Prediction 365
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state PR.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-16 | 9802.81 | - | 9634.80 | - | - | - | - | 9972.99 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 7462.01 | - | 7316.17 | - | - | - | - | 7609.99 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 6369.49 | - | 6235.12 | - | - | - | - | 6506.00 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 4845.38 | - | 4728.69 | - | - | - | - | 4964.17 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 4682.46 | - | 4567.84 | - | - | - | - | 4799.19 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 4320.83 | - | 4210.87 | - | - | - | - | 4432.89 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 3965.77 | - | 3860.57 | - | - | - | - | 4073.07 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 3529.79 | - | 3430.73 | - | - | - | - | 3630.95 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 3767.26 | - | 3664.82 | - | - | - | - | 3871.81 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 3988.51 | - | 3883.00 | - | - | - | - | 4096.14 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 3697.79 | - | 3596.33 | - | - | - | - | 3801.35 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 3632.28 | - | 3531.75 | - | - | - | - | 3734.91 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 3957.62 | - | 3852.53 | - | - | - | - | 4064.81 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 4049.13 | - | 3942.79 | - | - | - | - | 4157.56 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 4360.88 | - | 4250.40 | - | - | - | - | 4473.48 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 4270.95 | - | 4161.65 | - | - | - | - | 4382.37 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 4652.94 | - | 4538.69 | - | - | - | - | 4769.31 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 4563.71 | - | 4450.59 | - | - | - | - | 4678.94 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 5077.64 | - | 4958.10 | - | - | - | - | 5199.31 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 4209.36 | - | 4100.74 | - | - | - | - | 4320.06 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 6147.63 | - | 6015.68 | - | - | - | - | 6281.71 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 6890.45 | - | 6750.50 | - | - | - | - | 7032.53 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 7564.62 | - | 7417.74 | - | - | - | - | 7713.63 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 7655.30 | - | 7507.51 | - | - | - | - | 7805.22 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 8226.75 | - | 8073.35 | - | - | - | - | 8382.30 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 9460.40 | - | 9295.45 | - | - | - | - | 9627.51 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 8556.08 | - | 8399.52 | - | - | - | - | 8714.80 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 6463.18 | - | 6340.17 | - | - | - | - | 6587.94 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 15962.83 | - | 879.75 | - | - | - | - | 77182.30 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 18758.87 | - | 1033.86 | - | - | - | - | 90701.28 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 23584.76 | - | 1299.84 | - | - | - | - | 114034.65 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 30523.92 | - | 1682.31 | - | - | - | - | 147585.78 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 32980.21 | - | 1817.69 | - | - | - | - | 159462.05 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 44392.67 | - | 2446.70 | - | - | - | - | 214641.82 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 53394.16 | - | 2942.83 | - | - | - | - | 258164.38 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 54377.69 | - | 2997.04 | - | - | - | - | 262919.82 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 72403.01 | - | 3990.53 | - | - | - | - | 350073.02 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 76712.93 | - | 4228.08 | - | - | - | - | 370911.62 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 96449.87 | - | 5315.91 | - | - | - | - | 466340.52 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 93979.79 | - | 5179.77 | - | - | - | - | 454397.59 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 102211.07 | - | 5633.44 | - | - | - | - | 494196.12 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 112268.18 | - | 6187.75 | - | - | - | - | 542822.60 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 114683.45 | - | 6320.87 | - | - | - | - | 554500.46 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 96801.90 | - | 5335.31 | - | - | - | - | 468042.59 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 90451.51 | - | 4985.30 | - | - | - | - | 437338.29 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 90900.37 | - | 5010.04 | - | - | - | - | 439508.52 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 89549.22 | - | 4935.57 | - | - | - | - | 432975.66 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 64058.91 | - | 3530.64 | - | - | - | - | 309728.97 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 48018.80 | - | 2646.56 | - | - | - | - | 232174.27 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 30915.76 | - | 1703.90 | - | - | - | - | 149480.32 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 23991.49 | - | 1322.26 | - | - | - | - | 116001.19 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 21285.16 | - | 1173.10 | - | - | - | - | 102915.95 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 18982.90 | - | 1046.16 | - | - | - | - | 91785.47 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 14450.00 | - | 796.33 | - | - | - | - | 69868.66 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 12334.37 | - | 679.72 | - | - | - | - | 59639.48 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 9382.95 | - | 517.05 | - | - | - | - | 45369.24 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 9067.46 | - | 499.66 | - | - | - | - | 43843.83 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 8367.17 | - | 461.06 | - | - | - | - | 40457.90 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 7679.61 | - | 423.17 | - | - | - | - | 37133.50 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 6835.35 | - | 376.64 | - | - | - | - | 33051.48 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 7295.21 | - | 401.98 | - | - | - | - | 35274.92 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 7723.66 | - | 425.60 | - | - | - | - | 37346.50 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 7160.67 | - | 394.57 | - | - | - | - | 34624.43 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 7033.81 | - | 387.57 | - | - | - | - | 34011.07 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 7663.82 | - | 422.30 | - | - | - | - | 37057.19 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 7841.03 | - | 432.06 | - | - | - | - | 37913.99 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 8444.74 | - | 465.34 | - | - | - | - | 40832.98 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 8270.59 | - | 455.74 | - | - | - | - | 39990.94 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 9010.31 | - | 496.51 | - | - | - | - | 43567.50 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
