Prediction 3667

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in AC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 31.06 1.60 2.42 4.05 11.65 95.05 213.49 387.54 715.45
2024-10-13 33.29 2.07 4.08 6.55 14.31 78.94 168.15 390.02 540.31
2024-10-20 34.12 2.70 4.02 6.36 13.00 91.17 249.73 553.17 923.04
2024-10-27 26.13 3.01 4.25 5.89 11.68 70.92 162.37 262.52 389.36
2024-11-03 35.47 3.91 5.26 8.55 15.99 88.79 179.81 272.44 346.69
2024-11-10 37.07 3.48 4.89 7.75 17.29 91.31 190.74 321.95 481.82
2024-11-17 36.28 3.22 4.93 8.48 16.85 104.29 294.49 507.07 687.68
2024-11-24 51.19 5.70 7.31 11.64 24.10 152.29 399.58 673.74 1003.63
2024-12-01 54.26 4.45 6.38 10.86 23.96 135.89 347.93 610.84 878.45
2024-12-08 73.62 5.39 8.98 14.81 29.87 157.70 405.70 781.29 1341.68
2024-12-15 36.68 3.56 4.94 7.10 15.17 96.16 234.71 421.04 603.49
2024-12-22 31.23 2.90 4.17 6.29 13.25 84.54 216.20 387.52 585.87
2024-12-29 137.32 16.68 21.40 34.13 63.01 310.74 635.98 1033.55 1588.86
2025-01-05 148.11 15.25 21.57 29.48 65.75 315.84 653.67 1093.16 1431.68
2025-01-12 175.94 24.13 37.42 45.82 83.99 362.02 669.83 951.39 1692.22
2025-01-19 183.35 26.73 37.64 51.45 95.80 384.16 759.40 1174.81 1754.31
2025-01-26 216.54 34.03 49.97 63.53 112.79 452.65 924.25 1378.67 2015.19
2025-02-02 310.69 37.83 50.45 70.51 167.44 644.02 1267.84 1778.12 2338.34
2025-02-09 293.46 46.00 54.84 81.42 151.16 629.75 1294.30 2099.56 3154.90
2025-02-16 338.25 34.47 57.93 82.50 156.80 795.41 1853.83 3118.66 4339.13
2025-02-23 409.14 55.66 85.17 111.33 201.14 899.64 1827.97 2339.51 4454.08
2025-03-02 385.23 47.42 74.00 100.39 190.92 880.18 1859.95 2938.28 4660.58
2025-03-09 436.64 52.32 72.17 117.52 201.30 832.46 1667.03 2396.80 3214.71
2025-03-16 338.97 40.35 53.42 75.75 147.37 763.09 1552.42 2532.35 4422.40
2025-03-23 262.43 34.77 47.89 65.58 124.38 580.94 1303.60 2236.04 2950.78
2025-03-30 280.82 43.07 60.14 76.70 140.42 682.50 1404.98 2497.26 3734.50
2025-04-06 260.34 30.26 42.05 66.47 113.35 526.87 1021.23 1671.71 2339.04
2025-04-13 255.17 32.10 45.77 60.81 107.60 519.55 1048.08 1624.48 2929.26
2025-04-20 165.29 23.63 32.27 46.22 77.86 402.28 821.53 1559.88 2123.56
2025-04-27 208.41 25.48 32.45 46.62 92.91 474.13 1078.27 1728.13 2478.80
2025-05-04 186.17 17.49 27.14 37.72 85.35 453.74 907.66 1424.97 2102.79
2025-05-11 154.95 18.25 25.26 36.75 72.06 342.25 794.15 1212.65 2009.44
2025-05-18 106.64 8.74 12.97 25.17 49.49 264.92 571.72 816.28 1204.81
2025-05-25 101.00 9.19 13.87 22.53 49.34 200.50 405.98 675.68 1316.09
2025-06-01 79.42 10.11 14.52 19.99 35.74 173.98 365.27 686.96 944.08
2025-06-08 82.00 11.01 14.11 21.97 41.58 166.77 329.19 546.85 842.67
2025-06-15 62.65 6.84 10.78 14.54 27.97 133.92 301.40 436.06 667.17
2025-06-22 56.24 7.76 10.59 15.72 28.04 149.72 293.22 479.23 840.81
2025-06-29 50.74 6.70 9.46 13.65 23.52 114.94 238.67 381.53 654.33
2025-07-06 63.13 4.80 6.99 9.73 23.10 147.16 315.91 584.29 1263.05
2025-07-13 66.32 5.52 9.65 12.58 31.11 165.70 468.81 1015.99 1782.28
2025-07-20 52.65 6.83 9.02 12.62 23.07 120.41 268.33 467.35 773.41
2025-07-27 41.06 3.11 5.12 8.61 19.12 103.44 263.72 394.97 789.69
2025-08-03 49.22 3.12 4.51 8.67 19.44 143.45 386.64 840.28 1405.32
2025-08-10 47.21 3.00 5.37 8.08 18.99 136.93 409.70 976.85 1726.30
2025-08-17 41.94 2.97 4.51 7.64 16.67 100.71 252.65 460.05 805.44
2025-08-24 43.29 2.11 3.72 6.80 15.95 114.03 291.98 551.45 1035.42
2025-08-31 34.82 2.03 3.56 6.00 13.88 103.15 299.87 586.61 1080.59
2025-09-07 44.37 1.84 2.90 5.52 13.29 131.74 395.18 787.46 1219.00
2025-09-14 38.63 2.74 4.44 7.43 15.76 99.77 271.23 544.06 1447.04
2025-09-21 29.94 2.17 3.31 5.53 11.78 86.57 243.43 424.22 565.34
2025-09-28 33.90 2.01 2.43 4.76 10.63 109.25 268.06 509.25 965.46
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