Prediction 3657
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in MS
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 134.11 | 40.41 | 45.91 | 58.25 | 82.17 | 257.50 | 478.99 | 781.70 | 1089.43 |
2023-10-15 | 161.16 | 35.30 | 42.30 | 57.03 | 89.54 | 303.96 | 523.28 | 825.63 | 1141.42 |
2023-10-22 | 158.82 | 35.13 | 45.84 | 61.63 | 96.29 | 271.47 | 465.67 | 645.23 | 956.30 |
2023-10-29 | 177.74 | 46.13 | 57.70 | 68.77 | 110.09 | 306.53 | 543.72 | 822.30 | 1014.69 |
2023-11-05 | 256.61 | 69.66 | 91.39 | 112.87 | 160.47 | 432.18 | 762.78 | 1122.66 | 1570.78 |
2023-11-12 | 213.74 | 59.69 | 73.53 | 89.02 | 134.96 | 384.94 | 640.75 | 896.30 | 1270.32 |
2023-11-19 | 290.26 | 75.20 | 90.05 | 121.90 | 179.22 | 589.27 | 1001.74 | 1619.09 | 3178.88 |
2023-11-26 | 330.82 | 86.34 | 100.93 | 131.18 | 199.24 | 617.07 | 1163.98 | 1739.35 | 2666.41 |
2023-12-03 | 406.21 | 90.53 | 115.50 | 154.80 | 225.80 | 813.72 | 1651.52 | 2402.84 | 4574.40 |
2023-12-10 | 466.71 | 94.56 | 111.95 | 149.54 | 266.89 | 897.90 | 1930.08 | 3536.46 | 5377.94 |
2023-12-17 | 284.24 | 64.64 | 78.09 | 108.01 | 161.73 | 480.75 | 1001.13 | 1585.37 | 3393.01 |
2023-12-24 | 144.24 | 40.26 | 47.70 | 60.03 | 93.30 | 269.27 | 473.35 | 713.20 | 983.10 |
2023-12-31 | 571.21 | 177.52 | 198.64 | 251.33 | 364.76 | 914.24 | 1629.51 | 2423.97 | 3055.45 |
2024-01-07 | 716.58 | 252.00 | 293.78 | 335.43 | 477.79 | 1201.15 | 2167.04 | 3115.11 | 4573.78 |
2024-01-14 | 807.23 | 303.23 | 350.85 | 431.53 | 571.75 | 1280.98 | 2274.01 | 3153.81 | 4083.55 |
2024-01-21 | 1026.97 | 377.05 | 428.28 | 507.95 | 661.80 | 1640.02 | 2640.67 | 3563.41 | 4636.72 |
2024-01-28 | 1110.13 | 403.86 | 423.12 | 488.17 | 726.39 | 1880.02 | 3112.28 | 4315.12 | 5094.76 |
2024-02-04 | 1222.58 | 445.48 | 544.99 | 631.08 | 855.66 | 1896.99 | 2865.35 | 4114.80 | 5411.28 |
2024-02-11 | 1298.02 | 531.31 | 597.60 | 705.50 | 925.07 | 1841.63 | 2759.14 | 3844.50 | 5482.90 |
2024-02-18 | 1244.53 | 474.83 | 562.28 | 662.50 | 883.73 | 1825.70 | 2675.99 | 3315.79 | 4325.32 |
2024-02-25 | 1532.69 | 556.89 | 662.99 | 768.57 | 1074.51 | 2332.42 | 3261.30 | 4514.79 | 5588.83 |
2024-03-03 | 1544.14 | 606.44 | 693.74 | 838.66 | 1108.22 | 2193.16 | 3432.76 | 4208.34 | 5892.52 |
2024-03-10 | 1787.91 | 825.15 | 886.85 | 1006.45 | 1303.63 | 2538.48 | 3534.54 | 4384.25 | 5571.39 |
2024-03-17 | 1877.71 | 756.63 | 853.62 | 1036.62 | 1304.94 | 2616.05 | 3560.62 | 4449.93 | 5527.44 |
2024-03-24 | 1787.80 | 778.61 | 919.57 | 1036.82 | 1371.78 | 2569.83 | 3731.61 | 4468.08 | 5216.78 |
2024-03-31 | 1871.30 | 832.84 | 1025.12 | 1146.78 | 1442.13 | 2627.49 | 3876.31 | 4727.44 | 6313.42 |
2024-04-07 | 1873.41 | 844.72 | 968.39 | 1102.77 | 1398.14 | 2844.21 | 3922.34 | 5475.09 | 6651.95 |
2024-04-14 | 1867.36 | 806.54 | 908.83 | 1043.54 | 1379.19 | 2804.32 | 3866.09 | 4810.40 | 5560.58 |
2024-04-21 | 1854.90 | 838.24 | 943.87 | 1094.90 | 1419.48 | 2570.85 | 3658.46 | 4886.69 | 5844.21 |
2024-04-28 | 1942.16 | 849.01 | 931.54 | 1115.93 | 1430.75 | 2553.71 | 3685.03 | 4355.45 | 5684.50 |
2024-05-05 | 1739.91 | 778.09 | 888.32 | 1014.53 | 1294.77 | 2354.89 | 3549.31 | 4323.07 | 5205.85 |
2024-05-12 | 1440.93 | 635.53 | 694.26 | 800.04 | 1046.16 | 1918.84 | 2667.37 | 3430.06 | 4215.31 |
2024-05-19 | 1207.21 | 536.85 | 609.19 | 717.09 | 894.02 | 1761.36 | 2423.14 | 2926.51 | 3509.90 |
2024-05-26 | 1055.57 | 456.33 | 510.32 | 622.88 | 786.12 | 1541.65 | 2184.64 | 2620.84 | 3369.69 |
2024-06-02 | 876.05 | 403.42 | 437.25 | 508.41 | 644.09 | 1258.12 | 1776.24 | 2205.36 | 2904.63 |
2024-06-09 | 712.55 | 322.67 | 357.39 | 419.55 | 535.50 | 1058.84 | 1469.85 | 1765.66 | 2318.21 |
2024-06-16 | 589.83 | 249.45 | 274.68 | 331.29 | 438.41 | 837.29 | 1239.75 | 1744.04 | 2075.10 |
2024-06-23 | 500.26 | 205.24 | 232.86 | 280.07 | 359.73 | 752.20 | 1072.19 | 1509.15 | 1826.12 |
2024-06-30 | 420.84 | 176.15 | 199.08 | 231.98 | 299.00 | 594.00 | 853.12 | 1009.97 | 1277.74 |
2024-07-07 | 367.98 | 152.32 | 165.30 | 188.88 | 250.33 | 532.61 | 772.79 | 960.01 | 1279.87 |
2024-07-14 | 296.90 | 107.83 | 131.43 | 154.77 | 204.90 | 472.10 | 720.70 | 916.01 | 1099.36 |
2024-07-21 | 253.31 | 115.32 | 130.03 | 146.76 | 190.59 | 395.52 | 576.21 | 703.55 | 813.22 |
2024-07-28 | 237.84 | 92.44 | 104.39 | 122.28 | 167.35 | 362.35 | 564.88 | 773.43 | 983.28 |
2024-08-04 | 183.23 | 71.25 | 79.61 | 95.67 | 130.13 | 272.56 | 434.61 | 569.17 | 705.60 |
2024-08-11 | 193.19 | 67.35 | 79.84 | 90.84 | 122.37 | 288.18 | 456.02 | 605.76 | 937.73 |
2024-08-18 | 163.94 | 56.48 | 64.48 | 74.13 | 106.51 | 245.80 | 393.04 | 483.77 | 592.71 |
2024-08-25 | 129.24 | 43.23 | 54.09 | 65.03 | 86.14 | 208.82 | 314.71 | 412.45 | 606.41 |
2024-09-01 | 144.68 | 45.78 | 53.54 | 62.89 | 93.32 | 240.20 | 381.19 | 472.57 | 655.78 |
2024-09-08 | 170.13 | 52.90 | 62.07 | 80.35 | 112.39 | 272.63 | 406.46 | 631.02 | 817.79 |
2024-09-15 | 154.13 | 42.38 | 56.18 | 70.58 | 101.88 | 243.01 | 370.08 | 488.86 | 630.51 |
2024-09-22 | 158.86 | 49.96 | 61.31 | 74.71 | 105.69 | 255.01 | 388.44 | 515.36 | 760.74 |
2024-09-29 | 165.32 | 48.97 | 59.60 | 72.62 | 104.24 | 278.85 | 467.08 | 604.18 | 825.08 |