Prediction 3663

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in RO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 103.48 21.14 26.89 36.60 58.36 184.89 344.91 554.28 820.06
2023-10-15 105.31 22.68 30.65 37.74 59.70 178.15 322.22 464.95 583.87
2023-10-22 106.78 22.62 29.02 36.29 57.99 195.36 317.47 460.67 797.23
2023-10-29 108.39 20.72 27.07 35.08 58.58 189.88 378.59 570.70 787.38
2023-11-05 125.43 26.64 36.92 48.30 75.26 217.30 397.93 520.86 798.59
2023-11-12 146.77 29.72 36.27 48.11 80.36 264.20 543.39 825.76 1218.11
2023-11-19 150.97 38.32 48.01 59.87 92.80 283.61 479.47 663.05 867.18
2023-11-26 188.30 38.84 51.65 64.33 103.29 390.81 705.19 1112.17 2288.84
2023-12-03 163.72 39.47 45.04 60.77 101.29 345.63 584.27 806.55 1144.45
2023-12-10 194.27 31.04 40.09 55.05 102.51 376.07 815.31 1265.54 1823.84
2023-12-17 133.48 22.60 31.54 43.46 75.68 265.12 424.76 708.22 956.61
2023-12-24 100.26 23.99 29.00 38.80 58.35 182.87 325.35 481.30 646.63
2023-12-31 302.65 71.27 86.91 115.86 180.33 521.48 896.06 1212.89 1453.60
2024-01-07 363.78 96.48 114.09 155.55 229.13 625.22 989.97 1301.78 1707.51
2024-01-14 371.39 113.25 132.25 163.23 227.29 576.70 923.37 1358.23 1680.73
2024-01-21 348.44 114.28 126.25 145.07 223.17 561.62 817.19 1060.64 1546.34
2024-01-28 394.44 140.33 155.03 190.21 267.91 573.97 817.18 1045.27 1303.13
2024-02-04 382.60 123.01 164.36 192.78 265.29 583.71 871.88 1130.62 1468.78
2024-02-11 333.50 119.38 140.47 168.83 230.90 492.31 727.34 979.29 1231.27
2024-02-18 337.24 116.63 137.46 173.50 227.55 491.43 708.79 818.82 1015.97
2024-02-25 359.16 141.85 168.93 193.24 261.39 555.96 749.08 955.08 1171.88
2024-03-03 383.81 101.55 135.29 174.14 253.13 595.58 901.03 1169.80 1620.96
2024-03-10 411.92 147.51 174.64 204.08 270.97 633.75 889.25 1157.91 1516.02
2024-03-17 362.75 102.33 125.82 168.62 237.52 554.33 866.71 1040.22 1470.83
2024-03-24 345.75 117.19 132.18 156.41 225.06 484.92 740.16 923.25 1219.80
2024-03-31 323.07 103.37 121.09 152.72 223.37 475.87 687.47 1000.98 1239.31
2024-04-07 288.56 94.32 109.09 138.41 198.94 445.46 675.95 827.92 1119.48
2024-04-14 290.63 98.38 114.62 143.33 193.38 431.31 645.78 820.80 1083.22
2024-04-21 254.58 91.95 103.97 124.92 179.58 392.84 567.58 769.47 1024.75
2024-04-28 248.60 80.03 97.16 123.55 175.43 368.14 543.05 708.05 842.27
2024-05-05 230.25 79.24 89.67 108.97 158.88 361.90 571.86 730.42 884.44
2024-05-12 201.26 73.75 83.54 93.48 129.46 301.80 443.14 545.07 673.49
2024-05-19 182.22 54.99 66.89 82.18 118.82 301.98 488.76 718.12 860.97
2024-05-26 187.17 51.20 67.05 79.99 116.24 297.00 490.24 644.74 781.69
2024-06-02 147.09 40.76 47.42 64.58 92.13 234.86 387.76 492.54 746.04
2024-06-09 137.44 43.41 54.20 62.91 89.46 212.35 332.83 430.70 634.28
2024-06-16 103.04 32.50 36.66 45.69 68.19 166.55 272.59 333.95 466.76
2024-06-23 110.36 33.45 37.45 46.19 65.26 180.82 296.25 403.23 458.66
2024-06-30 99.79 26.59 30.94 37.88 62.53 158.03 243.45 339.03 435.15
2024-07-07 89.45 27.83 32.90 42.68 59.71 140.15 215.55 284.80 391.05
2024-07-14 83.37 28.23 33.28 39.66 55.33 140.70 228.59 297.73 454.18
2024-07-21 77.08 22.88 26.30 33.87 49.19 129.08 199.75 251.14 363.55
2024-07-28 105.89 22.83 28.99 37.96 59.10 164.64 276.43 388.13 538.30
2024-08-04 96.64 24.59 29.52 36.35 56.51 166.44 291.50 402.27 627.87
2024-08-11 95.00 18.41 25.97 32.92 55.28 173.13 317.93 439.75 604.20
2024-08-18 100.08 22.24 30.24 38.12 62.56 172.92 300.24 401.84 543.13
2024-08-25 68.05 18.27 22.45 29.54 43.00 121.29 191.43 248.97 313.21
2024-09-01 68.34 15.15 19.70 26.29 40.14 120.08 203.46 298.80 364.19
2024-09-08 62.67 16.16 20.50 25.81 38.78 113.05 199.18 302.15 413.16
2024-09-15 65.83 18.33 23.69 28.18 40.20 101.94 162.63 234.74 295.06
2024-09-22 64.06 17.25 20.45 26.06 38.39 96.80 140.17 179.48 281.64
2024-09-29 65.90 15.13 21.41 27.86 42.12 114.87 186.33 280.95 387.53
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