Prediction 3648

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in SE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 22.12 4.61 5.91 7.65 12.92 38.85 70.98 91.91 118.96
2023-10-15 20.72 4.32 5.84 7.77 12.56 38.43 58.87 85.60 110.05
2023-10-22 19.87 4.34 5.59 7.72 11.69 36.44 66.64 94.31 144.26
2023-10-29 18.05 3.81 4.67 6.19 9.61 32.66 58.04 87.97 126.82
2023-11-05 18.15 4.52 5.47 7.19 10.82 35.04 60.53 91.79 137.82
2023-11-12 17.32 3.22 4.13 5.41 9.21 32.77 56.31 90.00 137.89
2023-11-19 15.35 3.45 4.39 5.51 8.86 28.43 54.76 76.58 101.18
2023-11-26 13.53 2.76 3.86 5.39 8.21 21.68 35.90 48.91 68.53
2023-12-03 14.10 3.42 4.09 5.31 8.65 22.15 36.84 46.82 59.68
2023-12-10 10.42 2.53 3.54 4.39 6.23 18.95 31.44 43.79 55.41
2023-12-17 7.20 1.20 1.77 2.49 4.05 13.59 23.20 37.76 50.39
2023-12-24 5.41 1.04 1.48 1.91 3.22 10.02 20.51 31.19 45.35
2023-12-31 13.91 3.59 4.80 5.62 8.99 23.11 41.93 55.14 67.58
2024-01-07 16.91 5.04 6.23 7.64 10.89 26.89 40.79 54.17 70.80
2024-01-14 16.75 4.73 5.75 7.40 10.63 25.92 43.71 66.19 80.97
2024-01-21 20.90 6.04 7.12 8.81 13.09 36.73 55.75 73.49 99.91
2024-01-28 26.63 7.10 8.56 10.46 15.37 43.12 67.61 109.47 178.98
2024-02-04 32.81 7.85 9.84 12.34 18.99 56.45 99.11 172.06 255.19
2024-02-11 40.00 9.19 11.66 14.91 23.94 68.48 113.74 149.39 224.13
2024-02-18 39.86 10.69 12.78 16.67 24.93 66.24 105.49 142.38 208.90
2024-02-25 50.18 14.00 15.90 20.81 32.68 79.83 137.01 187.28 272.06
2024-03-03 65.88 16.50 18.73 26.45 39.25 108.02 193.89 312.05 432.30
2024-03-10 69.21 16.19 22.32 26.39 44.22 118.08 203.97 277.37 360.48
2024-03-17 71.01 16.85 20.76 28.36 44.85 118.30 212.46 266.42 331.30
2024-03-24 70.84 19.05 23.11 29.75 45.65 127.14 191.07 238.85 290.93
2024-03-31 87.65 23.83 29.50 37.95 57.67 143.55 248.03 341.71 499.49
2024-04-07 98.83 25.64 32.18 40.80 62.13 154.77 260.70 345.27 429.50
2024-04-14 118.52 31.96 38.52 47.26 73.68 191.66 309.38 409.16 515.65
2024-04-21 149.84 33.85 40.67 53.79 85.89 249.90 387.73 652.94 951.71
2024-04-28 165.64 45.65 54.19 64.49 99.24 302.60 515.28 743.56 980.34
2024-05-05 156.94 39.47 44.85 55.32 91.83 279.58 537.75 728.48 927.92
2024-05-12 186.08 39.57 47.46 63.43 104.71 341.09 576.94 916.89 1320.67
2024-05-19 170.02 37.64 47.84 60.31 102.87 283.64 463.54 645.16 872.10
2024-05-26 157.52 41.25 48.00 62.95 94.95 270.94 436.03 660.89 906.57
2024-06-02 140.35 36.51 45.00 55.31 82.52 242.23 379.18 500.68 747.96
2024-06-09 143.70 34.59 42.02 53.59 85.27 246.99 461.70 577.28 776.14
2024-06-16 120.52 26.46 32.39 44.58 72.04 199.96 322.63 438.66 619.21
2024-06-23 94.24 23.86 30.13 39.96 62.32 145.52 251.86 337.05 472.44
2024-06-30 102.43 24.62 28.70 39.83 57.64 194.73 349.37 494.05 708.38
2024-07-07 97.16 24.71 30.45 38.70 58.04 163.74 296.90 413.21 521.35
2024-07-14 83.35 19.63 24.15 32.89 48.69 141.56 242.27 325.88 472.22
2024-07-21 77.02 16.22 18.91 24.78 42.56 146.66 252.43 367.06 502.83
2024-07-28 71.83 15.09 19.12 25.88 43.46 127.35 210.81 327.39 472.27
2024-08-04 61.39 12.18 16.46 23.27 36.46 110.82 190.04 277.16 395.75
2024-08-11 53.35 11.96 14.34 19.25 33.05 99.94 163.10 204.17 274.60
2024-08-18 43.12 9.80 12.75 16.92 25.55 77.76 116.03 186.58 275.14
2024-08-25 38.03 8.11 11.77 15.15 22.23 60.37 106.99 141.26 200.16
2024-09-01 35.41 7.60 10.04 12.32 21.53 61.82 118.62 154.78 220.50
2024-09-08 33.97 7.03 9.26 11.43 18.61 59.04 112.65 143.33 203.28
2024-09-15 32.06 7.63 9.40 11.90 18.69 60.57 103.78 166.10 218.31
2024-09-22 25.78 6.31 8.26 9.79 15.75 43.89 73.97 99.67 127.32
2024-09-29 25.26 5.61 6.86 8.70 14.38 42.48 69.56 91.47 125.47
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