 46.96 11.07 14.33 17.56 28.90 76.24 126.76 167.99 215.76
2023-07-30 47.07 12.25 15.69 18.81 27.88 81.19 135.23 205.68 263.22
2023-08-06 39.42 9.93 11.45 15.08 22.72 70.17 121.16 164.06 218.87
2023-08-13 36.01 7.78 10.78 14.39 22.19 58.30 93.70 132.92 178.67
2023-08-20 31.23 6.74 9.01 11.47 17.92 59.95 111.26 154.00 215.40
2023-08-27 29.49 6.08 7.18 9.92 16.01 53.56 88.36 121.84 159.35
2023-09-03 25.14 4.35 6.28 8.44 13.62 47.41 76.60 109.00 142.04
2023-09-10 19.88 4.39 6.08 7.14 10.97 34.41 63.67 76.58 99.62
2023-09-17 16.14 3.81 4.38 6.41 9.78 27.44 47.16 66.72 90.70
2023-09-24 16.95 3.63 4.80 5.59 9.05 32.99 70.23 99.76 137.33
2023-10-01 15.67 2.52 3.89 5.12 9.37 28.06 54.16 73.95 115.68
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