Prediction 3649
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in SE
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 12.33 | 2.29 | 3.04 | 4.11 | 6.86 | 23.40 | 42.48 | 68.34 | 91.01 |
2024-10-13 | 10.37 | 2.08 | 2.78 | 3.62 | 6.09 | 16.89 | 29.04 | 45.00 | 59.87 |
2024-10-20 | 8.40 | 1.74 | 2.24 | 3.16 | 4.99 | 15.45 | 25.73 | 32.84 | 48.97 |
2024-10-27 | 10.61 | 1.65 | 2.13 | 3.20 | 5.41 | 21.17 | 37.12 | 50.47 | 116.79 |
2024-11-03 | 10.63 | 1.99 | 2.85 | 3.66 | 6.21 | 19.48 | 37.57 | 57.14 | 86.80 |
2024-11-10 | 8.51 | 2.03 | 2.46 | 3.03 | 4.78 | 15.78 | 32.77 | 52.40 | 75.09 |
2024-11-17 | 9.64 | 1.76 | 2.40 | 3.24 | 5.13 | 20.02 | 39.05 | 64.45 | 84.76 |
2024-11-24 | 7.85 | 1.27 | 1.66 | 2.60 | 4.32 | 14.55 | 27.16 | 44.22 | 74.41 |
2024-12-01 | 8.21 | 1.56 | 1.95 | 2.73 | 4.36 | 16.47 | 30.62 | 47.61 | 69.64 |
2024-12-08 | 6.79 | 1.04 | 1.37 | 1.99 | 3.29 | 13.86 | 29.19 | 44.14 | 73.94 |
2024-12-15 | 4.75 | 0.85 | 1.10 | 1.48 | 2.57 | 9.75 | 19.55 | 29.00 | 41.96 |
2024-12-22 | 4.42 | 0.53 | 0.74 | 1.12 | 2.21 | 9.97 | 20.54 | 35.21 | 58.28 |
2024-12-29 | 11.35 | 2.11 | 2.72 | 3.66 | 6.25 | 22.43 | 44.35 | 64.77 | 86.41 |
2025-01-05 | 14.88 | 2.73 | 3.45 | 4.60 | 8.34 | 26.33 | 44.50 | 65.75 | 92.05 |
2025-01-12 | 13.46 | 2.91 | 4.10 | 5.10 | 8.27 | 22.99 | 44.10 | 59.66 | 75.38 |
2025-01-19 | 17.39 | 4.04 | 4.95 | 6.12 | 9.90 | 33.31 | 54.43 | 72.89 | 113.14 |
2025-01-26 | 26.08 | 5.99 | 7.47 | 10.46 | 15.41 | 46.58 | 90.93 | 124.26 | 174.24 |
2025-02-02 | 31.87 | 7.97 | 9.02 | 11.14 | 17.67 | 53.22 | 92.83 | 124.98 | 159.27 |
2025-02-09 | 40.56 | 8.10 | 11.06 | 15.46 | 24.05 | 77.47 | 125.75 | 187.52 | 252.49 |
2025-02-16 | 62.05 | 12.75 | 15.26 | 21.79 | 35.74 | 115.97 | 187.07 | 278.59 | 367.50 |
2025-02-23 | 71.65 | 13.51 | 17.10 | 24.77 | 42.16 | 140.40 | 304.25 | 399.59 | 655.19 |
2025-03-02 | 90.38 | 19.19 | 23.82 | 30.26 | 50.67 | 166.98 | 316.51 | 531.98 | 925.48 |
2025-03-09 | 91.75 | 18.72 | 24.73 | 34.52 | 54.62 | 180.53 | 325.58 | 472.20 | 798.31 |
2025-03-16 | 95.71 | 17.33 | 24.63 | 33.31 | 54.10 | 179.49 | 284.41 | 426.41 | 552.10 |
2025-03-23 | 93.78 | 22.30 | 29.14 | 39.05 | 54.66 | 173.05 | 293.78 | 404.51 | 591.12 |
2025-03-30 | 126.22 | 31.12 | 37.45 | 46.06 | 72.83 | 227.13 | 399.20 | 519.05 | 714.59 |
2025-04-06 | 106.63 | 28.63 | 35.88 | 45.74 | 66.78 | 171.51 | 304.06 | 452.16 | 602.96 |
2025-04-13 | 110.73 | 33.18 | 38.28 | 45.80 | 70.83 | 182.49 | 278.41 | 383.12 | 486.66 |
2025-04-20 | 125.81 | 35.30 | 40.07 | 51.52 | 77.20 | 205.13 | 323.33 | 460.81 | 600.25 |
2025-04-27 | 128.92 | 39.04 | 47.29 | 57.90 | 83.80 | 198.17 | 325.13 | 456.71 | 647.30 |
2025-05-04 | 140.09 | 33.98 | 42.15 | 52.99 | 85.14 | 230.08 | 402.61 | 559.84 | 762.52 |
2025-05-11 | 109.28 | 32.15 | 38.60 | 46.01 | 68.83 | 185.38 | 284.34 | 389.61 | 518.51 |
2025-05-18 | 93.84 | 28.33 | 33.45 | 41.41 | 59.68 | 153.88 | 225.90 | 304.64 | 376.82 |
2025-05-25 | 92.99 | 23.57 | 28.59 | 39.20 | 60.45 | 139.83 | 214.58 | 289.03 | 386.23 |
2025-06-01 | 88.12 | 22.80 | 28.71 | 35.65 | 57.29 | 143.52 | 224.07 | 329.43 | 449.65 |
2025-06-08 | 73.20 | 21.05 | 26.37 | 31.98 | 46.89 | 125.33 | 190.67 | 266.41 | 336.36 |
2025-06-15 | 60.66 | 17.78 | 21.43 | 26.47 | 38.01 | 94.34 | 146.45 | 206.14 | 247.61 |
2025-06-22 | 54.60 | 13.91 | 17.48 | 21.19 | 33.62 | 87.24 | 137.00 | 194.48 | 262.44 |
2025-06-29 | 58.80 | 14.22 | 18.71 | 24.43 | 34.36 | 88.39 | 152.99 | 224.00 | 281.60 |
2025-07-06 | 61.05 | 12.80 | 15.35 | 21.06 | 36.79 | 105.58 | 194.13 | 257.93 | 342.53 |
2025-07-13 | 47.71 | 13.66 | 15.41 | 20.67 | 30.54 | 82.16 | 140.51 | 201.29 | 280.85 |
2025-07-20 | 41.77 | 9.01 | 11.52 | 16.41 | 24.15 | 75.73 | 123.79 | 171.10 | 242.53 |
2025-07-27 | 35.29 | 8.16 | 9.97 | 13.96 | 21.41 | 58.59 | 104.00 | 136.54 | 176.24 |
2025-08-03 | 30.94 | 7.54 | 10.08 | 12.22 | 19.03 | 56.53 | 95.20 | 132.54 | 182.33 |
2025-08-10 | 28.46 | 6.24 | 8.84 | 10.81 | 17.75 | 49.61 | 86.52 | 120.40 | 197.42 |
2025-08-17 | 25.89 | 5.83 | 7.50 | 9.60 | 16.28 | 48.19 | 80.95 | 110.35 | 144.64 |
2025-08-24 | 18.69 | 3.71 | 4.42 | 6.83 | 10.88 | 30.75 | 53.58 | 72.77 | 112.95 |
2025-08-31 | 20.84 | 3.98 | 5.67 | 7.49 | 12.63 | 36.07 | 62.01 | 98.72 | 129.70 |
2025-09-07 | 18.47 | 3.94 | 4.85 | 6.49 | 10.59 | 34.04 | 54.83 | 81.06 | 128.13 |
2025-09-14 | 16.53 | 3.51 | 4.25 | 5.48 | 8.89 | 29.96 | 54.10 | 86.25 | 109.36 |
2025-09-21 | 14.87 | 2.77 | 3.42 | 5.25 | 8.55 | 27.59 | 53.07 | 77.78 | 115.68 |
2025-09-28 | 15.56 | 2.14 | 3.56 | 5.07 | 8.35 | 31.79 | 62.65 | 99.92 | 147.46 |