Prediction 3659

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Goiás

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in GO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 234.84 75.43 92.86 113.22 158.63 374.64 571.65 735.75 987.07
2022-10-16 333.21 113.82 128.37 153.18 212.88 505.97 746.86 978.41 1497.28
2022-10-23 305.00 116.13 134.90 159.41 214.79 506.11 815.40 1102.65 1543.62
2022-10-30 364.93 127.64 142.49 173.09 237.75 575.69 936.25 1330.62 2143.33
2022-11-06 474.44 164.59 195.28 232.08 335.97 756.03 1210.83 1611.08 2261.23
2022-11-13 551.65 206.76 233.66 283.53 390.77 824.85 1286.13 1851.88 2645.96
2022-11-20 704.38 234.65 281.65 359.81 470.13 1045.79 1529.94 2181.24 2926.28
2022-11-27 720.87 254.85 283.41 349.63 486.65 1074.31 1834.54 2636.58 3595.09
2022-12-04 1041.31 370.48 410.26 508.53 709.32 1740.14 2733.14 3611.46 4532.06
2022-12-11 1047.45 384.71 469.52 531.85 730.47 1630.74 2625.70 3831.09 4768.63
2022-12-18 783.58 279.62 328.39 391.01 539.47 1225.40 1900.31 2606.37 3585.21
2022-12-25 617.49 181.72 227.64 273.88 402.38 983.27 1691.35 2332.86 3369.25
2023-01-01 1219.28 547.53 624.21 690.15 880.55 1809.49 2577.24 3250.21 4074.51
2023-01-08 1495.05 652.91 730.84 804.39 1067.03 2049.95 2936.25 3723.03 5079.18
2023-01-15 1879.50 824.84 907.70 1087.83 1390.59 2626.29 3901.80 5109.62 6720.86
2023-01-22 2078.73 832.86 943.52 1182.27 1488.50 2869.38 4184.24 5554.19 6511.46
2023-01-29 2521.75 1059.26 1208.70 1395.68 1793.67 3630.90 5336.94 6696.11 8125.69
2023-02-05 2188.57 1050.96 1124.55 1259.77 1649.09 3057.81 4014.25 4843.39 5861.92
2023-02-12 2662.00 1269.67 1408.41 1572.23 1994.42 3567.30 4886.40 6070.65 7374.75
2023-02-19 2314.95 1104.77 1257.31 1415.26 1770.76 3090.76 4196.66 5260.89 6311.95
2023-02-26 2866.39 1393.18 1514.37 1767.23 2216.41 3785.89 5129.87 6290.90 7298.17
2023-03-05 2790.56 1419.52 1571.63 1715.52 2181.87 3605.20 4728.60 5451.96 6563.95
2023-03-12 3154.81 1638.00 1803.62 2004.28 2425.74 4107.11 5149.15 5977.35 7026.45
2023-03-19 3073.82 1483.88 1725.29 1920.04 2398.07 4055.21 5075.26 6254.70 7291.84
2023-03-26 2999.73 1520.22 1774.89 1940.21 2328.48 3923.09 5114.45 5789.53 6540.05
2023-04-02 3059.77 1605.74 1798.91 2017.42 2415.35 4003.87 5318.07 6360.26 7461.61
2023-04-09 2889.51 1575.47 1739.68 1895.28 2376.96 3614.65 4622.32 5270.34 5761.57
2023-04-16 3065.02 1634.03 1807.62 1978.11 2464.82 3985.63 5162.92 6156.77 7196.87
2023-04-23 3022.25 1647.49 1791.13 2121.86 2455.83 3665.71 4749.28 5762.82 6998.95
2023-04-30 2921.14 1617.33 1781.77 2012.18 2374.90 3861.15 5174.08 6041.25 7018.41
2023-05-07 2668.06 1551.78 1668.69 1773.51 2178.06 3346.57 4130.25 4726.98 5080.86
2023-05-14 2514.27 1285.88 1428.29 1568.46 2020.06 3218.14 4079.66 4651.63 5879.15
2023-05-21 1982.85 1048.75 1129.68 1299.95 1611.34 2504.78 3157.08 3707.11 4579.84
2023-05-28 1685.13 919.52 1002.08 1111.06 1317.75 2147.92 2820.11 3225.47 3660.79
2023-06-04 1454.89 758.48 836.73 952.26 1158.75 1896.36 2378.01 2830.50 3379.57
2023-06-11 1170.48 599.26 720.11 794.35 935.49 1467.71 1892.25 2234.35 2809.64
2023-06-18 1115.43 545.39 626.54 708.25 864.31 1393.05 1789.14 2147.87 2426.05
2023-06-25 840.55 444.18 486.28 537.43 659.18 1075.70 1435.70 1671.59 1984.70
2023-07-02 811.61 374.92 427.49 505.40 631.47 1063.97 1398.16 1664.68 1969.29
2023-07-09 653.25 316.86 347.35 387.16 497.84 848.84 1130.39 1427.85 1652.34
2023-07-16 545.99 248.34 280.47 334.79 424.41 721.17 957.61 1254.61 1654.53
2023-07-23 547.19 271.23 289.35 320.58 399.41 785.88 1101.93 1386.51 1652.49
2023-07-30 415.19 192.54 210.98 238.83 310.47 558.32 772.10 966.48 1166.17
2023-08-06 352.96 154.63 182.57 205.29 262.37 480.58 637.28 764.72 897.13
2023-08-13 407.01 174.72 205.75 228.60 291.51 560.79 786.48 911.38 1034.19
2023-08-20 403.43 160.85 182.37 220.34 293.05 576.15 871.96 1152.10 1365.89
2023-08-27 344.91 134.04 163.16 186.60 246.23 525.09 788.59 1024.00 1258.70
2023-09-03 352.74 156.55 182.72 206.75 257.27 503.64 749.41 962.59 1198.72
2023-09-10 375.15 143.94 168.72 202.81 265.70 560.27 846.43 1096.27 1390.94
2023-09-17 373.56 152.81 179.89 213.83 269.57 572.28 795.19 981.54 1409.49
2023-09-24 404.41 161.28 183.74 217.43 276.65 577.52 957.34 1271.24 1622.34
2023-10-01 442.14 182.23 198.97 214.96 304.25 706.06 1136.24 1368.89 1646.76
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