Prediction 3665

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in AC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 34.11 3.78 5.19 8.41 15.97 72.80 165.40 261.29 366.69
2022-10-16 40.98 5.69 7.30 11.00 19.18 84.11 181.21 290.24 378.03
2022-10-23 50.93 4.35 5.92 11.09 22.56 115.71 239.29 427.93 868.02
2022-10-30 45.34 4.72 6.57 9.95 19.56 112.09 244.69 385.22 506.02
2022-11-06 56.67 5.10 8.44 12.97 25.58 160.22 405.19 733.60 1245.28
2022-11-13 86.75 6.89 12.77 18.39 38.77 192.47 403.60 621.89 1028.90
2022-11-20 102.50 10.58 15.04 20.00 44.54 244.74 584.86 931.78 1562.46
2022-11-27 113.16 8.70 15.42 24.48 46.15 285.89 701.36 1395.88 2550.30
2022-12-04 144.15 10.77 19.88 28.26 54.87 404.94 945.01 1699.95 2549.63
2022-12-11 159.73 14.51 20.80 31.92 64.22 360.17 894.15 1495.66 1942.24
2022-12-18 93.28 9.88 13.60 21.09 42.61 229.06 536.02 920.88 1247.58
2022-12-25 66.51 5.19 7.12 12.35 25.06 180.47 400.40 725.07 1131.97
2023-01-01 201.86 28.37 39.59 55.62 102.70 433.17 771.59 1200.06 1974.49
2023-01-08 263.11 27.06 42.51 63.40 124.93 539.99 939.64 1516.09 2012.07
2023-01-15 249.46 32.14 43.62 68.90 129.72 514.34 999.10 1544.22 2030.14
2023-01-22 262.86 41.95 50.90 69.31 124.02 556.55 1181.89 1948.29 2606.55
2023-01-29 306.79 51.23 67.53 85.78 159.63 635.85 1231.90 1936.54 2400.90
2023-02-05 312.03 47.97 58.02 90.39 148.62 635.22 1339.64 1811.16 2093.18
2023-02-12 404.59 46.92 63.22 87.57 184.72 919.32 2022.80 3089.97 4344.92
2023-02-19 351.88 37.75 55.83 95.07 164.93 761.55 1437.96 2345.48 3205.60
2023-02-26 398.33 55.71 72.14 108.05 203.47 905.42 1855.92 2744.91 3475.80
2023-03-05 305.81 61.93 76.53 97.57 163.07 618.59 1269.47 1658.62 2517.12
2023-03-12 333.15 44.55 56.17 94.48 177.41 747.19 1432.43 2234.36 4238.08
2023-03-19 310.08 38.22 49.95 73.11 147.75 627.53 1131.85 1588.01 2358.31
2023-03-26 277.26 26.39 47.45 60.81 127.52 600.76 1124.34 1645.08 2464.78
2023-04-02 226.65 29.96 42.75 65.62 118.83 474.01 1000.53 1451.92 2392.97
2023-04-09 228.57 26.70 37.39 59.13 113.72 490.62 930.57 1443.06 2194.45
2023-04-16 231.90 30.01 45.32 63.32 113.30 483.45 996.84 1371.72 2277.04
2023-04-23 289.01 28.82 39.24 58.22 114.94 622.04 1478.74 2389.60 3344.57
2023-04-30 284.86 43.41 55.40 76.24 138.09 539.06 1303.81 1971.51 2432.86
2023-05-07 260.09 36.34 46.74 60.65 121.11 559.68 1040.62 1527.09 2727.06
2023-05-14 213.86 27.71 41.14 53.71 104.76 405.63 841.36 1239.44 1802.87
2023-05-21 160.87 28.18 34.31 44.40 77.99 353.34 784.33 1570.75 2317.64
2023-05-28 155.59 23.83 29.19 41.87 81.00 370.09 716.73 1045.38 1704.23
2023-06-04 127.35 13.08 19.41 28.16 56.78 291.69 671.16 1095.23 1605.15
2023-06-11 111.66 16.77 21.27 29.00 55.85 220.43 427.15 594.43 815.59
2023-06-18 89.20 14.80 18.98 26.64 43.66 193.35 341.13 497.23 652.94
2023-06-25 82.64 11.31 17.18 23.28 40.65 173.46 322.14 475.53 763.27
2023-07-02 67.58 9.06 12.01 18.40 31.40 147.61 350.78 524.45 1113.62
2023-07-09 66.88 9.70 13.08 19.06 34.48 132.36 266.88 440.55 646.45
2023-07-16 52.20 7.23 10.08 14.13 23.44 121.29 251.31 391.84 499.67
2023-07-23 51.96 6.98 9.44 13.49 25.66 105.13 199.87 288.91 415.76
2023-07-30 52.11 4.49 6.24 10.94 23.82 120.04 266.38 465.58 784.52
2023-08-06 47.50 7.60 10.36 13.70 24.27 103.85 236.91 417.79 624.49
2023-08-13 42.93 5.39 8.22 11.89 20.91 99.25 211.52 313.47 441.32
2023-08-20 37.44 5.99 8.62 11.18 20.74 76.92 153.00 239.68 324.22
2023-08-27 43.65 4.65 6.49 9.83 20.33 101.46 240.29 415.97 577.00
2023-09-03 35.14 3.69 5.01 7.28 15.94 84.58 178.91 299.12 475.11
2023-09-10 35.95 3.89 5.44 7.82 15.92 92.51 225.66 363.07 537.96
2023-09-17 43.33 3.05 4.25 6.30 18.34 110.35 272.14 422.93 802.06
2023-09-24 46.37 4.86 6.88 9.85 21.25 120.27 304.48 562.73 835.54
2023-10-01 41.53 4.61 6.75 9.79 18.71 96.21 198.06 292.80 425.33
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