Prediction 3660

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Goiás

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in GO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 307.75 119.47 142.85 165.92 216.03 446.11 697.88 1024.07 1332.29
2023-10-15 406.62 135.79 155.54 180.18 263.58 601.09 863.21 1231.45 1815.96
2023-10-22 326.46 135.23 149.12 176.72 231.47 485.78 746.15 976.27 1234.38
2023-10-29 353.33 135.88 160.75 190.14 260.99 541.95 818.97 1187.19 1426.62
2023-11-05 483.59 200.67 233.87 269.61 353.22 712.32 1063.33 1297.39 1439.38
2023-11-12 465.14 192.54 228.01 268.42 343.52 651.49 944.29 1110.41 1442.87
2023-11-19 576.80 243.28 273.11 312.30 413.79 849.32 1242.89 1527.16 2021.57
2023-11-26 600.42 283.77 307.40 355.36 461.61 893.18 1360.76 1753.81 2288.39
2023-12-03 838.49 284.77 357.85 415.28 555.73 1210.11 1698.07 2298.24 2632.85
2023-12-10 796.19 276.43 312.59 372.82 522.25 1185.59 1671.14 1997.23 2517.85
2023-12-17 543.32 206.96 233.73 282.06 368.42 861.13 1234.38 1588.04 2056.02
2023-12-24 323.65 111.16 135.51 163.28 219.30 490.17 725.41 988.44 1216.91
2023-12-31 1120.27 502.46 551.07 648.39 799.46 1510.39 2054.95 2579.37 3205.41
2024-01-07 1320.72 678.17 733.18 838.41 1036.18 1753.74 2265.33 2710.50 3113.51
2024-01-14 1449.68 704.91 776.66 904.33 1154.25 1874.35 2407.21 2812.93 3116.23
2024-01-21 1724.92 842.47 927.31 1032.75 1294.31 2242.04 2976.18 3812.65 4247.07
2024-01-28 1954.34 980.12 1058.11 1202.51 1531.23 2579.83 3610.22 4105.15 4802.04
2024-02-04 2257.23 1109.44 1211.08 1362.54 1716.58 3057.17 3885.86 4568.82 5348.89
2024-02-11 2237.65 1242.75 1326.30 1487.30 1808.62 2960.09 3762.02 4403.41 5217.71
2024-02-18 2168.82 1201.82 1310.12 1439.24 1714.13 2828.06 3857.24 4457.54 5351.76
2024-02-25 2681.38 1366.36 1500.30 1693.96 2127.28 3410.59 4389.75 4902.72 5386.63
2024-03-03 2645.00 1472.65 1597.66 1791.48 2177.38 3282.37 4288.79 5254.78 5916.17
2024-03-10 2777.30 1743.70 1873.26 2060.55 2346.71 3533.22 4352.19 5214.97 5806.00
2024-03-17 3064.76 1737.66 1914.82 2082.41 2451.02 3769.83 4535.10 5195.65 5972.85
2024-03-24 2992.01 1815.53 1909.04 2073.49 2461.59 3696.03 4659.46 5355.24 5988.43
2024-03-31 3226.00 1819.50 2010.13 2271.12 2649.77 3949.58 5077.10 5808.32 6529.14
2024-04-07 3332.94 1978.64 2112.35 2325.43 2710.78 4076.32 5132.87 5987.25 6965.40
2024-04-14 3301.26 1956.73 2096.47 2311.64 2731.32 4129.79 5116.69 6010.59 6716.20
2024-04-21 3166.96 1752.65 1961.11 2142.36 2589.37 3899.23 4712.08 5648.86 6238.38
2024-04-28 3141.40 1788.09 1973.79 2209.04 2588.60 3803.22 4675.34 5504.04 6574.69
2024-05-05 2905.14 1788.79 1938.64 2063.25 2447.59 3640.47 4475.94 5500.75 6344.08
2024-05-12 2366.12 1384.97 1492.08 1659.59 1973.55 2894.60 3574.39 4221.24 4654.07
2024-05-19 2058.12 1170.83 1325.68 1459.78 1703.04 2525.88 3148.28 3481.14 3912.45
2024-05-26 1803.35 1047.10 1130.27 1243.94 1474.45 2258.48 2809.61 3286.29 3777.44
2024-06-02 1565.15 878.71 962.97 1066.72 1254.74 1930.72 2392.09 2815.36 3320.60
2024-06-09 1286.57 777.24 829.68 902.53 1069.86 1596.54 1905.94 2235.94 2587.63
2024-06-16 1125.06 612.45 684.86 765.25 926.72 1388.98 1677.59 1951.62 2447.22
2024-06-23 896.67 503.10 534.82 610.91 707.40 1123.42 1423.64 1719.29 2035.98
2024-06-30 757.40 437.93 490.00 536.69 623.76 931.90 1174.69 1318.93 1544.05
2024-07-07 714.82 384.15 427.09 474.97 561.53 916.43 1156.54 1379.72 1659.66
2024-07-14 561.16 312.95 333.92 370.61 448.74 711.89 883.49 1045.27 1215.63
2024-07-21 503.84 278.47 306.86 334.66 407.20 655.50 839.19 935.77 1094.81
2024-07-28 439.39 233.13 256.10 283.48 348.06 570.25 753.66 887.56 1003.06
2024-08-04 383.67 193.04 209.69 234.89 297.14 514.98 654.15 799.39 880.51
2024-08-11 371.39 179.64 194.00 221.04 284.62 500.04 710.01 798.21 1048.80
2024-08-18 341.46 157.21 174.32 207.04 253.03 464.12 613.49 747.51 920.60
2024-08-25 290.72 132.80 148.35 179.32 224.29 420.21 565.65 712.64 824.95
2024-09-01 315.06 133.44 166.83 187.57 240.96 443.80 598.33 837.79 1019.64
2024-09-08 369.55 158.29 172.44 204.08 258.78 539.57 744.33 964.42 1160.04
2024-09-15 338.07 144.73 177.28 203.66 258.90 495.40 671.28 827.42 1000.89
2024-09-22 350.25 160.46 170.78 198.22 257.11 512.12 714.83 892.62 1073.74
2024-09-29 363.80 152.75 167.94 200.75 270.16 497.34 725.39 961.53 1130.65
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