Prediction 3662
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in RO
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 33.49 | 9.08 | 11.18 | 13.02 | 18.57 | 58.80 | 92.39 | 140.60 | 229.22 |
2022-10-16 | 36.65 | 10.01 | 11.25 | 14.97 | 21.57 | 67.15 | 116.80 | 197.68 | 263.65 |
2022-10-23 | 47.19 | 9.51 | 11.87 | 18.00 | 27.52 | 82.71 | 136.38 | 192.26 | 271.10 |
2022-10-30 | 44.73 | 9.07 | 12.24 | 15.72 | 25.80 | 84.59 | 157.38 | 292.27 | 457.70 |
2022-11-06 | 62.38 | 12.84 | 16.22 | 20.77 | 34.20 | 110.17 | 215.26 | 316.71 | 486.87 |
2022-11-13 | 77.11 | 18.05 | 22.38 | 28.92 | 43.78 | 139.77 | 265.90 | 441.01 | 664.64 |
2022-11-20 | 96.75 | 21.76 | 25.00 | 33.78 | 56.23 | 199.17 | 396.85 | 560.93 | 807.61 |
2022-11-27 | 111.01 | 24.32 | 30.10 | 39.36 | 63.61 | 205.78 | 454.77 | 655.19 | 836.82 |
2022-12-04 | 160.63 | 28.15 | 38.64 | 50.46 | 85.62 | 323.86 | 678.90 | 1105.81 | 1600.86 |
2022-12-11 | 159.01 | 28.50 | 36.21 | 49.49 | 80.90 | 320.31 | 552.96 | 748.89 | 1049.83 |
2022-12-18 | 105.39 | 20.76 | 25.02 | 37.95 | 60.23 | 193.22 | 371.47 | 524.49 | 744.51 |
2022-12-25 | 67.07 | 12.22 | 16.23 | 20.91 | 33.30 | 137.49 | 284.52 | 477.98 | 634.39 |
2023-01-01 | 167.27 | 39.04 | 49.78 | 67.06 | 103.39 | 268.86 | 436.31 | 634.86 | 797.77 |
2023-01-08 | 206.20 | 50.96 | 67.70 | 86.69 | 124.70 | 331.97 | 606.25 | 812.42 | 1181.78 |
2023-01-15 | 225.32 | 54.41 | 74.39 | 93.97 | 138.28 | 360.43 | 594.18 | 824.29 | 1233.83 |
2023-01-22 | 219.81 | 62.99 | 74.03 | 93.20 | 141.49 | 382.72 | 605.95 | 811.61 | 1161.61 |
2023-01-29 | 265.51 | 76.33 | 93.44 | 117.71 | 165.95 | 409.30 | 652.72 | 841.81 | 1064.92 |
2023-02-05 | 264.05 | 77.02 | 88.56 | 110.93 | 171.54 | 423.38 | 662.67 | 915.57 | 1289.26 |
2023-02-12 | 336.45 | 80.67 | 101.54 | 130.45 | 208.16 | 605.52 | 1039.30 | 1734.83 | 2284.12 |
2023-02-19 | 285.20 | 65.23 | 83.07 | 101.88 | 164.53 | 524.71 | 864.01 | 1161.76 | 1536.62 |
2023-02-26 | 342.59 | 94.22 | 113.15 | 137.76 | 210.65 | 541.55 | 934.42 | 1260.21 | 1535.78 |
2023-03-05 | 268.48 | 88.08 | 95.36 | 119.35 | 173.15 | 434.40 | 638.23 | 798.04 | 1010.42 |
2023-03-12 | 295.98 | 70.80 | 90.16 | 122.88 | 175.85 | 469.30 | 805.26 | 1150.03 | 1462.69 |
2023-03-19 | 262.58 | 74.28 | 87.96 | 114.57 | 167.12 | 463.70 | 769.86 | 1234.23 | 1665.80 |
2023-03-26 | 231.38 | 52.92 | 72.34 | 97.23 | 145.58 | 430.88 | 754.11 | 1060.00 | 1303.74 |
2023-04-02 | 211.72 | 53.20 | 64.01 | 82.39 | 130.37 | 342.65 | 577.32 | 859.38 | 1171.36 |
2023-04-09 | 202.41 | 54.82 | 62.65 | 83.33 | 120.75 | 314.86 | 484.65 | 676.41 | 953.53 |
2023-04-16 | 215.30 | 55.80 | 66.50 | 83.69 | 126.61 | 408.57 | 635.23 | 890.76 | 1360.59 |
2023-04-23 | 189.85 | 47.42 | 58.66 | 77.07 | 118.40 | 336.69 | 604.06 | 802.93 | 1139.11 |
2023-04-30 | 203.57 | 60.58 | 71.12 | 85.31 | 128.36 | 346.28 | 549.81 | 712.26 | 1101.74 |
2023-05-07 | 199.14 | 50.98 | 63.52 | 85.13 | 127.90 | 348.84 | 522.35 | 766.86 | 958.60 |
2023-05-14 | 178.87 | 40.99 | 53.61 | 65.31 | 116.62 | 312.66 | 533.98 | 773.56 | 921.37 |
2023-05-21 | 152.25 | 39.76 | 47.02 | 63.25 | 92.04 | 264.22 | 465.63 | 652.38 | 943.27 |
2023-05-28 | 130.18 | 31.33 | 36.93 | 49.11 | 78.75 | 225.49 | 416.51 | 605.67 | 826.06 |
2023-06-04 | 111.15 | 26.97 | 33.23 | 43.56 | 63.96 | 184.57 | 357.47 | 556.28 | 759.20 |
2023-06-11 | 96.39 | 29.62 | 35.65 | 45.33 | 60.56 | 156.68 | 236.15 | 290.52 | 389.98 |
2023-06-18 | 76.12 | 20.13 | 24.31 | 30.28 | 47.84 | 121.28 | 182.45 | 259.20 | 300.07 |
2023-06-25 | 72.98 | 18.21 | 25.34 | 31.39 | 46.91 | 113.10 | 188.56 | 276.50 | 364.12 |
2023-07-02 | 69.98 | 16.12 | 19.11 | 26.69 | 42.36 | 116.82 | 199.50 | 269.23 | 362.84 |
2023-07-09 | 57.75 | 16.97 | 19.68 | 24.48 | 35.49 | 90.79 | 138.76 | 195.29 | 258.33 |
2023-07-16 | 47.87 | 12.58 | 14.95 | 21.15 | 29.37 | 81.96 | 142.22 | 195.51 | 305.18 |
2023-07-23 | 50.19 | 13.16 | 15.82 | 19.55 | 31.64 | 78.98 | 148.83 | 205.77 | 298.56 |
2023-07-30 | 53.00 | 12.05 | 14.30 | 18.92 | 29.04 | 93.94 | 161.57 | 251.51 | 379.97 |
2023-08-06 | 47.66 | 11.87 | 14.14 | 19.51 | 28.29 | 85.33 | 121.64 | 192.98 | 271.00 |
2023-08-13 | 39.43 | 8.28 | 10.09 | 15.36 | 23.73 | 72.13 | 135.09 | 184.46 | 335.73 |
2023-08-20 | 37.22 | 10.66 | 13.02 | 16.73 | 24.16 | 56.74 | 91.57 | 119.23 | 162.19 |
2023-08-27 | 43.06 | 9.15 | 10.99 | 14.78 | 23.69 | 73.98 | 129.14 | 174.61 | 240.36 |
2023-09-03 | 31.20 | 7.55 | 8.88 | 11.23 | 18.15 | 60.50 | 101.93 | 140.80 | 235.99 |
2023-09-10 | 37.67 | 9.07 | 11.03 | 13.42 | 22.07 | 67.04 | 128.71 | 180.68 | 271.89 |
2023-09-17 | 52.64 | 8.53 | 11.91 | 17.38 | 29.84 | 112.06 | 239.24 | 410.95 | 593.45 |
2023-09-24 | 46.79 | 8.18 | 11.11 | 15.86 | 26.64 | 86.73 | 159.25 | 213.94 | 309.24 |
2023-10-01 | 36.02 | 8.96 | 9.90 | 14.47 | 22.88 | 61.10 | 106.39 | 147.91 | 203.73 |