Prediction 3654

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in MT


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 110.21 44.71 51.04 58.15 82.14 155.03 225.79 278.95 356.66
2023-10-15 140.52 48.17 55.98 65.54 88.94 211.64 323.56 448.84 584.12
2023-10-22 135.69 48.30 58.59 68.98 93.25 205.19 316.82 405.33 461.78
2023-10-29 152.20 55.41 66.79 77.27 106.25 232.56 325.64 385.50 508.27
2023-11-05 202.36 71.53 87.04 107.81 139.95 286.98 396.40 466.73 588.63
2023-11-12 202.84 80.83 95.36 105.89 142.20 274.65 393.84 540.14 715.79
2023-11-19 260.48 98.97 115.81 138.63 180.51 385.38 552.18 685.72 836.61
2023-11-26 288.99 118.44 135.12 154.82 209.88 422.24 638.36 845.47 1020.01
2023-12-03 354.27 127.69 146.08 174.95 238.30 541.18 805.91 1086.24 1462.19
2023-12-10 341.63 132.44 146.35 175.79 248.69 501.24 736.66 1088.86 1529.92
2023-12-17 220.66 81.64 93.31 108.77 155.82 312.45 549.02 813.46 1116.38
2023-12-24 134.04 49.17 57.72 70.38 92.67 202.14 303.73 400.51 537.03
2023-12-31 463.40 201.46 226.37 262.63 327.94 652.97 882.90 1050.43 1299.90
2024-01-07 549.26 260.27 288.08 328.65 414.76 734.06 971.76 1187.07 1473.92
2024-01-14 597.84 328.72 360.94 386.43 463.76 772.05 1008.51 1253.90 1460.09
2024-01-21 747.08 389.17 420.83 465.85 580.47 943.31 1265.01 1550.45 1752.25
2024-01-28 819.32 393.28 430.30 522.54 645.33 1061.70 1442.29 1714.02 2035.19
2024-02-04 942.18 453.74 508.49 582.17 717.52 1163.29 1550.43 1899.05 2110.67
2024-02-11 960.55 495.13 542.11 642.95 772.20 1213.13 1494.73 1759.79 1970.18
2024-02-18 912.38 491.94 533.95 602.71 720.28 1162.63 1476.17 1670.63 1807.94
2024-02-25 1072.97 590.49 633.48 713.22 871.59 1353.85 1769.35 2009.91 2417.60
2024-03-03 1051.06 604.33 654.14 720.75 850.34 1352.73 1666.22 1893.99 2081.99
2024-03-10 1177.99 679.20 745.87 817.02 958.08 1423.97 1717.25 2062.93 2305.16
2024-03-17 1229.64 743.63 791.96 879.95 1057.82 1510.00 1794.99 2025.20 2234.07
2024-03-24 1213.84 744.55 815.72 881.56 1010.18 1496.50 1759.71 2008.70 2323.43
2024-03-31 1283.50 804.92 845.03 927.62 1070.70 1580.56 1873.25 2160.14 2374.54
2024-04-07 1339.58 777.90 843.54 945.24 1098.59 1603.96 1889.69 2145.64 2353.71
2024-04-14 1284.70 757.39 823.44 898.23 1063.98 1554.72 1814.47 1949.38 2117.23
2024-04-21 1247.25 736.97 799.79 875.78 1054.14 1535.02 1796.67 2053.04 2329.85
2024-04-28 1238.48 767.98 810.98 888.59 1035.38 1531.69 1823.75 2070.91 2335.95
2024-05-05 1143.02 716.60 770.80 856.69 976.80 1374.24 1652.11 1840.12 2054.64
2024-05-12 987.91 608.68 648.69 730.53 823.68 1196.56 1466.38 1584.19 1765.99
2024-05-19 816.08 503.25 541.86 594.70 686.79 984.64 1200.88 1363.74 1459.72
2024-05-26 747.81 434.57 473.37 518.26 607.02 901.86 1099.92 1234.57 1341.97
2024-06-02 607.91 365.99 398.77 438.63 516.84 745.62 867.47 994.64 1153.55
2024-06-09 497.72 300.35 317.90 349.47 415.19 612.68 736.24 832.99 955.80
2024-06-16 446.03 273.68 291.56 313.44 373.20 553.92 686.45 788.45 865.58
2024-06-23 348.75 208.45 222.47 239.93 287.66 422.96 523.09 583.98 650.41
2024-06-30 298.48 169.47 178.57 201.59 241.15 361.65 429.65 502.51 586.08
2024-07-07 268.82 150.56 163.80 181.60 216.89 332.53 414.14 478.82 549.24
2024-07-14 215.69 123.46 133.25 146.42 168.03 271.09 348.44 405.06 451.45
2024-07-21 187.94 106.28 113.55 124.53 150.87 242.24 306.91 343.22 409.70
2024-07-28 167.56 85.32 92.85 105.94 128.01 210.72 277.72 312.87 350.35
2024-08-04 130.70 72.20 82.42 88.62 105.54 164.12 201.73 235.49 270.26
2024-08-11 139.44 66.95 79.47 87.34 107.03 182.66 250.66 308.44 353.77
2024-08-18 117.82 59.55 67.58 74.08 92.63 161.86 221.99 257.53 318.93
2024-08-25 109.36 47.41 54.77 62.64 79.03 139.50 181.74 218.23 272.39
2024-09-01 114.81 51.24 55.81 68.31 89.84 155.49 212.88 279.82 331.27
2024-09-08 128.37 60.69 65.04 76.20 94.97 173.15 235.07 276.44 309.64
2024-09-15 125.79 52.17 60.05 71.82 94.44 169.64 241.45 311.60 390.17
2024-09-22 119.76 50.25 59.14 69.71 89.87 162.59 210.77 265.97 316.23
2024-09-29 129.91 51.87 60.35 70.08 92.49 176.29 239.75 296.64 360.40
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