Prediction 3661

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Goiás

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in GO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 260.95 106.28 120.82 136.12 184.22 403.85 592.90 791.89 990.74
2024-10-13 366.67 146.60 157.06 184.14 256.97 546.01 792.78 1020.77 1237.35
2024-10-20 372.06 128.91 155.32 186.56 256.01 560.58 795.63 1178.80 1420.46
2024-10-27 363.82 138.21 155.07 191.10 259.02 556.40 786.38 1005.88 1253.20
2024-11-03 550.57 209.30 247.55 291.46 394.18 789.64 1237.98 1648.10 2075.65
2024-11-10 550.74 221.14 254.31 304.52 397.93 776.39 1137.75 1470.99 1839.54
2024-11-17 707.59 275.79 315.10 375.90 486.47 1078.83 1556.38 2110.57 2483.39
2024-11-24 709.55 277.78 322.86 391.78 512.00 1048.26 1556.34 1834.58 2394.95
2024-12-01 964.08 368.39 400.59 473.19 646.21 1456.68 2366.63 3107.35 3786.50
2024-12-08 839.63 321.91 385.05 453.39 593.41 1241.90 1907.22 2528.03 3310.76
2024-12-15 577.13 195.60 217.35 275.35 391.80 879.91 1353.92 1938.50 2603.43
2024-12-22 460.13 172.12 208.02 241.24 313.65 645.48 961.47 1316.29 1607.03
2024-12-29 1280.28 609.35 658.00 777.23 957.37 1824.55 2441.37 3191.48 3803.28
2025-01-05 1926.79 838.72 915.72 1057.94 1358.35 2706.20 3875.33 5106.48 6879.60
2025-01-12 2119.28 929.24 1073.88 1248.34 1572.60 2949.06 4160.89 4671.81 5694.80
2025-01-19 2802.07 1118.41 1290.74 1633.22 2099.16 4089.42 5711.47 7467.43 9642.51
2025-01-26 3100.82 1435.75 1594.58 1792.69 2313.63 4250.98 6323.21 7641.25 9252.16
2025-02-02 3517.52 1516.69 1741.50 1994.58 2611.13 4996.14 7421.47 9821.76 13371.70
2025-02-09 3408.92 1588.81 1745.59 1999.56 2554.48 4654.03 6498.79 7908.65 9825.14
2025-02-16 3135.57 1567.24 1665.82 1865.76 2409.88 4264.56 6021.36 7050.45 8839.23
2025-02-23 3659.02 1863.11 2065.56 2239.85 2786.25 4952.02 6333.30 7259.69 8456.45
2025-03-02 3781.26 1897.41 2123.00 2333.54 2896.48 5075.50 7136.59 8540.65 9871.10
2025-03-09 4136.78 2078.42 2350.40 2666.37 3253.85 5511.39 7751.62 9556.53 11202.80
2025-03-16 4041.64 2176.84 2391.53 2664.30 3240.17 5265.10 7049.29 8515.84 9949.54
2025-03-23 3987.19 1851.24 2098.69 2437.25 3056.62 5277.36 6546.16 7567.44 9017.69
2025-03-30 4558.53 2312.15 2491.20 2897.41 3518.50 6035.23 7858.91 9720.35 11148.75
2025-04-06 4216.26 2384.97 2509.20 2720.48 3289.70 5638.40 7457.57 8753.02 10463.98
2025-04-13 4252.25 2165.74 2393.17 2681.26 3364.78 5609.65 7351.14 8421.95 10286.33
2025-04-20 4175.56 2257.37 2492.52 2702.95 3314.84 5418.32 7390.54 8523.97 9911.31
2025-04-27 4318.38 2216.15 2392.32 2688.92 3332.81 5579.87 7294.36 8296.36 9854.07
2025-05-04 4482.52 2217.75 2505.15 2834.53 3581.86 5946.86 7836.43 9980.92 12003.69
2025-05-11 3789.80 1884.04 2059.03 2340.03 2970.76 5191.85 6730.73 7706.85 9399.59
2025-05-18 2636.61 1369.77 1499.83 1733.84 2093.74 3437.97 4615.91 5557.95 5994.33
2025-05-25 2298.82 1140.40 1297.91 1448.49 1840.17 2994.36 3784.43 4721.32 5525.21
2025-06-01 1739.21 890.08 964.66 1126.79 1367.93 2278.84 2979.21 3482.45 3866.87
2025-06-08 1486.92 713.13 841.29 923.71 1128.62 1942.88 2534.68 3111.37 3681.50
2025-06-15 1094.37 584.30 648.93 699.90 854.00 1399.68 1771.20 2105.94 2359.39
2025-06-22 901.76 454.11 524.20 584.27 695.08 1189.35 1514.24 1975.50 2362.98
2025-06-29 740.12 393.06 417.32 469.77 571.88 981.16 1321.23 1541.26 1807.42
2025-07-06 618.61 305.43 345.88 376.00 485.98 804.09 1077.37 1293.95 1657.75
2025-07-13 482.29 242.08 265.06 297.34 376.17 654.88 895.42 1097.38 1285.88
2025-07-20 503.23 243.51 267.25 300.94 370.84 669.89 928.11 1094.32 1340.54
2025-07-27 476.40 218.70 239.88 269.59 345.72 639.95 879.68 1063.33 1256.60
2025-08-03 375.68 164.00 183.34 214.57 279.55 507.32 698.38 830.59 1165.39
2025-08-10 370.97 132.28 164.41 198.88 260.38 534.36 732.58 923.09 1305.33
2025-08-17 276.84 119.87 139.92 160.09 209.72 390.99 584.35 728.53 966.43
2025-08-24 308.87 121.92 140.43 163.06 221.59 436.78 621.09 731.62 955.74
2025-08-31 233.55 105.36 120.17 140.23 179.86 322.37 449.63 543.76 624.68
2025-09-07 267.85 121.80 141.21 162.95 204.50 382.49 507.49 640.71 728.05
2025-09-14 242.94 116.55 128.76 144.67 184.67 363.90 506.10 632.97 780.55
2025-09-21 256.41 113.16 120.81 139.96 187.70 353.70 513.88 694.69 847.88
2025-09-28 282.55 106.80 133.80 154.31 200.14 400.62 600.48 783.12 1019.46
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