Prediction 3651

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in DF


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 140.89 19.18 26.46 36.17 72.63 283.56 517.20 703.18 895.34
2023-10-15 131.06 14.56 19.76 32.77 64.66 280.59 529.08 819.77 1119.25
2023-10-22 140.93 20.57 29.07 38.16 68.09 283.34 467.98 570.11 812.02
2023-10-29 146.31 22.89 32.02 43.85 83.97 269.28 475.87 686.05 954.40
2023-11-05 168.56 26.96 35.90 45.02 83.08 341.60 605.58 826.21 1040.75
2023-11-12 187.34 17.99 32.01 46.28 97.58 385.88 729.57 1059.02 1704.90
2023-11-19 212.61 29.01 33.98 55.79 103.85 419.44 813.55 1204.41 1540.36
2023-11-26 224.14 28.18 40.51 60.37 117.56 463.05 897.63 1285.87 1767.12
2023-12-03 246.32 25.52 38.75 59.15 116.99 509.98 1007.17 1515.13 2388.13
2023-12-10 274.36 34.22 47.39 62.36 130.53 596.14 1115.74 1652.70 2280.47
2023-12-17 197.53 25.07 36.68 51.77 88.35 434.73 777.89 1076.40 1542.42
2023-12-24 138.36 13.87 21.07 34.10 66.30 278.82 520.00 817.11 1253.21
2023-12-31 460.46 70.87 91.28 131.47 222.24 896.32 1735.00 2462.20 2802.97
2024-01-07 552.16 115.01 141.61 205.49 331.66 1009.42 1741.94 2107.93 2773.69
2024-01-14 648.39 124.10 176.80 229.56 346.22 1094.54 1719.47 2424.92 3018.52
2024-01-21 764.10 131.56 181.07 245.33 396.26 1228.74 2219.70 2949.72 4384.44
2024-01-28 881.08 179.46 205.38 274.67 494.94 1663.11 2731.14 3452.73 4189.67
2024-02-04 920.95 181.36 237.25 310.04 525.15 1589.24 2508.22 3425.28 4326.97
2024-02-11 945.51 216.25 257.97 358.68 549.19 1527.84 2140.07 2903.60 3582.89
2024-02-18 867.65 248.71 313.82 392.78 579.84 1453.24 2132.01 2822.43 3771.98
2024-02-25 1035.12 256.26 321.59 397.62 651.03 1767.62 2883.34 3927.17 5231.35
2024-03-03 1285.92 305.10 407.31 496.61 749.85 2008.32 2966.69 3683.17 4379.15
2024-03-10 1300.28 392.39 473.42 564.18 821.49 1976.00 3058.39 3684.63 4303.25
2024-03-17 1287.96 345.65 426.77 533.57 819.47 1994.50 3126.43 3827.76 4924.94
2024-03-24 1281.70 367.81 434.59 577.31 828.15 2091.95 3054.53 3828.69 4469.86
2024-03-31 1214.27 407.62 463.88 555.59 823.22 1890.23 2957.87 3786.84 4457.41
2024-04-07 1329.32 420.39 493.44 591.92 911.82 2163.03 3180.44 4105.02 4716.77
2024-04-14 1309.38 384.55 486.78 638.88 890.18 2046.66 3042.54 3946.82 4781.91
2024-04-21 1314.66 334.91 446.02 543.36 842.83 2013.42 2981.11 3803.64 4768.19
2024-04-28 1339.32 386.12 478.60 623.79 890.30 2100.46 2881.09 3731.90 4563.20
2024-05-05 1234.11 364.35 451.06 564.22 877.14 1965.02 2822.79 3686.82 4436.15
2024-05-12 1146.52 312.45 378.90 485.42 755.77 1810.15 2421.87 3129.95 3668.83
2024-05-19 935.61 287.53 349.41 441.93 632.06 1405.07 2105.24 2614.22 3048.69
2024-05-26 810.68 221.08 296.31 359.58 525.52 1364.52 1948.40 2586.97 2948.22
2024-06-02 692.28 203.91 235.48 294.74 466.16 1085.44 1649.51 1941.75 2501.57
2024-06-09 596.47 171.19 198.62 265.06 392.05 967.77 1461.45 1869.86 2079.52
2024-06-16 601.52 158.47 198.23 264.93 384.22 912.97 1296.48 1844.16 2155.39
2024-06-23 441.69 114.08 139.67 177.84 283.43 686.21 993.10 1347.46 1711.22
2024-06-30 403.06 117.00 139.66 174.26 272.40 582.31 818.61 1023.01 1308.87
2024-07-07 335.07 89.13 106.26 133.79 209.63 522.96 823.74 1056.37 1294.67
2024-07-14 265.43 58.11 76.84 99.90 160.68 426.04 660.45 839.14 1098.74
2024-07-21 224.50 53.25 68.26 89.20 138.03 336.91 491.73 603.13 734.44
2024-07-28 200.14 40.96 55.13 68.98 113.94 343.77 551.09 771.60 1005.29
2024-08-04 181.22 42.87 50.65 67.50 109.04 288.26 445.08 565.84 746.65
2024-08-11 181.47 34.69 45.99 60.42 105.80 281.67 447.29 667.86 863.83
2024-08-18 175.75 31.98 40.16 55.79 101.01 282.01 420.93 597.25 746.86
2024-08-25 145.68 26.83 32.74 45.69 76.82 270.24 422.48 567.75 745.22
2024-09-01 168.17 24.83 32.83 49.57 85.73 298.83 471.59 604.55 848.43
2024-09-08 155.41 28.32 32.12 45.28 81.02 295.07 494.37 662.77 927.64
2024-09-15 159.09 22.00 28.54 45.38 76.72 282.46 466.08 671.50 792.68
2024-09-22 147.70 24.99 32.82 44.47 73.47 283.17 524.89 696.66 934.02
2024-09-29 173.17 19.78 30.67 45.05 82.85 287.36 468.80 638.86 941.62
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