Prediction 3650

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in DF


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 32.18 1.15 2.12 4.06 11.16 81.65 171.69 283.62 429.66
2022-10-16 40.15 1.46 2.43 4.34 12.04 123.01 317.60 536.36 799.67
2022-10-23 40.57 1.60 2.80 5.64 13.33 114.63 281.83 480.01 715.32
2022-10-30 43.62 1.85 3.48 5.88 15.75 135.52 353.86 557.44 965.09
2022-11-06 71.58 2.77 5.15 9.21 24.75 221.83 503.61 876.53 1253.82
2022-11-13 75.13 4.73 6.62 9.87 25.06 213.96 530.40 891.69 1232.96
2022-11-20 100.11 4.06 7.27 15.45 36.12 278.18 676.29 1360.06 2172.54
2022-11-27 102.43 4.20 6.28 12.88 36.01 268.72 609.25 930.83 1615.18
2022-12-04 142.55 3.79 8.75 16.57 47.86 368.08 1006.70 1894.78 2841.88
2022-12-11 135.11 5.35 9.45 18.66 45.07 415.15 1205.21 2309.59 3579.11
2022-12-18 93.02 2.86 5.33 11.99 29.44 304.08 779.62 1710.57 2733.33
2022-12-25 70.98 2.09 3.65 6.32 22.27 192.20 578.62 950.79 1579.71
2023-01-01 203.74 20.14 26.51 46.12 97.16 470.22 1020.74 1651.18 2337.07
2023-01-08 239.81 19.67 29.36 47.07 108.94 587.73 1134.49 1652.04 2840.73
2023-01-15 285.60 25.95 42.73 67.30 133.72 652.73 1520.57 2644.96 3951.07
2023-01-22 330.26 25.69 36.34 69.79 138.44 824.06 1613.15 2349.45 3493.60
2023-01-29 446.71 25.91 42.16 73.65 196.20 1021.86 2274.19 3924.27 5375.19
2023-02-05 387.38 37.04 50.44 84.23 171.96 799.69 1717.08 2623.61 3899.58
2023-02-12 486.62 48.85 75.10 108.90 224.45 1023.13 2079.05 3168.85 4177.42
2023-02-19 441.31 55.37 71.56 118.43 211.84 915.60 1792.38 2427.34 3649.19
2023-02-26 615.15 76.27 129.21 174.32 304.02 1214.20 2193.98 2936.19 4094.51
2023-03-05 546.22 83.92 111.62 158.38 301.75 1092.20 2169.42 3148.74 3944.77
2023-03-12 663.89 112.43 147.37 209.06 339.78 1235.17 2509.47 3697.05 5156.56
2023-03-19 656.44 109.86 131.05 183.20 359.05 1308.06 2260.58 3047.28 3917.89
2023-03-26 681.78 91.81 125.86 185.15 353.92 1396.59 2406.69 3249.84 4936.39
2023-04-02 749.33 119.91 149.96 204.30 392.77 1439.15 2526.83 3298.82 4787.31
2023-04-09 660.01 104.73 135.37 190.92 357.19 1203.40 2247.58 3149.39 3910.07
2023-04-16 644.14 98.59 135.57 188.63 348.93 1198.07 2055.34 2965.44 3795.87
2023-04-23 697.06 124.25 162.69 229.82 392.38 1434.88 2343.69 3217.42 3995.00
2023-04-30 638.65 114.64 158.55 230.77 389.41 1189.97 2212.84 2973.40 3806.82
2023-05-07 637.05 138.51 168.65 207.96 354.30 1093.42 1894.28 2466.48 3239.73
2023-05-14 564.27 103.60 128.41 172.23 287.78 952.21 1707.88 2358.63 3411.27
2023-05-21 460.23 69.99 104.24 135.11 224.56 840.31 1467.74 2094.88 2788.50
2023-05-28 346.81 69.71 80.88 110.74 179.19 705.32 1324.98 1834.37 2252.72
2023-06-04 311.99 51.56 65.92 99.91 170.51 565.87 929.12 1316.72 1732.54
2023-06-11 267.14 49.26 57.08 82.85 141.47 495.03 826.36 1114.99 1405.33
2023-06-18 234.11 36.69 47.75 70.84 119.10 472.79 812.21 1047.35 1422.43
2023-06-25 201.08 30.16 38.37 53.58 96.14 376.27 582.83 768.79 1039.15
2023-07-02 165.72 20.66 25.77 39.17 86.93 344.36 692.48 1016.43 1396.77
2023-07-09 129.62 16.53 23.24 33.26 68.34 257.03 492.72 669.96 851.89
2023-07-16 118.81 13.18 19.94 27.72 55.98 230.92 435.18 647.78 1031.00
2023-07-23 91.43 9.64 13.06 20.07 41.27 196.73 427.67 627.89 841.21
2023-07-30 82.52 9.42 11.42 18.84 36.37 169.70 324.81 515.01 786.28
2023-08-06 61.29 7.65 10.77 17.01 32.83 144.90 272.03 416.23 604.81
2023-08-13 79.06 5.24 9.05 15.23 36.36 153.81 323.56 451.23 632.90
2023-08-20 61.99 4.60 6.13 11.02 25.23 173.40 327.93 705.93 989.26
2023-08-27 48.91 4.44 5.12 8.27 18.92 134.16 290.16 419.05 839.78
2023-09-03 55.60 4.08 5.59 8.84 20.38 147.38 327.59 526.44 822.08
2023-09-10 59.60 2.84 5.89 10.21 23.96 152.03 340.50 551.09 812.05
2023-09-17 65.48 4.74 7.40 11.32 24.48 148.51 309.77 461.93 869.36
2023-09-24 56.72 3.65 6.62 10.19 24.29 157.40 419.12 658.95 934.23
2023-10-01 57.89 3.06 4.45 7.87 19.22 152.45 379.56 721.01 945.56
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