Prediction 3652

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in DF


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 115.25 3.46 7.01 16.06 39.60 306.28 731.54 1349.12 2088.12
2024-10-13 155.76 7.09 13.10 23.09 53.17 424.69 1035.27 1704.35 3307.72
2024-10-20 158.46 8.00 15.57 22.29 58.08 394.16 858.04 1412.47 2500.06
2024-10-27 173.17 7.52 12.16 19.65 61.49 455.99 1007.17 1421.77 2423.68
2024-11-03 232.26 14.72 21.41 36.41 79.67 668.18 1442.88 2594.34 5025.22
2024-11-10 229.13 11.16 20.80 34.47 99.21 566.12 1150.80 1969.44 2851.83
2024-11-17 293.71 9.98 22.50 40.72 108.04 774.12 1953.85 3185.27 6542.38
2024-11-24 336.13 21.69 37.60 60.03 133.79 877.21 1987.95 3295.78 5179.34
2024-12-01 412.96 18.43 29.13 51.35 132.86 1078.37 2503.03 4354.16 6711.39
2024-12-08 315.82 20.78 25.06 46.14 133.50 902.58 2376.44 3723.88 5400.61
2024-12-15 220.65 7.12 14.17 27.90 78.29 631.77 1597.61 2567.39 3145.93
2024-12-22 168.85 6.55 10.34 19.21 55.80 457.99 1144.62 1756.10 2795.91
2024-12-29 556.71 48.34 71.18 107.04 243.91 1481.34 3029.37 4536.11 6984.78
2025-01-05 896.11 72.19 98.14 184.45 360.86 2071.67 4742.75 8014.45 13472.21
2025-01-12 1139.17 103.35 165.97 262.75 540.63 2534.08 4872.39 7258.27 9346.97
2025-01-19 1285.09 81.79 142.44 241.06 554.42 3090.49 6252.01 8703.72 12052.33
2025-01-26 1626.09 125.08 167.89 301.59 709.48 3696.67 7678.29 11273.11 17015.87
2025-02-02 1832.19 123.01 193.74 325.11 736.78 4739.56 9042.88 15485.34 21053.45
2025-02-09 1965.33 204.15 272.51 429.48 853.25 4222.70 9070.72 13093.59 18293.68
2025-02-16 1770.74 166.14 231.02 359.48 820.82 3935.18 7874.51 9992.06 13968.79
2025-02-23 2064.30 363.01 424.79 582.82 1087.42 4496.37 8416.31 12310.56 16366.44
2025-03-02 2167.05 231.92 319.30 506.15 980.80 4451.58 8344.60 11486.82 15896.82
2025-03-09 2305.90 233.57 345.16 510.68 994.16 4761.05 9337.79 13678.59 20055.54
2025-03-16 2330.51 326.80 464.02 630.31 1210.51 4290.63 7524.02 10871.72 14831.95
2025-03-23 2239.33 228.05 274.64 419.82 1005.11 4462.91 8782.98 13380.21 20111.98
2025-03-30 2640.34 329.22 490.39 678.83 1346.12 5076.44 9920.09 13818.95 19012.02
2025-04-06 2460.04 288.07 418.01 724.29 1363.16 4977.13 10619.66 14085.76 17397.52
2025-04-13 2831.85 356.91 493.92 727.46 1479.53 5534.36 11427.26 16556.53 22215.91
2025-04-20 2671.49 395.19 505.06 785.92 1461.41 5296.87 9712.88 13164.75 17771.72
2025-04-27 2478.29 246.15 440.68 644.78 1210.73 4873.13 8600.01 13278.06 17079.78
2025-05-04 2631.56 345.16 460.48 665.42 1268.83 5343.66 10523.78 16992.77 24831.62
2025-05-11 2258.92 268.26 390.67 534.19 1044.37 4703.47 8657.07 13919.24 22834.95
2025-05-18 1586.76 227.84 312.67 416.84 781.10 3218.25 5828.27 8477.47 12239.83
2025-05-25 1396.84 196.63 246.89 347.71 662.75 2879.61 5315.33 7436.34 9234.28
2025-06-01 1143.90 141.04 180.15 260.81 564.89 2219.61 3759.60 5540.30 6665.79
2025-06-08 972.61 114.97 175.03 283.90 495.43 1932.62 3238.86 4713.67 6344.57
2025-06-15 669.19 81.23 119.08 168.53 358.78 1274.09 2536.69 3979.72 5170.01
2025-06-22 520.31 65.01 86.73 124.01 260.48 979.44 2096.55 3042.03 4382.50
2025-06-29 403.12 52.48 73.99 105.52 184.24 837.43 1487.30 2176.97 2864.25
2025-07-06 345.51 48.80 66.21 98.50 177.33 702.09 1386.13 2038.77 2423.09
2025-07-13 260.84 34.37 44.00 65.65 126.18 573.04 1215.76 1938.46 2752.34
2025-07-20 287.91 27.66 40.93 61.38 131.43 587.03 1180.65 1789.78 2476.56
2025-07-27 217.93 27.56 34.95 50.78 101.86 514.47 1141.32 1870.57 2798.44
2025-08-03 189.75 17.87 26.65 41.85 85.43 493.36 900.13 1479.46 1797.43
2025-08-10 179.17 12.30 20.01 30.66 73.42 402.22 801.79 1149.31 1941.28
2025-08-17 121.64 8.66 12.62 21.94 53.09 316.39 677.85 1307.05 2074.08
2025-08-24 158.09 7.90 13.05 23.44 64.00 375.19 874.94 1230.26 1826.13
2025-08-31 118.31 7.60 13.71 21.99 49.25 273.76 478.05 730.69 993.62
2025-09-07 142.45 12.90 21.18 31.35 65.22 317.20 671.31 982.71 1314.53
2025-09-14 120.68 9.32 14.63 23.43 50.55 278.94 598.99 942.21 1270.87
2025-09-21 119.71 9.51 13.56 20.78 46.97 280.40 654.05 994.50 1539.13
2025-09-28 121.17 6.86 11.81 20.38 46.72 302.28 664.72 926.04 1576.32
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