Prediction 3653

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in MT


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 93.68 35.05 38.83 46.91 65.38 154.24 235.86 290.02 399.64
2022-10-16 132.19 40.89 50.18 60.74 81.65 206.94 290.95 456.70 612.53
2022-10-23 130.52 44.35 51.62 63.54 90.49 203.23 307.08 384.19 554.93
2022-10-30 140.28 47.72 51.74 64.86 92.21 221.22 332.18 436.85 593.19
2022-11-06 196.39 71.78 85.09 100.61 133.04 310.40 472.22 578.65 761.17
2022-11-13 221.42 82.71 95.88 111.93 154.65 323.74 477.49 562.95 673.54
2022-11-20 262.22 94.76 111.53 132.70 184.37 405.78 687.58 968.09 1264.15
2022-11-27 289.09 112.32 129.71 143.00 193.93 445.03 667.84 838.75 1059.46
2022-12-04 384.84 146.69 168.97 203.83 269.50 597.39 919.56 1263.23 1582.82
2022-12-11 439.71 165.02 185.11 228.33 308.50 647.62 1021.91 1395.65 1805.94
2022-12-18 327.56 119.30 136.58 159.59 223.41 498.00 715.72 1046.93 1398.79
2022-12-25 255.88 73.33 87.51 112.63 164.63 380.32 661.05 1031.42 1430.18
2023-01-01 489.09 213.75 243.26 281.23 361.75 713.43 986.84 1221.40 1414.45
2023-01-08 609.06 247.64 285.99 346.62 440.64 817.55 1122.54 1384.04 1505.27
2023-01-15 693.88 307.76 343.60 392.14 526.15 970.87 1362.40 1654.68 1967.63
2023-01-22 838.39 383.34 427.18 478.06 604.62 1148.21 1587.31 2326.25 2644.39
2023-01-29 1042.93 427.75 487.27 550.65 726.94 1431.29 1909.50 2352.61 2892.95
2023-02-05 877.30 358.63 453.47 510.47 659.99 1112.84 1561.92 2071.70 2532.94
2023-02-12 1035.07 511.12 579.93 662.37 792.84 1347.36 1813.64 2235.94 2563.07
2023-02-19 907.91 442.37 505.68 551.21 695.07 1175.38 1673.29 1971.73 2229.43
2023-02-26 1119.83 550.85 608.59 696.95 859.49 1436.17 1817.09 2119.31 2631.34
2023-03-05 1123.02 552.75 593.83 695.62 860.89 1470.85 1902.65 2171.19 2405.56
2023-03-12 1220.09 629.07 726.44 785.21 944.12 1578.11 1994.65 2364.84 2830.76
2023-03-19 1231.94 663.55 707.44 802.38 983.76 1537.36 1947.31 2318.86 2695.33
2023-03-26 1190.65 586.89 636.46 737.59 915.42 1554.69 2011.11 2209.11 2611.31
2023-04-02 1299.19 646.08 732.36 837.75 1020.33 1640.96 1989.99 2296.63 2922.41
2023-04-09 1149.44 643.28 694.27 769.59 921.00 1393.10 1786.93 2021.96 2137.06
2023-04-16 1188.46 657.46 733.54 810.27 954.75 1587.37 2044.84 2468.04 2694.15
2023-04-23 1196.74 668.36 730.98 786.78 928.23 1501.89 1805.43 2176.00 2472.46
2023-04-30 1172.78 617.68 704.99 770.76 931.81 1467.90 1746.79 1995.38 2280.17
2023-05-07 1024.65 590.13 643.70 710.32 843.67 1260.94 1518.32 1731.81 1948.94
2023-05-14 960.70 552.22 585.00 629.98 778.47 1168.73 1406.03 1595.48 1745.56
2023-05-21 790.21 432.27 465.07 514.56 634.95 985.89 1215.50 1390.93 1483.91
2023-05-28 652.58 366.93 389.71 443.58 517.75 826.49 1045.82 1192.40 1429.35
2023-06-04 563.10 311.28 331.70 369.77 456.81 712.28 911.38 1032.88 1144.50
2023-06-11 457.55 261.51 286.41 320.00 369.39 556.95 686.59 771.82 870.28
2023-06-18 434.86 215.39 241.21 273.81 338.01 535.80 697.76 865.19 995.99
2023-06-25 336.12 183.83 205.05 221.07 264.06 432.86 516.23 607.64 677.87
2023-07-02 311.75 155.67 176.08 197.44 242.87 388.80 533.16 631.28 696.54
2023-07-09 256.65 129.30 139.84 155.75 195.28 335.00 403.31 481.18 579.37
2023-07-16 213.17 106.36 123.48 138.48 163.43 280.14 375.76 445.27 544.45
2023-07-23 204.79 91.23 105.17 124.57 158.28 282.10 373.38 433.07 498.90
2023-07-30 163.26 81.63 90.49 104.14 124.41 215.70 275.83 331.16 355.49
2023-08-06 131.50 66.20 77.07 85.19 104.34 183.93 236.67 291.67 344.60
2023-08-13 154.13 71.92 79.30 86.33 116.21 214.81 299.16 356.37 405.61
2023-08-20 160.03 64.17 71.12 85.17 109.09 232.08 324.56 406.16 552.06
2023-08-27 135.19 55.79 60.80 70.77 94.13 190.91 274.67 347.25 454.16
2023-09-03 136.33 55.72 65.25 74.49 97.08 187.32 267.55 327.06 450.09
2023-09-10 152.83 56.12 66.23 81.73 108.91 218.57 310.45 366.96 436.71
2023-09-17 141.20 60.39 63.97 74.25 102.10 199.73 276.10 339.52 391.17
2023-09-24 159.11 61.43 75.22 90.01 114.39 227.13 328.73 421.56 494.16
2023-10-01 175.39 65.11 73.42 87.81 123.07 268.38 398.30 503.43 834.45
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