Prediction 3666

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in AC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 63.43 3.60 6.52 12.16 26.42 185.78 475.39 1031.29 1631.35
2023-10-15 74.17 6.69 9.47 12.30 26.90 205.00 432.89 795.13 1064.66
2023-10-22 85.61 6.19 8.74 13.17 30.19 223.91 626.42 1118.67 1775.39
2023-10-29 86.43 5.84 10.01 18.49 37.85 225.66 481.56 935.54 1605.76
2023-11-05 88.58 7.55 10.61 14.97 34.81 243.27 469.30 954.83 1496.91
2023-11-12 115.82 9.78 13.77 19.69 41.94 315.10 742.84 1464.22 2019.35
2023-11-19 112.46 11.89 18.89 25.50 45.17 282.22 796.94 1197.27 1922.55
2023-11-26 171.97 10.88 15.83 29.31 62.65 505.76 1278.13 2388.37 4367.20
2023-12-03 136.66 9.65 14.72 22.52 55.43 422.22 1194.83 1923.30 3187.85
2023-12-10 135.20 8.38 14.84 22.72 51.62 357.02 1030.41 1706.19 3680.77
2023-12-17 94.48 8.40 11.92 17.61 36.35 257.63 682.95 1372.11 2244.63
2023-12-24 72.15 6.55 7.91 14.67 32.83 172.99 495.73 880.24 1347.71
2023-12-31 269.76 30.67 44.79 61.88 117.74 578.62 1382.45 2076.29 3151.09
2024-01-07 287.53 29.81 44.41 66.84 135.35 654.72 1557.24 2280.01 3057.83
2024-01-14 311.44 37.68 62.77 82.53 153.14 694.57 1271.44 1810.19 2541.15
2024-01-21 278.55 38.31 53.31 76.47 138.04 556.81 1046.61 1580.82 2035.10
2024-01-28 341.13 66.60 78.09 102.87 174.68 654.01 1102.22 1569.95 2312.75
2024-02-04 333.90 61.01 77.32 100.99 169.47 652.54 1166.19 1691.17 2067.73
2024-02-11 345.19 62.20 73.82 94.97 186.05 659.19 1054.79 1572.75 1949.96
2024-02-18 279.48 52.00 67.59 100.91 150.97 534.03 1020.31 1468.83 2010.32
2024-02-25 313.91 58.08 76.84 107.84 185.79 567.78 936.22 1290.95 1829.72
2024-03-03 322.30 64.73 75.10 103.66 171.37 564.19 1113.98 1702.61 2291.43
2024-03-10 358.18 53.16 71.21 108.24 195.10 723.75 1529.55 2396.79 3809.60
2024-03-17 318.11 46.62 62.89 90.92 163.98 586.68 1169.81 1683.68 2469.34
2024-03-24 274.13 39.83 50.52 76.36 144.52 530.70 1111.48 1797.96 2303.89
2024-03-31 267.08 42.86 48.92 74.99 136.14 493.08 996.28 1610.71 2351.89
2024-04-07 290.08 48.78 61.08 77.64 140.87 606.70 1336.18 2035.55 2941.24
2024-04-14 278.64 39.13 56.15 75.29 142.77 541.75 950.18 1643.94 2309.91
2024-04-21 235.91 38.61 52.98 64.77 113.19 450.48 889.19 1562.98 2028.59
2024-04-28 230.58 43.14 57.62 78.52 125.78 439.36 826.24 1298.70 1950.87
2024-05-05 246.10 36.86 54.13 73.01 122.03 477.53 911.21 1426.37 2209.99
2024-05-12 193.89 32.94 42.35 56.07 98.20 386.56 766.83 1042.20 1634.68
2024-05-19 170.18 26.15 32.91 51.44 84.14 348.84 705.31 1068.41 1597.09
2024-05-26 163.45 27.08 34.65 46.19 85.42 339.26 696.34 976.08 1548.92
2024-06-02 125.78 15.10 20.01 32.39 61.42 246.74 508.94 766.69 1196.69
2024-06-09 115.29 20.15 24.54 34.37 57.70 233.62 487.04 695.62 1009.67
2024-06-16 83.72 12.10 15.41 23.25 45.82 181.85 335.43 477.50 733.83
2024-06-23 85.18 12.63 15.89 22.26 41.26 189.29 391.88 536.33 696.84
2024-06-30 82.51 10.87 15.58 22.26 39.77 202.03 370.61 648.16 1021.82
2024-07-07 79.39 12.49 15.35 20.75 39.53 152.48 289.77 429.24 711.77
2024-07-14 73.14 9.74 13.56 18.19 37.38 141.50 274.88 446.67 670.26
2024-07-21 65.33 8.81 13.09 18.01 31.21 144.23 311.32 482.57 803.27
2024-07-28 78.97 10.32 13.13 19.44 36.32 169.63 401.36 632.91 1254.11
2024-08-04 69.61 8.15 11.69 16.84 33.75 154.56 327.12 450.34 601.95
2024-08-11 53.80 5.72 9.74 14.06 26.71 111.50 273.83 427.06 668.61
2024-08-18 61.64 7.58 10.97 14.19 28.28 132.43 296.19 554.34 829.60
2024-08-25 47.32 6.74 8.38 13.33 24.13 110.06 231.04 365.21 569.50
2024-09-01 37.81 4.53 5.94 8.23 17.67 99.37 220.36 339.35 635.14
2024-09-08 48.64 4.44 6.68 10.16 21.56 100.51 287.56 452.53 682.41
2024-09-15 56.82 6.13 9.29 13.18 25.39 141.68 311.93 484.18 763.42
2024-09-22 53.13 5.39 7.76 12.51 23.06 121.75 211.68 318.08 547.07
2024-09-29 56.04 6.35 9.70 13.90 28.20 124.52 266.83 406.57 644.76
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