Prediction 3656

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in MS


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 135.27 32.33 38.37 50.55 75.01 235.23 384.19 596.92 926.50
2022-10-16 178.97 46.56 58.38 74.66 110.31 340.09 645.64 881.68 1402.80
2022-10-23 178.80 46.94 60.14 73.48 110.32 308.80 503.81 674.55 1099.95
2022-10-30 196.89 53.21 62.95 80.47 120.78 314.42 588.34 877.51 1106.37
2022-11-06 290.81 74.85 83.49 107.89 175.77 507.84 857.34 1385.79 1789.80
2022-11-13 309.32 91.76 103.55 127.99 200.51 530.53 896.82 1288.74 2033.51
2022-11-20 393.63 109.24 131.58 167.58 239.77 687.45 1262.39 1713.21 2166.73
2022-11-27 400.75 112.49 125.15 167.60 244.43 703.96 1293.36 1773.10 2633.76
2022-12-04 587.44 145.71 180.43 225.06 360.82 1043.28 1758.71 3078.17 4729.58
2022-12-11 582.14 151.89 199.65 250.41 353.66 1029.01 1924.38 3129.18 5958.19
2022-12-18 416.71 126.66 149.35 173.06 250.02 899.25 1779.75 2749.07 3963.22
2022-12-25 368.13 72.45 94.95 127.69 211.09 756.79 1604.27 2270.33 3727.09
2023-01-01 799.34 258.10 294.50 363.41 525.54 1252.32 2011.60 2834.97 4556.95
2023-01-08 831.75 310.37 338.51 410.09 569.64 1207.70 1966.42 2360.38 3170.85
2023-01-15 1139.10 367.15 435.59 509.11 730.54 1823.13 2848.39 4158.31 6316.99
2023-01-22 1267.53 397.07 453.33 599.45 844.42 2032.11 2972.36 4088.89 5018.42
2023-01-29 1492.25 501.81 569.08 683.74 968.39 2438.34 3872.15 5079.64 6443.18
2023-02-05 1364.18 445.91 531.79 651.06 943.91 2156.19 3279.73 4318.52 6716.42
2023-02-12 1770.67 661.73 774.89 934.57 1208.17 2586.76 3871.15 4710.37 7206.17
2023-02-19 1393.20 549.59 635.97 721.20 983.41 2005.34 3050.24 3958.16 5324.78
2023-02-26 1819.13 707.05 783.07 919.99 1274.43 2675.19 3917.31 4677.40 6129.33
2023-03-05 1744.05 702.82 779.51 918.06 1225.97 2515.10 3752.55 5167.41 5774.63
2023-03-12 1953.57 897.38 985.77 1118.86 1416.52 2762.86 4047.87 5651.43 7007.54
2023-03-19 1970.82 844.71 941.65 1072.12 1417.46 2788.22 4210.10 5539.38 7524.46
2023-03-26 1862.73 772.33 891.32 1029.79 1350.88 2676.74 3939.44 5900.79 6666.81
2023-04-02 2026.53 875.82 968.52 1123.75 1449.40 2874.79 4208.68 5467.25 6934.87
2023-04-09 1935.06 815.74 929.50 1078.35 1422.34 2645.14 3669.36 5054.44 5983.45
2023-04-16 1995.09 782.40 930.26 1127.17 1462.14 2871.10 3886.43 4814.27 5639.40
2023-04-23 1985.46 908.40 991.98 1144.32 1421.88 2789.25 3913.61 4859.66 6230.41
2023-04-30 1874.61 791.24 896.74 1077.76 1378.77 2482.05 3418.15 4271.73 5916.91
2023-05-07 1744.81 740.18 858.03 1019.62 1314.23 2294.92 3154.56 3860.04 5273.97
2023-05-14 1620.76 726.40 779.39 933.68 1151.63 2239.45 3094.31 3869.75 4357.51
2023-05-21 1247.25 603.96 671.10 755.37 968.66 1691.60 2370.88 3006.69 3406.79
2023-05-28 1131.65 497.25 548.71 649.55 810.60 1605.91 2362.37 3116.05 3661.53
2023-06-04 877.74 353.90 443.53 506.38 652.03 1291.62 1812.33 2355.46 3030.97
2023-06-11 785.25 338.60 396.08 444.68 585.38 1071.26 1540.86 1840.62 2206.04
2023-06-18 717.29 270.58 323.38 376.01 516.86 1015.71 1419.16 1747.14 2148.93
2023-06-25 549.56 241.92 266.16 299.05 383.18 802.25 1139.22 1394.00 1662.43
2023-07-02 494.74 206.56 224.23 265.71 346.49 738.74 1095.44 1344.18 1955.56
2023-07-09 401.72 156.46 189.96 220.51 277.96 585.84 798.81 1022.43 1383.18
2023-07-16 335.08 138.71 160.00 187.71 245.55 495.78 785.61 981.06 1628.45
2023-07-23 316.21 116.73 138.92 168.35 218.32 448.48 671.56 892.63 1044.65
2023-07-30 266.14 95.38 111.85 134.85 182.48 423.59 698.50 972.68 1165.61
2023-08-06 201.30 80.59 91.95 104.76 139.29 292.62 449.35 548.39 743.04
2023-08-13 245.95 76.98 93.80 109.85 157.24 366.20 607.97 755.72 1048.94
2023-08-20 218.94 69.80 89.39 105.86 146.57 370.73 664.87 827.61 1055.51
2023-08-27 213.25 64.32 71.35 85.08 133.40 339.24 541.99 754.31 1149.69
2023-09-03 202.96 63.87 78.59 93.08 136.50 329.06 565.15 694.90 887.31
2023-09-10 232.47 60.64 71.82 97.11 148.49 368.07 645.13 834.68 1098.03
2023-09-17 234.89 69.55 79.62 100.59 144.37 369.39 610.99 791.04 936.36
2023-09-24 219.77 61.35 73.70 98.10 144.32 398.91 727.06 967.15 1267.26
2023-10-01 268.41 72.17 88.48 109.60 159.66 472.23 813.05 1210.98 1692.38
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