Prediction 3658

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in MS


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 95.37 24.73 29.82 39.26 61.11 157.14 267.07 435.03 592.98
2024-10-13 126.71 34.71 44.26 53.63 79.15 219.04 355.44 503.35 736.32
2024-10-20 126.28 34.84 42.38 52.90 76.88 215.56 350.53 453.04 796.64
2024-10-27 127.83 34.74 44.45 54.95 80.59 213.74 397.37 527.15 741.68
2024-11-03 186.99 62.56 74.03 88.09 118.92 319.81 597.37 881.02 1326.45
2024-11-10 177.59 49.30 60.34 75.45 112.43 322.71 539.03 798.38 1128.20
2024-11-17 245.40 71.68 81.18 100.61 149.56 409.97 740.32 1017.04 1550.46
2024-11-24 263.29 79.84 100.30 127.50 172.03 406.43 694.45 945.80 1362.12
2024-12-01 336.10 80.73 104.77 128.81 201.92 522.49 929.85 1259.23 1676.02
2024-12-08 301.37 94.10 108.65 131.06 176.93 500.71 876.49 1264.37 1796.45
2024-12-15 196.08 53.82 62.02 78.72 116.76 351.94 573.87 804.87 1248.89
2024-12-22 150.85 43.59 50.36 61.60 89.91 286.02 521.34 807.04 1266.90
2024-12-29 461.69 165.52 184.29 229.71 317.09 717.96 1166.87 1652.68 1960.38
2025-01-05 661.07 202.53 254.46 319.23 431.27 1067.48 1786.62 2848.85 4021.22
2025-01-12 705.17 243.69 302.23 384.05 505.78 1099.14 1958.11 2401.28 3156.93
2025-01-19 967.73 323.46 380.84 444.95 659.70 1536.19 2413.94 3974.58 5415.72
2025-01-26 1106.04 373.20 444.57 526.19 772.51 1807.89 2750.82 4030.03 4997.13
2025-02-02 1186.48 391.49 467.74 567.38 771.62 1896.23 2860.21 3897.78 5702.65
2025-02-09 1248.27 436.49 536.68 660.89 874.31 1917.55 2872.45 3773.05 5031.10
2025-02-16 1262.48 438.11 490.22 597.29 832.65 1902.91 2898.88 4059.85 5529.60
2025-02-23 1352.73 515.31 568.61 722.64 955.58 1828.06 2870.13 3654.70 4603.39
2025-03-02 1422.28 543.66 588.16 702.64 988.57 2151.66 3082.82 4134.22 6045.63
2025-03-09 1563.29 611.19 712.83 814.58 1070.26 2333.87 3513.52 5071.94 6329.95
2025-03-16 1456.09 628.34 714.88 805.44 1061.55 2098.51 3053.09 3705.07 4713.40
2025-03-23 1420.29 592.90 667.60 758.19 963.50 2147.28 3163.73 3903.01 4839.52
2025-03-30 1702.93 648.33 744.52 912.35 1204.24 2553.58 3645.98 5375.34 6052.85
2025-04-06 1530.68 697.81 783.54 906.21 1127.78 2331.69 3362.07 4257.19 5188.06
2025-04-13 1650.84 682.21 775.84 933.97 1211.65 2405.69 3498.20 4157.12 5235.72
2025-04-20 1564.20 633.04 750.85 899.59 1133.61 2267.66 3613.73 4270.70 4808.60
2025-04-27 1586.34 686.98 752.36 900.64 1201.53 2376.48 3557.38 4829.46 6137.61
2025-05-04 1586.87 612.90 728.37 876.99 1145.53 2346.03 3373.01 4313.69 5105.60
2025-05-11 1341.60 548.41 615.87 716.82 961.02 2095.15 3521.69 4830.77 6182.04
2025-05-18 986.69 420.81 475.16 546.21 724.28 1364.15 2086.67 2782.53 3487.84
2025-05-25 827.58 330.82 377.68 437.67 590.80 1221.36 1816.03 2331.10 2863.08
2025-06-01 646.26 281.35 328.52 380.18 476.40 939.66 1289.31 1908.70 2525.62
2025-06-08 510.92 227.34 251.81 303.67 380.48 745.70 1175.49 1466.10 1938.62
2025-06-15 419.00 177.06 198.65 231.35 303.95 597.78 886.95 1149.73 1526.99
2025-06-22 336.23 139.80 157.60 184.38 237.54 494.02 747.79 926.97 1126.36
2025-06-29 296.14 106.10 120.28 142.05 203.55 409.43 628.17 833.97 1046.84
2025-07-06 221.32 93.44 103.78 122.02 153.74 323.28 483.75 659.48 834.85
2025-07-13 176.54 66.42 77.75 91.35 125.46 273.22 394.19 503.60 794.06
2025-07-20 183.32 65.99 77.01 91.56 120.38 258.99 411.50 564.65 817.35
2025-07-27 174.75 59.04 70.16 83.10 116.10 288.61 460.93 685.99 891.08
2025-08-03 132.97 49.12 54.04 64.17 88.84 202.08 309.67 415.87 656.95
2025-08-10 136.40 39.20 47.16 57.44 86.06 217.28 327.79 498.87 631.86
2025-08-17 100.44 34.68 39.38 47.36 64.73 163.54 271.16 347.67 567.62
2025-08-24 112.31 32.98 40.01 49.27 72.09 174.65 322.14 466.83 736.96
2025-08-31 93.93 31.83 35.47 42.75 59.37 140.34 226.01 312.49 347.90
2025-09-07 106.34 35.73 39.12 48.22 70.09 163.95 258.28 331.08 483.87
2025-09-14 91.19 28.26 34.33 42.39 59.34 140.78 222.12 303.53 363.51
2025-09-21 88.11 29.43 34.40 41.00 60.01 153.70 248.43 328.09 430.17
2025-09-28 98.61 28.25 34.21 44.72 62.37 164.42 277.53 383.78 515.39
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