Prediction 3655
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in MT
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 68.99 | 27.74 | 31.13 | 37.04 | 48.15 | 99.74 | 140.51 | 186.66 | 249.80 |
2024-10-13 | 96.55 | 39.43 | 44.72 | 53.89 | 69.29 | 144.53 | 208.37 | 274.42 | 321.83 |
2024-10-20 | 91.94 | 34.21 | 39.78 | 48.80 | 62.60 | 133.55 | 196.92 | 262.69 | 307.05 |
2024-10-27 | 88.83 | 35.16 | 40.51 | 45.35 | 63.69 | 133.57 | 199.91 | 253.77 | 343.34 |
2024-11-03 | 136.72 | 50.28 | 57.60 | 69.97 | 93.88 | 202.61 | 278.98 | 355.17 | 438.87 |
2024-11-10 | 134.98 | 50.93 | 57.89 | 69.41 | 92.18 | 199.13 | 300.63 | 400.64 | 532.33 |
2024-11-17 | 182.43 | 76.50 | 83.56 | 96.53 | 129.88 | 270.11 | 419.09 | 523.46 | 713.14 |
2024-11-24 | 196.39 | 71.29 | 84.61 | 97.32 | 133.82 | 273.20 | 417.84 | 519.14 | 695.63 |
2024-12-01 | 240.61 | 87.03 | 99.45 | 122.43 | 168.00 | 369.60 | 541.04 | 707.66 | 880.84 |
2024-12-08 | 219.56 | 79.28 | 87.85 | 107.32 | 149.00 | 343.90 | 493.64 | 654.40 | 770.40 |
2024-12-15 | 144.07 | 51.10 | 58.01 | 71.47 | 99.65 | 218.40 | 312.75 | 366.13 | 513.67 |
2024-12-22 | 121.79 | 42.36 | 47.36 | 58.05 | 80.85 | 173.03 | 268.67 | 355.68 | 431.17 |
2024-12-29 | 330.21 | 136.50 | 152.05 | 183.26 | 240.67 | 458.54 | 650.75 | 767.39 | 921.01 |
2025-01-05 | 489.16 | 200.36 | 220.81 | 267.89 | 345.75 | 712.64 | 1034.22 | 1241.08 | 1531.00 |
2025-01-12 | 539.44 | 253.81 | 288.14 | 317.77 | 397.50 | 768.67 | 1012.73 | 1201.19 | 1406.52 |
2025-01-19 | 687.22 | 304.97 | 327.64 | 376.69 | 500.54 | 1009.22 | 1389.26 | 1686.52 | 2014.62 |
2025-01-26 | 853.38 | 362.17 | 408.20 | 491.06 | 612.99 | 1197.37 | 1624.29 | 2054.36 | 2421.52 |
2025-02-02 | 907.19 | 374.11 | 441.64 | 507.62 | 627.52 | 1268.91 | 1790.87 | 2203.05 | 2742.50 |
2025-02-09 | 850.21 | 411.06 | 441.06 | 504.70 | 666.75 | 1117.80 | 1489.77 | 1979.34 | 2258.00 |
2025-02-16 | 805.20 | 409.82 | 456.46 | 527.89 | 637.24 | 1028.74 | 1430.12 | 1779.06 | 2208.25 |
2025-02-23 | 930.53 | 453.89 | 491.22 | 556.98 | 702.25 | 1169.52 | 1547.36 | 1752.66 | 2111.47 |
2025-03-02 | 943.00 | 478.63 | 516.59 | 574.19 | 738.93 | 1202.02 | 1718.47 | 2018.23 | 2427.88 |
2025-03-09 | 1098.38 | 521.53 | 597.60 | 659.99 | 836.84 | 1446.13 | 1930.79 | 2383.56 | 2729.28 |
2025-03-16 | 1029.72 | 543.46 | 598.44 | 680.65 | 837.45 | 1324.13 | 1681.65 | 2145.20 | 2541.43 |
2025-03-23 | 1001.79 | 497.38 | 558.06 | 629.52 | 799.89 | 1325.75 | 1692.97 | 2087.08 | 2295.55 |
2025-03-30 | 1123.42 | 600.54 | 639.48 | 737.81 | 871.75 | 1471.27 | 1869.78 | 2055.81 | 2375.55 |
2025-04-06 | 1041.25 | 601.69 | 645.33 | 717.67 | 846.75 | 1306.26 | 1645.25 | 1972.49 | 2142.45 |
2025-04-13 | 1119.77 | 594.92 | 658.91 | 723.26 | 901.73 | 1422.48 | 1841.07 | 2283.57 | 2677.14 |
2025-04-20 | 1065.16 | 591.59 | 636.47 | 702.52 | 849.00 | 1346.94 | 1735.22 | 2026.39 | 2318.20 |
2025-04-27 | 1100.59 | 580.29 | 622.41 | 705.90 | 832.99 | 1391.33 | 1742.86 | 1956.46 | 2155.01 |
2025-05-04 | 1124.84 | 531.13 | 631.70 | 715.86 | 893.24 | 1444.53 | 1895.23 | 2303.53 | 2568.19 |
2025-05-11 | 922.33 | 492.95 | 519.70 | 602.70 | 735.88 | 1233.60 | 1560.06 | 1867.13 | 2038.68 |
2025-05-18 | 653.83 | 334.45 | 367.19 | 409.92 | 513.12 | 839.84 | 1109.61 | 1331.29 | 1572.04 |
2025-05-25 | 568.01 | 291.42 | 311.60 | 347.49 | 444.17 | 736.55 | 976.33 | 1139.36 | 1365.93 |
2025-06-01 | 436.46 | 231.10 | 255.84 | 282.63 | 341.64 | 557.32 | 726.61 | 812.11 | 940.88 |
2025-06-08 | 373.35 | 207.37 | 223.05 | 242.85 | 299.55 | 474.96 | 620.03 | 707.09 | 847.51 |
2025-06-15 | 292.18 | 150.34 | 167.68 | 184.73 | 231.52 | 375.79 | 464.05 | 566.38 | 634.89 |
2025-06-22 | 224.27 | 117.37 | 134.63 | 148.69 | 180.20 | 279.02 | 346.34 | 411.53 | 478.20 |
2025-06-29 | 195.62 | 96.67 | 107.70 | 127.54 | 156.33 | 253.49 | 329.00 | 395.36 | 463.51 |
2025-07-06 | 152.65 | 77.13 | 86.48 | 97.65 | 123.34 | 203.35 | 252.98 | 303.63 | 382.18 |
2025-07-13 | 122.72 | 59.68 | 64.77 | 75.40 | 94.79 | 163.12 | 213.59 | 265.44 | 300.86 |
2025-07-20 | 120.69 | 60.40 | 67.03 | 74.36 | 93.39 | 163.17 | 219.59 | 269.74 | 306.00 |
2025-07-27 | 117.24 | 50.89 | 58.69 | 69.71 | 86.65 | 159.46 | 220.24 | 252.30 | 321.89 |
2025-08-03 | 94.50 | 45.43 | 48.00 | 54.86 | 72.05 | 127.80 | 174.00 | 216.11 | 264.65 |
2025-08-10 | 91.92 | 39.07 | 43.47 | 51.83 | 67.18 | 130.98 | 183.38 | 223.37 | 281.61 |
2025-08-17 | 73.71 | 30.00 | 34.49 | 39.96 | 53.08 | 109.15 | 145.20 | 174.78 | 218.54 |
2025-08-24 | 76.61 | 33.67 | 37.72 | 43.29 | 55.68 | 107.39 | 150.84 | 188.06 | 247.00 |
2025-08-31 | 63.42 | 26.72 | 32.46 | 35.98 | 45.93 | 87.00 | 118.02 | 136.86 | 160.59 |
2025-09-07 | 66.95 | 32.70 | 35.65 | 40.66 | 51.28 | 95.67 | 131.80 | 152.68 | 171.31 |
2025-09-14 | 64.96 | 30.28 | 32.67 | 37.43 | 49.89 | 92.05 | 136.28 | 169.11 | 216.44 |
2025-09-21 | 62.02 | 27.09 | 30.19 | 35.33 | 46.22 | 91.07 | 125.87 | 147.42 | 230.84 |
2025-09-28 | 69.98 | 28.55 | 31.56 | 36.97 | 50.96 | 99.23 | 135.09 | 173.70 | 214.50 |